JayWood2010 said:
Michael-5 said:
Your analysis is biased. XB1 numbers got a huge boost from Titanfall, but WiiU numbers have yet to get their huge boost from Mario Kart 8.
With that in mind, WiiU should continue to outsell XB1 at least for 2014.
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I gave A huge boost to titanfall? I said i based it off of X360 2006 trend as theyre tracking similar, and even then i lowered Xbox one numbers. And while I lowered xbox one I gave WiiU about an extra 250k considering last year from april to september it sold roughlt 560k. But yes, it is a biased of course, it must be *sigh*
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Don't give me that attitude because I disagree with you. Your opinion =/= fact.
Your analysis is biased because it's "Based off of the numbers we know of March 22nd, 2014" With that it's based off the numbers including the boost from Titanfall, but WiiU has yet to get its boost from Mario Kart. Going to list invalid assumptions you made:
1. Your 800k value for WiiU is way too low, Mario Kart could flip WiiU sales right on its head.
2. 360 sales inflated quite a bit during the holidays of 2006 because the PS3/Wii released, and people were more or less ready to get into the 7th gen (Plus PS2 wasn't as domineering). XB1 won't get this boost since it released last. Plus PS3 was a big flop at first so the media and hype was with the 360, where the media & hype are against the XB1 this time.
3. 360 only sold 3.6 million during it's Q4 2006, yet you give the XB1 5 million for Q4 2014? HOW??? WHY???
4. XB1 Q4 2014 <<<<< 360 Q4 2014 because Gears of War really pushed consoles in 2006. I doubt Microsoft has a heavy hitter new IP ready for fall again.
5. XB1 Q4 will be at best 3 million. It's selling 87% as well as 360 on a weekly average (ignoring Titanfall boost week), and there is no new IP like Gears of War.
Either way 0.5m + 1.2-2m + 2.5m-4m = 4.2-6.5 million for 2014 WiiU
and---------1.0m + 1.7m + 3 m = 5.7 million for 2014 for XB1
So not only will XB1 not surpass WiiU lifetime sales in 2014, it might not even surpass WiiU annual sales in 2014. Mario Kart is Nintendo's biggest franchise after all.
So this would put 2014 year end sales at:
9.6 - 11.9 million - WiiU
8.6 million - XB1