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Forums - Sales - So, which do you think will hit 100 Million units sold first: PS3 or PS4?

 

So which one?

PS4 first followed by PS3 30 9.23%
 
PS3 first followed by PS4 145 44.62%
 
Only PS4 will break 100M 62 19.08%
 
Only PS3 will break 100M 17 5.23%
 
Neehter! cuz teh Wii U iz the best! 65 20.00%
 
Xbox anyone? 6 1.85%
 
Total:325
BMaker11 on 14 January 2014

PS2 sold 50M units after PS3 launched, and still has games coming out for it (FIFA 14) and only officially stopped being supported by Sony in 2012 (12 years after launch). Seeing that, you think Sony will stop supporting the PS3 just because the PS4 came out? If the PS3 lasts anywhere near as long as the PS2 did, it will pass 100M and then some



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BMaker11 on 14 January 2014
superchunk said:
GamechaserBE said:
superchunk said:
PS3 will never hit 95m let alone 100m.

PS4 will dominate similar to PS2, but not quite as high as Xbone will do better than o.g. Xbox but worse than X360.

How can you be so certain....

Just need to lay out what it has sold each year, look at its recent YOY decline and what typically happens once a successor launches (50% YOY declines)... pretty confident it will reach a max of 90m to 93m.

(for PS consoles) sell 30-50% more consoles?



NintendoSupporter<3 on 14 January 2014

PS3 will first. PS3 is gonna become super cheap a lot of people will finally be able to get one. And for the people who owns a XB360 (like me) will probably be buying a PS3 for some of their first party exclusives like Uncharted, Infamous, GoW, and Last of Us. PS3 may even pass Wii sales.



ninetailschris on 14 January 2014

None.

PS3 been decreasing to point it may hit 90 million and call it a day.

Ps4 2-3 years in my prediction consoles will see a big trend downwards as cloud gaming takes over.



"Excuse me sir, I see you have a weapon. Why don't you put it down and let's settle this like gentlemen"  ~ max

EricFabian on 14 January 2014

None. But I think PS3 will be closer



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GamechaserBE on 14 January 2014
superchunk said:
GamechaserBE said:
superchunk said:
PS3 will never hit 95m let alone 100m.

PS4 will dominate similar to PS2, but not quite as high as Xbone will do better than o.g. Xbox but worse than X360.

How can you be so certain....

Just need to lay out what it has sold each year, look at its recent YOY decline and what typically happens once a successor launches (50% YOY declines)... pretty confident it will reach a max of 90m to 93m.

Yeah well I am not sure of it.   They probably announce 83 million shipped. Can sell 1-2 million in Japan and 10 million outside of Japan especially with a price cut because it is not that cheap yet.  I would be surprised  if it not reach 95 million...



superchunk on 14 January 2014
bouzane said:

Neither the PS2 nor PSP suffered 50% YoY declines after the launches of their successors so why would this happen to the PS3? I don't even need to mention the fact that the emerging markets greatly prefer the Playstation brand and Sony will likely capitalize upon this by pushing the PS3. This will allow them to cement their brand in these markets while recouping the early losses generated by the PS3. I honestly can not understand how you concluded that the PS3 would sell between 90 and 93 million units, your prediction is simply too low. I would expect no less than 95 million due to past trends for the brand as well as the emerging markets where Sony currently dominates.

I don't have PS2 data, but here is the data I do have.

PSP went from 7.5m to 4.3m
DS went from 20m to 8.8m
Wii went from 11.5m to 5.2m

Granted Wii was already dropping that fast, but other two were not, at least not to that degree.

I expect PS360 to do same in 2014 vs 2013;  YOY decline of approx 50%.



bouzane on 15 January 2014
superchunk said:
bouzane said:

Neither the PS2 nor PSP suffered 50% YoY declines after the launches of their successors so why would this happen to the PS3? I don't even need to mention the fact that the emerging markets greatly prefer the Playstation brand and Sony will likely capitalize upon this by pushing the PS3. This will allow them to cement their brand in these markets while recouping the early losses generated by the PS3. I honestly can not understand how you concluded that the PS3 would sell between 90 and 93 million units, your prediction is simply too low. I would expect no less than 95 million due to past trends for the brand as well as the emerging markets where Sony currently dominates.

I don't have PS2 data, but here is the data I do have.

PSP went from 7.5m to 4.3m
DS went from 20m to 8.8m
Wii went from 11.5m to 5.2m

Granted Wii was already dropping that fast, but other two were not, at least not to that degree.

I expect PS360 to do same in 2014 vs 2013;  YOY decline of approx 50%.

DS and Wii trends are irrelevant to the Playstation brand as Nintendo does not support legacy systems nearly as extensively as Sony. In 2012 and 2013 the PSP's sales were down YoY by 42, then 28 percent. If the PS3 trends downward at the same rate then we can expect it to sell 5093833 and 3667560 units in 2014 and 2015. That leaves the lifetime sales at just over 91 million. Unless sales drop another 45 percent in 2016 with production ending by the end of the year sales will exceed 93 million. The PS3 stands to gain from additional price cuts and expansion into developing markets while software sales and development are still quite healthy. The PS3 is in far better shape than the PSP circa 2011 so I think it is a pretty safe bet that LTD unit sales will exceed 95 million.



BeElite on 15 January 2014

PS 102.49 million
Production ended 2006, 12 years after debut.
You can bet your left nut PS3 will cross 100m

Id love to see what it sales at 99.99



xJbownagex on 15 January 2014

PS4, considering the PS3 is the price of the Wii U and it's 8 years old. I still need to buy a PS3, but I'm waiting until it drops to at least $150 or less.

If momentum keeps up and PS4 sells at a rate of 4.2 million units per two months, it can definitely get to 100 Million before the PS3. I'm pretty sure it's already outsold the PS3's first year (correct me if I'm wrong, if it's not then it's getting there)