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Forums - Politics - What does Putin want with Ukraine

 

What is his end state

Annex Ukraine As a whole 337 40.60%
 
Annex Crimea 286 34.46%
 
Defend Russian People Fro... 184 22.17%
 
Total:807

terrorists and traitors have tried to take over ukraine

just like they did in libya and currently syria

i wish for the terrorists and traitors to be dealt with harshly



...not much time to post anymore, used to be awesome on here really good fond memories from VGchartz...

PSN: Skeeuk - XBL: SkeeUK - PC: Skeeuk

really miss the VGCHARTZ of 2008 - 2013...

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Goatseye said:
ultima said:
Goatseye said:
 

1-I guess the asinine natural gas price packaged for them by Gazprom is a token of being good "tovarishch".

2- How can you prove that?

1 - In December, Russia approved a $15B loan to Ukraine. In addition, gas prices were slashed to levels far below the prices charged to rest of Europe. Also, Ukraine gets a cut from all energy transit through their country.

2 - There was a leak of a phone conversation between Estonian foreign minister and some British lady. The leak has been verified by the Estonian guy. In the conversation, they talk about how a doctor (Olga) told the Estonian foreign minister that the same snipers were killing police and protesters; moreover, the new government wants to sweep the killings under a rug, not wanting to investigate. The doctor believes strongly that the snipers were not Yanukovich's.

1- Russia knows Ukraine will struggle to pay back those $15 billion.

Ukraine in debt is very advantageous to them. EU didn't let Ukraine borrow money earlier cause there's no way Ukraine was gonna pay them on time and with a decent interest.

Get a glimpse on how neighboring countries deal with russia when it comes to energy business.

http://www.thegwpf.org/europe-seeking-alternatives-russias-natural-gas/

2- I don't know for sure to tell you the truth, these infos can be a counterinformation for all I know. Whoever those snipers were, they are as coward as who sent them. And Yanukovich is capable of anything how can people defend him?

1 - Yet now EU is okay with providing  a $15B loan? How does that make sense? And I agree, Gazprom is not a very nice company. But they've actually been nicer to Ukraine as opposed to their other customers.

2 - Yanukovich is capable of anything? There's evidence out there suggesting that snipers were not his.



           

Russia is simply looking to secure access to the only warm water naval base they have to access western Europe, the Mediterranean, and Red Sea.

If the new Ukraine government was smart they would offer Russia a lease extension from 2047 to 2147 to keep the naval base there and guarantee Russian culture (language and other cultural norms) is supported by the government in exchange for a permanent withdrawl of occupying troops from the peninsula.

Right now the west seems to think that Russia has to lose. They have to look for a way for Russia to claim a victory.



Kasz216 said:
ultima said:

Yeah, because it's really hard to google things, right? Also, government officials may never have other email addresses, right? Especially a country like Lithuania, with a lot of enemies wanting to get their greedy claws on their secrets. Hey, I'm not conclusively stating that the leaks were legit; however, the reason you give to refute them is horrible.

About Orange Revolution: the point is not that it may have been warranted (in addition, it being warranted is debatable). The point is that US was involved in the domestic issues of Ukraine. So claims of current involvement are not as outrageous as you try to make them out to be.

Why is the Black Sea Fleet stationed in Chrimea? Because that's where it's been historically, since 18th or 19th centry. They had the infrastructure there, and Russia did not have the funds to relocate after the dissolution of the Soviet Union. A naval base is not something you can load on a truck and move to a different location. Is that not obvious?

And Russia has been terrible to Ukraine? Really?

And check that out: EU approved a $15B loan to Ukraine now. There goes your justification of previous EU offers. This says two things: EU had the money to cough up and that EU is more willing to help out the current renegade government, that was able to come to power thanks to street thugs who hired snipers and blamed the murders on the democratically elected officials.

1) You've given no reasons why the emails aren't legit, just why the people who made them made really stupid mistakes in faking them.

2)  Except during the Orange Revolution, the US and EU were upfront about it through people who trained non-violent protestors.   That's a whole lot different then what's going on here.

3) So you more or less made my point for me on the need for Sevestapool.  You say they can move the base, but that they couldn't move the base now, because it takes time and money.   So if the Kiev government decides to invaldiate the Russians and kick out the Black Fleet... then what?

 

4)  Yes.  Russia has been terrible to the Ukraine.   That should be a fairly undeniable statement.  Outside which, did you look at the EU offer?  It's the same as the Greece offer... and the previous offer basically.

Some money upfront with further conditions.

So, it doesn't change anything, accept putting out a big number that better explains that money will be there if the Ukrainian government actually reforms it's economy.

 

1 - I admitted that they may not be legit. I just wanted to get your comment on them. And your comments were that it's a fake because one of the addresses is perhaps not plausible.

2 - Except during the Orange Revolution, protests didn't turn violent and crazy. And the circumstances were much different. The purpose of the Orange Revolution was not to oust a democratically elected government out of the office.

3 - No, you have no point. And do not distort my words. The understanding was that the base would be available until 2042 for sure, and probably until 2047 at least. That gives Russia plenty of time to assess what actions are to be taken. Moreover, the new government never said they would boot the fleet.

4 - No. Perhaps Call of Duty isn't the best source of current or past events? And exactly, the same loan, more money. Doesn't that strike you as odd? And don't make it sound like you had this expectation or understanding from the beginning. Your earlier words clearly show that the original tiny loan offer is how you think the EU rolls.



           

Kasz216 said:
Mnementh said:

Sharu said:No. I have some pieces of info pointing on it, but no proof.

By the way, do you have any proof that Yanukovich ordered snipers to shoot people?

Oh no, the unfaillable west and the maidan claimed that the snipers were from Yanukovich. That does not need to be proofed, just beli3ve!!!!

If you have some points that pointstoward another explanation (as unearthed), that is not enough to beat the claims of the West. You have to provide proof, and double that. Because the western government never ever lie or claim stuff without evidence. Like WMDs in Iraq.

I'm guessing you don't know much about the whole WMD's in iraq thing outside the fact that there weren't any there, if you think the Sharu/West is behind everything statements remotely are the same.

There was plenty of evidence pointing to Iraq having WMDs.  Just none of it ended up being true.  The Bush administration more or less got taken in by info they wanted to believe provided by third parties, while ignore other information.

It's a much more fascinating story then simply "Bush made up some stuff".

Bush administration didn't make up stuff, because they thought Iraq had WMD's, despite the fact that Iraq rejected these allegations, despite the fact that Iraq had complied with UN requests to allow inspectors, despite the fact that the UN, along with an earlier Iraqi defector, claimed that no WMD's could be found, despite the fact that integrity of whatever "evidence" that was forwarded was questioned, despite the fact that no WMD's were found post-conflict, instead of waiting for strong evidence for their claims to surface, despite the fact that, even if present, Iraqi WMD's would not be an imminent threat to the American public or interests. The only fascinating bit is that Bush and Cheney are not in a cell right now.

Edit: I originally accused you of justifying the Iraq war. Edited after I saw your other post. My apologies.



           

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ultima said:
Kasz216 said:
Mnementh said:

Sharu said:No. I have some pieces of info pointing on it, but no proof.

By the way, do you have any proof that Yanukovich ordered snipers to shoot people?

Oh no, the unfaillable west and the maidan claimed that the snipers were from Yanukovich. That does not need to be proofed, just beli3ve!!!!

If you have some points that pointstoward another explanation (as unearthed), that is not enough to beat the claims of the West. You have to provide proof, and double that. Because the western government never ever lie or claim stuff without evidence. Like WMDs in Iraq.

I'm guessing you don't know much about the whole WMD's in iraq thing outside the fact that there weren't any there, if you think the Sharu/West is behind everything statements remotely are the same.

There was plenty of evidence pointing to Iraq having WMDs.  Just none of it ended up being true.  The Bush administration more or less got taken in by info they wanted to believe provided by third parties, while ignore other information.

It's a much more fascinating story then simply "Bush made up some stuff".

Bush administration didn't make up stuff, because they thought Iraq had WMD's, despite the fact that Iraq rejected these allegations, despite the fact that Iraq had complied with UN requests to allow inspectors, despite the fact that the UN, along with an earlier Iraqi defector, claimed that no WMD's could be found, despite the fact that integrity of whatever "evidence" that was forwarded was questioned, despite the fact that no WMD's were found post-conflict, instead of waiting for strong evidence for their claims to surface, despite the fact that, even if present, Iraqi WMD's would not be an imminent threat to the American public or interests. The only fascinating bit is that Bush and Cheney are not in a cell right now.

Edit: I originally accused you of justifying the Iraq war. Edited after I saw your other post. My apologies.

Well you've got about half of that wrong.

Though yeah.  

Bush really didn't make anything up.  He just used what was already there as a pretext simply because he had the naive belief that America had the ability to nation build.  I actually think he beleived there were WMD's simply because he wanted to.


In general though you aren't giving bush enough credit.  They didn't really comply with the UN inspectors fully, a couple of sketchy sources claimed WMDs and technically they did find WMDS.  Just not WMD's that are particularly worrying enough to start a war over.

http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2010/10/wikileaks-show-wmd-hunt-continued-in-iraq-with-surprising-results/



ultima said:
Kasz216 said:
ultima said:

 

1) You've given no reasons why the emails aren't legit, just why the people who made them made really stupid mistakes in faking them.

2)  Except during the Orange Revolution, the US and EU were upfront about it through people who trained non-violent protestors.   That's a whole lot different then what's going on here.

3) So you more or less made my point for me on the need for Sevestapool.  You say they can move the base, but that they couldn't move the base now, because it takes time and money.   So if the Kiev government decides to invaldiate the Russians and kick out the Black Fleet... then what?

 

4)  Yes.  Russia has been terrible to the Ukraine.   That should be a fairly undeniable statement.  Outside which, did you look at the EU offer?  It's the same as the Greece offer... and the previous offer basically.

Some money upfront with further conditions.

So, it doesn't change anything, accept putting out a big number that better explains that money will be there if the Ukrainian government actually reforms it's economy.

 

1 - I admitted that they may not be legit. I just wanted to get your comment on them. And your comments were that it's a fake because one of the addresses is perhaps not plausible.

2 - Except during the Orange Revolution, protests didn't turn violent and crazy. And the circumstances were much different. The purpose of the Orange Revolution was not to oust a democratically elected government out of the office.

3 - No, you have no point. And do not distort my words. The understanding was that the base would be available until 2042 for sure, and probably until 2047 at least. That gives Russia plenty of time to assess what actions are to be taken. Moreover, the new government never said they would boot the fleet.

4 - No. Perhaps Call of Duty isn't the best source of current or past events? And exactly, the same loan, more money. Doesn't that strike you as odd? And don't make it sound like you had this expectation or understanding from the beginning. Your earlier words clearly show that the original tiny loan offer is how you think the EU rolls.


2) The point is... it was upfront.

 

3)  I'm curious why you think the current understanding would remain effect?  I mean, you see a large part of the protestors as super anti-russian neo-nazi facists right?   Why would they go along with letting the russians stay there?

4)  Not sure what call of duty has to do with anything.  Russian bullying has been pretty consistant.

and yeah... the EU loan is still a tiny one to start off with.  With the promise of more.

Again look at the conditions.  It's still the same hundred million or so this year.

The rest, isn't until later, and has no gurtantee to matieralize.  The whole 15 billion number is just a bit of smoke and mirrors to show that an EU bailout could be as big as the russian ones to motivate voters when the Ukraine holds new elections.


Outside which, the Ukraine has been angling for $35 billion.  Nobodies offered that amount yet.



He wants land and his people under his control, so do they.
Military strategic locations.
Show the world they cant do anything, mother ruska is a power.
Keep a sphere of influence, keep a buffer state between rus and Eu.

Hilarious i saw a news thing with some ignorant ukraininas yelling at russian soldiers America is with us, I lol'd my ass of.



NeoRatt said:
Russia is simply looking to secure access to the only warm water naval base they have to access western Europe, the Mediterranean, and Red Sea.

If the new Ukraine government was smart they would offer Russia a lease extension from 2047 to 2147 to keep the naval base there and guarantee Russian culture (language and other cultural norms) is supported by the government in exchange for a permanent withdrawl of occupying troops from the peninsula.

Right now the west seems to think that Russia has to lose. They have to look for a way for Russia to claim a victory.


I dont know if you understand this, but Russia has no claim to it. If they want it, there is only two possible ways the international community will accept it.

1. Ukraine sells it to them for a price.

2. Democratic referendum.

 

I worry that this will escalate into something worse. It might be inevitable that democracy and comunism clash in war until one goes. China is beeing very clever staying out of this. I would rather comunism issues be solved with internal disputes. Thats not gonna happen until the oil/gas runs out though.

Zimmerman's handywork troubling us to this day. What a devious character.



torok said:

 

Danman27 said:

Not really. The UNA is just a pawn of the US in most cases. They don't really have much power. The USA is the only country that's considered a super power by most scholars. Most believe that China, India, EU, and Russia may become super powers in the 21st century. 

UN is a pawn for the 5 security concil member. US started to want to end the North Korea problem, China vetoed it. Syria was the same thing but with Russian vetoing. 

 

Sharu said:
BTW, Crimea parlament just made a desicion. 16th of March will be referendum, so people of Crimea wil decide, if they stay in Ukraine on join Russian Federation.

That would be the most reasonable method.

I agree that the UN is a pawn of all 5, but especially the US. 

And at Sharu's comment. I hope it ends that peacefully. You never know though.