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Forums - Sales - PS4 will sell more in its first year than PS3 in its peak year

DonFerrari said:
Dusk said:
Turkish said:
Dusk said:


They are still loosing money on each console sold right now,

Yeah you dont know what you are talking about. PS4 has been making money a whole year now
http://www.polygon.com/2014/5/23/5744344/ps4-already-profitable-for-sony-ceo-says

Please do not spread misinformation and lies.

My mistake. I was thinking there was a price drop for the console, was just deals before and over the holidays. The prices seem to be normal now.


He was talking about PS4 already been making profit on HW even on the first year on market (first time for Sony), so your reply is off place.


Yeah, I get that. I stated before that there was a price drop on the PS4. I was wrong. For some reason I was thinking there was a price drop on the console and that put it under where it was making profit on each sale. As I said, my mistake.



Gotta figure out how to set these up lol.

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Dusk said:
DonFerrari said:
Dusk said:
Turkish said:
Dusk said:

What makes you think it's going to drop to 299 next year? Maybe near the end of the year to try to boost sales if it's necessary (meaning if sales slow down), but Sony can't afford to throw away too much money on consoles, their software sales haven't been as good as they were hoping. Well, the entire industries software sales have been down.


What makes you think Sony can't afford to lower the price to 299 next year? Do you seriously think consoles dont become cheaper to manufacture?

What makes you think their software sales havent been as good? Go check how many million sellers there are on the platform, and this is without the unranked digital sales which are much bigger this gen.


They are still loosing money on each console sold right now, with how well it has been selling, unless they need the boost in sales again why would they take more of a cut? Please don't assume to know what I know, I never said that consoles don't become cheaper to manufacture over time. 

Software sales have been down YOY from everything I have read, add that to the rising cost of game development and it seems like a fairly educated guess. Perhaps I should say the profits from the games though as opposed to my prior stance. I do wonder how well the digital sales are doing on the new platforms with the increasing size of the games though, 40GB can be quite a lot for many people with limited bandwidth. Likely the best case scenario is that sales YOY are roughly the same with digital sales included. 

http://www.gamesindustry.biz/articles/2014-11-14-up-to-25-percent-of-ps4-xbox-one-game-sales-are-digital-analyst


DO a little research before downplaying and bashing... Sony already confirmed they had a little profit with each HW like 6 months ago (in launch the sale of 2 games or 1 game and PS+ already made profit) So by next year holidays 50 off will still be profitable and 100 will need some games sold to profit... And as discussed before Sony took 300 loss per console during PS3 launch, so don't base Sony willingness or capacity to pricecut on your perceived notion of loss and Sony financial situation.


Before the price drop. That is why they were able to drop the price. It's normal business tactics dude. Sony screwed themselves on the massive losses they took with the PS3 when it was released. Sony is also in a much worse financial situation than they were at that point in time, it would not only be irresponsible for the business to take massive losses on the console, but it would also be crazy. 

What price drop? PS4 standard price is still 400$ And they did confirm making money off each console sold like months ago and thats not counting the PS+ subscription which most people will buy as well



Dusk said:
DonFerrari said:
Dusk said:

My mistake. I was thinking there was a price drop for the console, was just deals before and over the holidays. The prices seem to be normal now.


He was talking about PS4 already been making profit on HW even on the first year on market (first time for Sony), so your reply is off place.


Yeah, I get that. I stated before that there was a price drop on the PS4. I was wrong. For some reason I was thinking there was a price drop on the console and that put it under where it was making profit on each sale. As I said, my mistake.


So is sony allowed to cut 50-100 of the price for 2015 holidays?



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Troll_Whisperer said:

PS3 sold 14.3m units in its peak year (2011).

PS4 is at 12.9m at the moment, with 3 more weeks to go. It should easily sell the extra 1.4m and surpass PS3's peak year in its first year on the market.

Amazing feat, considering PS3 was $249, had a slim model and was a mature console with hundreds of successful games. The PS4 will still sell more with much less going for it.

Chartz says 14.7 million for 2011 for PS3. With 2 weeks to go it's got too do pretty much exactly 1.8 million (or are we going to be counting the W/E 3 Jan as a 2014 week?). I don't think it'll make it. I don't think PS4 will crack 1 million for W/E 20 Dec and it will drop substantially for W/E 27 Dec.

If we count W/E 3 Jan in 2014, then it's possible PS4 can average 600K per week across these 3 weeks, but that's a tall order with W/E 3 Jan likely to be around 250K.

I think it was a shoe in if 14.3M was the target, but alas it is not. Might want to change the OP AND the thread title to be PS4 first year might not quite outsell PS3 peak year.

20 million in year 2 or more likely year 3 seems highly probable. I think 20% growth year on year for 2 years running is pretty reasonable. Esp with probably a $50 price cut in 2015, and then a slim model and further price cut in 2016.  Can PS4's peak year be 10 million more than PS3's peak year? If year 4 is the peak year then possibly yes.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

binary solo said:
Troll_Whisperer said:

PS3 sold 14.3m units in its peak year (2011).

PS4 is at 12.9m at the moment, with 3 more weeks to go. It should easily sell the extra 1.4m and surpass PS3's peak year in its first year on the market.

Amazing feat, considering PS3 was $249, had a slim model and was a mature console with hundreds of successful games. The PS4 will still sell more with much less going for it.

Chartz says 14.7 million for 2011 for PS3. With 2 weeks to go it's got too do pretty much exactly 1.8 million (or are we going to be counting the W/E 3 Jan as a 2014 week?). I don't think it'll make it. I don't think PS4 will crack 1 million for W/E 20 Dec and it will drop substantially for W/E 27 Dec.

If we count W/E 3 Jan in 2014, then it's possible PS4 can average 600K per week across these 3 weeks, but that's a tall order with W/E 3 Jan likely to be around 250K.

I think it was a shoe in if 14.3M was the target, but alas it is not. Might want to change the OP AND the thread title to be PS4 first year might not quite outsell PS3 peak year.

20 million in year 2 or more likely year 3 seems highly probable. I think 20% growth year on year for 2 years running is pretty reasonable. Esp with probably a $50 price cut in 2015, and then a slim model and further price cut in 2016.  Can PS4's peak year be 10 million more than PS3's peak year? If year 4 is the peak year then possibly yes.

Where did you get the 14.7 figure? I was looking at the tools section. Says 14,313,808. PS3 vs PS4 (so far):

Also, yes, the week ending January 3rd is considered part of 2014 by all trackers, including VGC.

Edit: went back to the numbers and it did indeed sell 14,313,808 units in its peak year according to VGC.



No troll is too much for me to handle. I rehabilitate trolls, I train people. I am the Troll Whisperer.

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binary solo said:
Troll_Whisperer said:

PS3 sold 14.3m units in its peak year (2011).

PS4 is at 12.9m at the moment, with 3 more weeks to go. It should easily sell the extra 1.4m and surpass PS3's peak year in its first year on the market.

Amazing feat, considering PS3 was $249, had a slim model and was a mature console with hundreds of successful games. The PS4 will still sell more with much less going for it.

Chartz says 14.7 million for 2011 for PS3. With 2 weeks to go it's got too do pretty much exactly 1.8 million (or are we going to be counting the W/E 3 Jan as a 2014 week?). I don't think it'll make it. I don't think PS4 will crack 1 million for W/E 20 Dec and it will drop substantially for W/E 27 Dec.

If we count W/E 3 Jan in 2014, then it's possible PS4 can average 600K per week across these 3 weeks, but that's a tall order with W/E 3 Jan likely to be around 250K.

I think it was a shoe in if 14.3M was the target, but alas it is not. Might want to change the OP AND the thread title to be PS4 first year might not quite outsell PS3 peak year.

20 million in year 2 or more likely year 3 seems highly probable. I think 20% growth year on year for 2 years running is pretty reasonable. Esp with probably a $50 price cut in 2015, and then a slim model and further price cut in 2016.  Can PS4's peak year be 10 million more than PS3's peak year? If year 4 is the peak year then possibly yes.

January 3rd is included in 2014 sales (5th week of December, 52nd of 2014).

And it will sell like 700-800k average for the 3 weeks.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Troll_Whisperer said:
binary solo said:

Chartz says 14.7 million for 2011 for PS3. With 2 weeks to go it's got too do pretty much exactly 1.8 million (or are we going to be counting the W/E 3 Jan as a 2014 week?). I don't think it'll make it. I don't think PS4 will crack 1 million for W/E 20 Dec and it will drop substantially for W/E 27 Dec.

If we count W/E 3 Jan in 2014, then it's possible PS4 can average 600K per week across these 3 weeks, but that's a tall order with W/E 3 Jan likely to be around 250K.

I think it was a shoe in if 14.3M was the target, but alas it is not. Might want to change the OP AND the thread title to be PS4 first year might not quite outsell PS3 peak year.

20 million in year 2 or more likely year 3 seems highly probable. I think 20% growth year on year for 2 years running is pretty reasonable. Esp with probably a $50 price cut in 2015, and then a slim model and further price cut in 2016.  Can PS4's peak year be 10 million more than PS3's peak year? If year 4 is the peak year then possibly yes.

Where did you get the 14.7 figure? I was looking at the tools section. Says 14,313,808.

http://www.vgchartz.com/yearly/2011/Global/

Something a bit fishy about the tools graph and the yearly table being off by 400K. I also notice the 360 is higher by over 100K on the tools graph. Making the gap for 2011 according to the graph just 300-some K whereas the gap according to this table is 900K.

What to believe when the site is contradicting itself. Does the graph represent adjustments, but the yearly table reflect a static picture as of 1 jan 2012? or is it the other way around?



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

binary solo said:

http://www.vgchartz.com/yearly/2011/Global/

Something a bit fishy about the tools graph and the yearly table being off by 400K. I also notice the 360 is higher by over 100K on the tools graph. Making the gap for 2011 according to the graph just 300-some K whereas the gap according to this table is 900K.

What to believe when the site is contradicting itself. Does the graph represent adjustments, but the yearly table reflect a static picture as of 1 jan 2012? or is it the other way around?

If you go to the weekly charts for the end of 2011 and 2010 and substract the numbers manually, you get 14,313,808. So I'd say that's the "correct" figure.



No troll is too much for me to handle. I rehabilitate trolls, I train people. I am the Troll Whisperer.

Troll_Whisperer said:
binary soo said:

http://www.vgchartz.com/yearly/2011/Global/

Something a bit fishy about the tools graph and the yearly table being off by 400K. I also notice the 360 is higher by over 100K on the tools graph. Making the gap for 2011 according to the graph just 300-some K whereas the gap according to this table is 900K.

What to believe when the site is contradicting itself. Does the graph represent adjustments, but the yearly table reflect a static picture as of 1 jan 2012? or is it the other way around?

If you go to the weekly charts for the end of 2011 and 2010 and substract the numbers manually, you get 14,313,808. So I'd say that's the "correct" figure.

So that suggests the yearly sales charts never get adjusted, which is disappointing as this means there is redundant information here, including all the software numbers. E.g. for 2011 you can see that CoD:MW3 has 12.5 and 10.3 million on the yearly chart. But using the game comparison tool it shows 11.5M and 9.6M. The game pages match the game comparison graphs.

Oh well, that makes the yearly sales chart completely useless as a quick and easy reference if there are adjustments made. They might as well remove them if they are not kept up to date.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

binary solo said:

So that suggests the yearly sales charts never get adjusted, which is disappointing as this means there is redundant information here, including all the software numbers. E.g. for 2011 you can see that CoD:MW3 has 12.5 and 10.3 million on the yearly chart. But using the game comparison tool it shows 11.5M and 9.6M. The game pages match the game comparison graphs.

Oh well, that makes the yearly sales chart completely useless as a quick and easy reference if there are adjustments made. They might as well remove them if they are not kept up to date.

That's VGC for you. I remember the weekly sales articles having wrong cumulative sales for months on end, despite me and others saying in the comments that they should be fixed. I don't think they ever did correct them.



No troll is too much for me to handle. I rehabilitate trolls, I train people. I am the Troll Whisperer.