I feel like you intentionally ignored the "120 to 200", Max, and that's bad form. Come on.
US 120+ is a very very solid prediction.

I know what you said. Why not say 0 to infinity? 

At least you have reasoning to back up your claim. Even if I don't agree. Which is why I didn't single you out like the other guy.

I didn't ignore it. But why even go that high? Why not just say 500k at that point. 120k is solid which would mean about 25k more for Europe and it would be at the number I just threw out into the wind. Increase Europe to 50k or so and I wasn't far off.

The correct answer was no. and you THINK that because?

Big game releases see big game drops in its second week... Unless launched in holiday period. 

I ded wearn dat in ewementury, yesh I ded.

You expect MK8 to sell at least 17 million units. With a reasonable optimistic lifetime sales estimate for WiiU being 22 million, that's an attach rate never seen by anything except Wii Sports which was THE Wii game and was bundled with every Wii outside Japan for years in the best selling part of its lifespan. I'm sure you've considered this but for some reason you don't think it's crazy.

I think, like Max said in this case, install base will severely limit potential. And I simply think your prediction is unreasonably high. Like, double my lifetime prediction.

We'll agree to disagree. I'd be happy to see it but I'm not sure I'd believe the numbers even then!

It wasn't necessarily but at that point I was debating whether this was a wise conversation to start and if you were simply someone making a baseless statement that my objections to would merely be spiteful and derail the thread. In which case I felt it would not have merited a reply. Sorry about it, thinking out loud.

I'll be more clear. what makes you think US and Europe will be the same? US + canada got nearly double of japan.

I'm always deadly serious.

Always