It will end at GameCube's level IMO.
| *Sound Of Rain said: Looking back though, mine were biased just to be biased. I wasn't ever thinking logically... I said Wii U would dominate and PS4 would fail. I also said 3DS would do better than DS at one point. I was a blind fanboy. I'm serious too. I made all those predictions seemingly without thinking of anything other than "Go Nintendo!" |
Yeah, you can mock that up to being a "blind fanboy." It's easier that way.
Anyhow, you're right now, that's what matters. Just hope no one holds you up on those terrible predictions.
| MoHasanie said: I don't agree. I still believe the Wii U will outsell the GameCube. |
I think the Wii U will outsell GCN too.I think 27M
I think it will sell about the same, maybe just over. Considering the slow sales and all the Nintendo doom threads over the internet for the last 18 months I think if Nintendo get over 20 million with Wii U they will be relieved. The one thing in their favour though is that pretty much everyone you talk to that owns a Wii U really like the console and would be likely to recommend it to friends...
I also believe the wiiU will sell more than the GC. All it has to do is sell over 22M worldwide and its already at 6M+. I believe there are at least 10M more hardcore nintendo faithful that are just waiting for the wiiU to drop in price. Then teher will be at least another 10M people that either already own a PS4/XB1 that would pick it up as a second console much later in the systems life.
| KLXVER said: The WiiU will sell more. The industry has become way bigger than it was in the GC era... |
No it hasn't. In fact I predict that this generation will have similar sales to the 6th gen, and perhaps less.
Gaming has gotten much bigger, thanks to mobile phones and Facebook type games. But home consoles peaked in the 7th generation, largely thanks to the one generation wonders of the Nintendo blue ocean. That blue ocean has evaporated, as we can see with the pathetic Wii U sales. PS3+X360 < PS2+Xb. PS4 is shaping up to have similar sales to PS3 (only in less time) and Xb one is shaping up to have a lot less sales than X360. If Wii U was to some how miraculously reach 30 million in sales the 8th gen will still fall far short of the 7th gen, and unless MS some how performs a miracle with Xb one the 8th gen will fall well short of the 6th.
The 6th gen moved 200 million consoles. I think the 8th gen won't get above 180 million.
As to the prediction. 20 million seems to be as high as Wii U seems likely to go, and it may fall short. However all bets should be held until we see Wii U at $200. When it hits that price sales may pick up a lot. $200 might do for Wii U what $299 did for PS3. Well maybe not quite PS3 numbers, but in a relative sense Wii U might get a similar % boost sales long term. But perhaps by the time Wii U gets to $200 the market will have laregly forgotten it, which is the danger of not having any kind of momentum behind it.
“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell
"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."
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The market is smaller today and the Wii-U is no mass market product. No way it will sell even close to GC unless it is completely redesigned / rebooted in a mass market compatible way which means no or smaller tablet and many sports and casual games.
binary solo said:
No it hasn't. In fact I predict that this generation will have similar sales to the 6th gen, and perhaps less. Gaming has gotten much bigger, thanks to mobile phones and Facebook type games. But home consoles peaked in the 7th generation, largely thanks to the one generation wonders of the Nintendo blue ocean. That blue ocean has evaporated, as we can see with the pathetic Wii U sales. PS3+X360 < PS2+Xb. PS4 is shaping up to have similar sales to PS3 (only in less time) and Xb one is shaping up to have a lot less sales than X360. If Wii U was to some how miraculously reach 30 million in sales the 8th gen will still fall far short of the 7th gen, and unless MS some how performs a miracle with Xb one the 8th gen will fall well short of the 6th. The 6th gen moved 200 million consoles. I think the 8th gen won't get above 180 million. As to the prediction. 20 million seems to be as high as Wii U seems likely to go, and it may fall short. However all bets should be held until we see Wii U at $200. When it hits that price sales may pick up a lot. $200 might do for Wii U what $299 did for PS3. Well maybe not quite PS3 numbers, but in a relative sense Wii U might get a similar % boost sales long term. But perhaps by the time Wii U gets to $200 the market will have laregly forgotten it, which is the danger of not having any kind of momentum behind it. |
This gen has barely started FFS...
| Intrinsic said: I also believe the wiiU will sell more than the GC. All it has to do is sell over 22M worldwide and its already at 6M+. I believe there are at least 10M more hardcore nintendo faithful that are just waiting for the wiiU to drop in price. Then teher will be at least another 10M people that either already own a PS4/XB1 that would pick it up as a second console much later in the systems life. |
Not if Nintendo doesn't let that happen by announcing something new making Wii U die too early.
Wii U is currently underselling the GCN so I don't see why sales would randomly jump
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