Jega said:
No they do not have to do better than the Xbox 360, the Xbox 360 has outsold the PS3 by 15 million units in the us. The PS4 just have a 4 million lead on the Xbox One. If Sony had at least a 7 Million lead I wouldn't think a comback would be possible. But a 4 million lead is definetly possible to catch. and I didn't say by this year or next year. I said holiday 2016. I don't think I am being unrealistic. |
But the thing is, it isn't about raw numbers, it's about sales ratios; right now, the sales between the two are close enough, in the U.S., for the Xbox One to start closing the gap if a fortuitous circumstance leads to a sale boost that is not reflected in the PS4. The reason is that the Xbox One, relatively speaking, doesn't need that BIG of a boost in the U.S. to start pushing higher numbers in that territory on a month-by-month basis. However, the question becomes 'how much of a month-by-month lead will they have?'
Even if the Xbox One does outsell the PS4 in the holiday months, in the U.S., there's no guarantee they'll do it by the 700+ thousand units needed just to catch up... (After Destiny launches, that gap is proooobably going to get even bigger. =P ) Both sides sold VERY well last holiday, in the case of the PS4 sold out all but completely, so the Xbox One getting a 700k lead during the holidays requires not just them to sell well, but the PS4 to sell poorly.
And considering the PS4 has Bloodborne, The Order, etc coming in the first half of 2015, the PS4's lead is likely to start growing again after the 2014 holidays, because you've said 'games sell hardware,' and the PS4 has more games coming in early 2015. If the PS4 continues to outsell it during the other 9 months of the year- and I can't see why it wouldn't outside of the holidays, given next year's lineup- then at best we might see the Xbox One and PS4 leapfrogging each other, with neither side gaining a solid lead in the U.S, for years. And this only assumes the Xbox One DOES outsell them in the holidays, which we can't say for certain since last holidays saw supply shortages on both sides.
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