Miguel_Zorro said:
I still disagree with this. I'll take the PS3 because I don't have time to go through everything.
Let's look at the claim "Why do COD sales go up and down in the exact years that hardware go up and down?" Answer - they don't. The biggest year for Call of Duty sales on the PS3 was 2012. That year, 13.7 million units of Call of Duty sold. 10,051,889 from Black Ops 2, which was the biggest COD game to date, 2,232,890 from MW3, and so on.
In 2012, PS3 console sales dropped, to 12,150,117. Even though PS3 console sales were lower than year, COD sales were higher.
In 2013, PS3 console sales dropped again, to 8,252,038, but the console had its best ever year for non-COD software sales. 136,785,833 software units were sold on the PS3 that year, meaning that Call of Duty sales declined relative to other software sales.
Yes, there's a correlation, but there's also a correlation between these things...
http://twentytwowords.com/funny-graphs-show-correlation-between-completely-unrelated-stats-9-pictures/
Call of Duty peaked with the Modern Warfare games. Black Ops was solid too. Ghosts just wasn't as well received, and Advanced Warfare hasn't reversed the trend. Even if you add the PS3 and PS4 COD sales together, Advanced Warfare isn't going to match the launch sales of Modern Warfare 3 or Black Ops 2.
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Since you only focused on PS3 (half the CoD market) and left out the 360 (the other half of the market) you can't say its fact that CoD sales were higher in 2012 than they were in 2011 because they weren't when you include the 360 in it as well which is what I'm talking about.
CoD sales were higher in 2012 than they were in 2011? Nope. BO2 is the biggest CoD title to date? Nope. BUT, CoD sales were higher on PS3 in 2012 than they were in 2011 but on the 360 it was a different story. BO2 was the biggest selling CoD on the PS3 but BO2 360 version was more than a million behind MW3 on the 360. MW3 is the biggest CoD to date and CoD sold more in 2011 than it did in 2012. CoD peaked in 2011, hardware sales (for both consoles combined) peaked in 2011 and that's that. Ever since 2012 CoD and hardware sales have been down YOY for the 7th generation. You can look up the info yourself or you can trust me but the data all adds up, CoD's decline matches the 7th gen hardware decline which is what was originally stated.
Those graphs were funny but the difference is there's 'direct' correlations here, correlations that make sense, not random ones. And of course AW isn't going to reverse the trend for 7th gen but it already has for the 8th generation by a good margin, and I'm not even counting digital sales.
Edit --- I'm not stating that CoD WILL climb back to 30 million, I'm just putting forth numbers in the database that suggest it could get back to its 25 million annual copies based off of my obvervation of those numbers. If I'm coming off aggressive (which I understand I do sometimes) then that's not how I mean it. I'm just giving my strong opinion on the matter.