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For a moment there I thought Splatoon was gonna do the trick, but It looks like there is not gonna be many surprises here.

Wii u down alot. Can't see it doing it now.

there are better games released last year right? the gap seems getting bigger.

http://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/library/events/151029/02.html

Well, let's compare Nintendo numbers (sell-through) with VGC numbers:

EUR VGC Wii U 4th Jan 2014 (1081778) until 20th Sept 2014 (1600257) = 518479
USA VGC Wii U 4th Jan 2014 (2138785) until 20th Sept 2014 (2812581) = 673796

EUR VGC Wii U 3rd Jan 2015 (2095567) until 19th Sept 2015 (2444711) = 349144
USA VGC Wii U 3rd Jan 2015 (3791344) until 19th Sept 2015 (4353269) = 561925



2014 until week 38 based on graphs:
EUR: around 450000
US: around 600000

2015 until week 38 based on graphs:
EUR: a little over 400000
USA: a little over 500000

So, USA and EUR are both overtracked by around 70K in 2014.

EUR in 2015 is undertracked by around 50K and USA is overtracked by around 50K.

VGC suggests that it's down globally YoY by over 250K, but it's probably just a little over 100K (Japan is up).

Nintendo official numbers for 6 months in period April-September are saying that Wii U is up in same period over last year. But VGC numbers showing that Wii U YOY is -194,118, it's impossible that Wii U sold 200k less in first 3 months this year in comparison with first 3 months of 2014, so this VGC numbers are clearly not accurate at all.

Six months ended September 30, 2015
-Wii U HW: 1.19 million

Six months ended September 30, 2014
-Wii U HW: 1.12 million

A LOT of numbers updated.

New numbers up

I can't see Wii U doing better end of year sales this year, if they had Zelda out this year would have been a different story.
2014 looks like it's going to be the Wii U's best sales year.

2014 probably will be Wii U's best year, although there's a possibility that honour could go to 2016 as well. For one, I'm still not convinced that we'll be seeing the Wii U's successor until at least 2017 and so long as that's true, it won't be around to take sales away from Wii U. There's Zelda to think about - a game that can definitely move a few consoles. We don't know what else might be coming next year, either, since Nintendo have a tendency to not announce games until they're very close to completion.

Plus the Wii U still hasn't had an official price drop. If Nintendo does that, even by $50 or something, it'll probably put a pretty big spike in sales for a few weeks (I remember when the GameCube had a major price drop, for a couple of weeks it was actually outselling the PS2).

A price cut would do it but Nintendo wants more money