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Forums - Sony - How Much Do You Think PS4's Sales Will Drop?

 

How much?

100k weekly 61 24.21%
 
50k weekly 33 13.10%
 
Wii U level (20k weekly) 29 11.51%
 
PS4 level 66 26.19%
 
1 billion! 12 4.76%
 
Wii U is doomed 30 11.90%
 
PS4 is doomed 21 8.33%
 
Total:252

I think once the dust has settled from its launch (some time mid march), it will go to about 100-200k weekly. But they really did set up their launch strategically to have a constant large amount of sales. Launch in the US, Europe, and Australia before christmas for a large amount of holiday sales and excited people at launch. Then once that has calmed down for a few weeks, have a launch in Japan to have another huge spike in sales. Then a month later have a huge game like infamous launch, which should increase sales a lot in the US.



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Serious_frusting said:
People do realise that 50k a week is what the ps3 was doing in 2007 when everyone hated it and said it was doomed. The wii had a worse launch than the ps4 and never went below 200k in 2007. A week ortwo being an exception.

I would also like to point outthat for most weeks the wii was around the 250k mark.

Thought i would post this to give you perspective.

Very true. Also, when the PS3 relaunch took place in September 2009, sales didn't dip below 120K for over a year. Now people are mentioning 50k with the PS4? Both PS4 and Xbox One won't go that low at all.



I think it will sell like the PS4, so PS4 level.



Game of the year 2017 so far:

5. Resident Evil VII
4. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe
3. Uncharted: The Lost Legacy
2. Horizon Zero Dawn
1. Super Mario Odyssey

January first week : around 400k (quote me on this)
Second week : around 250k
Third week : around 200k
Last week : around 150k

Yes, i truly believe PS4 will sell an other million in January.

February before Japan launch : More than 100k every week.



Why ? Because you forget the huge demand, PS4 is sold out everywhere and not even near to meet the demand i think.



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

I'm gonna go pessimistic and say 150k Jan, then 100k in Feb before ramping up to ~130k min a week once Driveclub and Infamous hits. I love my PS4 but I still believe its launch lineup is a bit meh (though no worse than most launch line-ups), and that will hurt once supply catches up with demand in Feb. However by end of Mar I think its game line-up will be much broader and that will have a positive impact.

I still think PS4 will go the best of the consoles over the next two years (I refuse to predict longer than that), so please don't take the above as me predicting doom for the PS4.



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130k-ish.



My guess is;

PS4
January first week: 250 000-300 000
Second week: 150 000-200 000
Third week: 120 000-150 000
Fourth week: 100 000-150 000

With a total of 620 000-800 000 for January



In comparison, Wii U will do;

January first week: 75 000-100 000 (closer to 75 000)
Second week: 75 000-100 000 (closer to 75 000)
Third week: 75 000-100 000 (closer to 75 000)
Forth week: 75 000-100 000 (closer to 75 000)

With a total of 300 000-400 000 in January



Xbox One is much more difficult to estimate since MS might suffer from supply issues linked to the need of large inventory build up for upcoming spring launches in new market territories. All I can say is to expect Xbox One to come somewhere between Wii U and PS4 in terms of sales; in other words 300 000-800 000.
As a result of a presumed quite large inventory build up, MS total January figures for Xbox One could actually go slightly below Wii U's January sales, even though actual demand could be almost as high as for PS4.



That all depends on how many are even available for sale.



Aerys said:
January first week : around 400k (quote me on this)
Second week : around 250k
Third week : around 200k
Last week : around 150k

Yes, i truly believe PS4 will sell an other million in January.

February before Japan launch : More than 100k every week.



Why ? Because you forget the huge demand, PS4 is sold out everywhere and not even near to meet the demand i think.

 

My prediction was very accurate, they can easily make 5M by january end.



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

gigantor21 said:
I can't possibly imagine either the PS4 or Xone dropping to 20k weekly, but I don't see it sustaining 100k in January without Japan either.

I'll go with 50k weekly.

Not even PS3 ever dropped below 80K.

There is just no way it will drop to under 100K WHATEVER happens, in 2014 at least.