PS4 will sell more in its first year than PS3 in its peak year

[Troll_Whisperer]

binary solo said:

Troll_Whisperer said:

PS3 sold 14.3m units in its peak year (2011).

PS4 is at 12.9m at the moment, with 3 more weeks to go. It should easily sell the extra 1.4m and surpass PS3's peak year in its first year on the market.

Amazing feat, considering PS3 was $249, had a slim model and was a mature console with hundreds of successful games. The PS4 will still sell more with much less going for it.

Chartz says 14.7 million for 2011 for PS3. With 2 weeks to go it's got too do pretty much exactly 1.8 million (or are we going to be counting the W/E 3 Jan as a 2014 week?). I don't think it'll make it. I don't think PS4 will crack 1 million for W/E 20 Dec and it will drop substantially for W/E 27 Dec.

If we count W/E 3 Jan in 2014, then it's possible PS4 can average 600K per week across these 3 weeks, but that's a tall order with W/E 3 Jan likely to be around 250K.

I think it was a shoe in if 14.3M was the target, but alas it is not. Might want to change the OP AND the thread title to be PS4 first year might not quite outsell PS3 peak year.

20 million in year 2 or more likely year 3 seems highly probable. I think 20% growth year on year for 2 years running is pretty reasonable. Esp with probably a $50 price cut in 2015, and then a slim model and further price cut in 2016.  Can PS4's peak year be 10 million more than PS3's peak year? If year 4 is the peak year then possibly yes.

Where did you get the 14.7 figure? I was looking at the tools section. Says 14,313,808. PS3 vs PS4 (so far):

Also, yes, the week ending January 3rd is considered part of 2014 by all trackers, including VGC.

Edit: went back to the numbers and it did indeed sell 14,313,808 units in its peak year according to VGC.