It was just the number I kept seeing in my head.

I wanted to post this in January but decided against it. Every time I thought on the subject I kept seeing two numbers: 3.6 and 4.1.

4.1 became the strongest image when I closed my eyes thinking on the subject. It's what I saw in the darkness with my eyes shut.

3.6 looked like a faded blue while 4.1 was a blazing gold.

So I had to go with my vision.

Yeah I know it sounds crazy but that's how these things come to me.

In a flash.

John Lucas

@ JL

Oh, you see that when you're having your delusions of grandeur?

So basically what you're saying is that the PS3 is a fad? Or a complete failure from the getgo then. Okay, then don't jump the gun the next time someone dares suggest that Wii sales might slow down.
I don't know what (besides wishfull thinking) you base your predictions on, but I know what they're not based on; understanding.
We'll always have different opinions, and I'm glad, Vgchartz would be a pretty boring place without differences of opinion...

I admire your lofty prediction JL, but 4.1million wii's per month average over the next fiscal year is a liitle much. During the previous year in the slow months you could find wii's in almost all European countries and in japan, their are many reports of this all over the internet forums from gamers in these countries. The demand for 4.1million wii's is just not real.

I could imagine that Nintendo will raise production to 2.1million wii's per month at the start of the fiscal year, but i can not see much more then that in the near future. Nintendo sold on avearge 1.367mil wii's each month during 2007 according to this site. They are already making to 1.8million each month, thats already a nice increase over last years numbers.

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 06th Jan 2007 to 29th Dec 2007:

Console Wii
Total 16,408,500

I think 3 millions per month is possible, but not 4 million

It is most pleasing when John Lucas' predictions come to pass. He was one of the very few to predict the current success of the Wii and he's right -- they are going to have to up production to deal with the massive upcoming demand. It is absolutely unprecidented for ANY consumer electronic to be difficult to find over a year after its launch and SSBB and WiiFit will will continue the upward trends and unprecidented demand. This is truly an exciting time for all gaming and Nintendo fans in particular!

 Well remember at the end of the year there were sellouts and a lot of leftover demand, and this year we are seeing increased demand so far (I mean how many consoles sell almost 450K a week in February)

I would agree with 3.5M +/-
Nintendo needs to spam the console early so they can't guarantee their domination to the point of no return. The demand is still there and strong after more than a year.
They are also expanding into new regions and that opens up more flexibility for diverting their wares.
I see 4.1M/month as possible.

I would think, making it 4M/month throughout is easier than going from 1.8 > 2.2 > 2.6 > 3.3 > etc...

I am just pulling crap outta my ass, don't quote me on it :)

Of course not.  Both assumptions are flawed and irrelevant.