Well im guessing it will release holiday 2016 so that works out perfectly with the game releases I mentioned.

Ok but look at 3DS & Wii U, very similar input methods (New 3DS actually makes them the exact same). 4 face buttons, 2 analogs, 4 shoulder buttons, dual screen approach, touch screen, gyroscopic motion controls, start, select, home. Basically the only difference is one is HD and the other is 3D. Even the big hitters are becoming more similar, 3D Land/3D World, NSMB2/NSMBU, MK7/MK8, DKC:R/DKC:TF, OoT3D/WWHD. Wii U is basically a console to play bigger, better sequels of 3DS games but the hardware/software is about 50% more expensive (3DS XL-$199.99, software $39.99, Wii U-$299.99, software $59.99) and 3DS has a vastly larger library.

With PS/XB/PC having a lock down on the mainstream AAA crowd, the casual crowd finding a new home on iOS/Android, and Nintendo spreading themselves thin by having to support two distinct pieces of hardware simultaneously, fans of Nintendo franchises are likely to pick the much cheaper option with much better support. Having Nintendo release devices that can share a library helps Nintendo give more sufficient software support along with saving time/money on R&D.

Many of Nintendo's games on Wii U are under performing simply because the install base is not there to support them. Mario Kart 8/3D World for example would likely have sold 2-3 as much if they had an install the size of 3DS to sell to.

I think Nintendo announce a new cheaper model once they end up selling the original +9 million or something Wii Us they manufactured.
And the 9 million people who bought the first model of the Wii U may become like the 3DS ambassadors, get some free virtual console games.

There is no way they would do an ambassador program, it's a completely different scenario. 3DS had an $80 price reduction 5 months after launch. Wii U is over 2 years old.

Reaching market saturation to me would be sales going downward. Instead they're increasing. Not very much, mind you, but they're increasing. The Wii U will never be what the Wii was, but it can still be a profitable console and it can still sell a healthy amount. At the end of the day, the gamers win as we're getting some pretty incredible games on the console and there's still so much more to come.

I still think that 2015 will be its peak with all these new games,especially USA'S beloved zelda,plus mario kart 8 smash bros retrospective boost!2014 cannot be its peak year because for the first 5 months of 2014 was selling poorly and then mario kart 8 came...!
I m implying that for the same period in 2015 will be yoy up and why not for the rest of the year...!
So we have to wait to see if there will be new baselines!I used plural because I mean monthly new baseline,i.e in comparison with what it was selling each month in 2014.
Mario kart set wii u at 60k for 3 months and then wii u fell to 40k because of games drought but didn't sell 20k+ like last year...!
January will be the test-drive month...

I doubt nintendo hits 10 million...and when profits from wii u die (which is about a year away) they will announce the successor

I definitely agree with this. I think 2015 will be the peak year. Smash + MK8 will have bumped the baseline, and there will be many more exclusive releases next year, which will provide boosts themselves (Splatoon, Mario Maker, Yoshi, Star Fox, Xenoblade, etc.). And of course Zelda will give a boost in the US. I'm hopeful sales will improve overall next year. Won't be gangbusters, but it will be better.

Sales will not improve next year, if history is any indication, they will be on the way down

You just tried to state that Wii U sales will not break 10 million. So forgive me if I take your predictions with a grain of salt. 

"HISTORY SAYS THE 3DS IS DOOMED" http://www.ign.com/articles/2011/07/29/history-says-the-3ds-is-doomed

Reminds me of this^ :p

Seriously, you dont think WiiU will hit 10mil Lifetime? Its going to hit 10mil next year bro :0