It will sell more than 15m for sure. That prediction is silly, but 20m seems difficult.

I think it will surpass 15M. 20M seems feasible..

IMO it's got a great line-up of exclusives dropping in 2015, there are plenty of reasons for people to buy the system.
Nintendo has never released a new home console a mere 4 years after the last platform they launched, and 6 years after Wii U came out there will be some very impressive tech on the market for them to choose from at a very reasonable price to them (new AMD CPU cores for an APU, new GPU tech, HBM and a choice of either stacked DDR4 or fast Universal Memory), plus that will be a year before the next Playstation and Xbox systems drop, so they're in a position to lead with revolutionary tech that both Sony and Microsoft will have to use.

Nintendo will hold out until 2018 to launch their next home console, so we're looking at another 4 years of software support for the Wii U.
I doubt the platform's peaked, I think Nintendo has at least one more 3D Mario game, another Zelda after the one landing in 2015, other new IPs (not only from existing franchises) like Splatoon, some sequels and probably some exclusives indies too.
I think Nintendo has other partnerships like Devil's Third in the pipeline too.
We'll probably see a comeback of Metroid, sequels for DK, Pikmin, maybe a Pokemon (in which case sales will sky rocket). People like to forget that Nintendo has other games like Wave Race, F-Zero, Pilot Wings that target different audiences to the ones they've already released games for and they can be very creative with new games.

IMO over 30 million is very likely for Lifetime (only one Nintendo system has sold less than that), I think Wii U will top 14 million by the end of 2015 and peak in 2016 selling over 21 by the end of that year, with a couple of 5 years after that.

There's plenty Nintendo can do to drive the sales of Wii U up much harder than we've seen, not forgetting great bundles with big games like MK8, Smash.

Ur actually wrong on a few things here. Wii U is tracking behind GC by a pretty large margin in every territory.

In terms of shipments, Wii U was at 7.29 million at the end of Sept, in the same time frame GC was at 10.45 million. Wii U is down over 3 million and the gap is getting larger. GC shipped a further 3.5 million for a total of 13.95 million at the end of its 2nd full year.

Wii U shipped 1.95 million last holiday and this year's sales are pretty similar so we should expect similar shipments, let's just say 2.2 million. That would put Wii U around 9.5 million compared to about 14 million for GC. Down 35% compared to GC thru 2nd full year, if it continues to be down by 35% then Wii U will only sell about 14-15 million.

Also N64 was at 23 million by Mar 1999 (2.5 years on market) so Wii U is tracking less than half as well as N64 which again would put Wii U less than 15 million lifetime.

Maybe, but i could care less. Nintendo put itself in this situation: poor marketing+ terrible name choose+ 2 years in the market and only 1 fifa, 2 cods,2 AC and no GTA no minecraft= how they expected to sell to the casual market?
I don't know how people can be sad or surprised by this. Let it go, enjoy the games that are coming to the system because Nintendo is supporting this thing despite the shit sales. I choose a console to play games not to cheer for its position in the market

So, what is the problem with that. 

They wil have the best games in generation. Enjoy and let investors worry about sales. 

Of course it won't hit 15 million. I have being saying from day one that it would struggle and no game would help as no game has ever helped boost sales. Everyone who simply took their time to look into previous consoles saw that SSB, MK, etc has never, ever boosted sales. What makes sales is the console.

Why? That is just flat out absurd. It has stuggled to hit 8 million, and now you think it can achieve 3 times that?

It's hard to tell where it will end.. It all depends of what Nintendo do.. But i think it's safe to say it would do more than 15 mill.. :)

If we look at last gen.. There are no reason to think the current trend will continue.. All 3 was at top at some point.. (the reasons for this is not only games, but also price, free services, and other)

As i see it.. Nintendo still have a lot of things they can do for WiiU.

1. Pricecut
2. New model (I have a dream of steam machine included.. but could also be a cheaper/ in other way better version)
3. New type of "casual" games (like Wii-fit last gen)
4. Make a headset (WiiU is prepered for VR, only the headset i missing)
5. Give us free games or a + service (could be "Nintendo VC unlimited" whit GC)
6. Make a deal whit apple/ google/LG or other
7. Go PR crazy.. Make big tournaments (whit insane prices) or other PR related
8. Make vitality sensor and must have (for health freaks) apps
9. Make it more media frindly (mp4, mkv and other formats)
10. New acount system (where Nintendo garentee, that the username/ games and apps, can be tranfered/ or used in online systems.. next 20 years)

That was just some i can think of.. there may be alot other (like no one saw Wii-fit comming)

AND not to forget.. like p0rn.. piracy matters.. just look at ps1/ps2 and wii.. If WiiU gets "Open" i think that will add +30 mill just there..

Buttom line.. way to early to say some yet.. Don't loose fait..

Hey everyone, a fanboy by the name of "Mr. PlayStation" is trolling another companies console. Hey troll, you know why Smash Bros. didn't do as well as people hoped? Because M$ high jacked the Wii U's momemtum by buying their way to the top spot, dumbass.

Oh wht's this? This Sony fanboy is ignoring the fact that Nintendo working on a new console is something that ALL FIRST PARTY COMPANIES DO is making it seem like NIntendi is giving up on the Wii U? So by your dumbass logic, Sony is giving up on the PS4 because they're working on their console? LOL what a idiot. How did you not think that up?

Permabanned   ~Barozi

Ah, another troll ignoring facts. So looks like Sony is doom because the PS4 isn't doing as well as the other PS consoles in Japan. See how easy it was to own you with a sentence, troll?

Permabanned   ~Barozi