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Forums - General Discussion - Is the evolution story really scientific?

I've just read the OP and none of the other posts in the thread I'm afraid but just in direct answer to the original Post you must be aware that the planet we're on has Existed for over 4 and a half billion years, of which only 150000 or so have been seen by what is considered a Human Being today.
So just to break it down we've been on this Earth for a total of 1/30000th of its existence only the past 3000 or so years at the very most have any forms of recordings of the "history" around them at the time so again... we have human records for 1/1500000th of the age of our Beautiful planet. Heck if you expect to see a Rock grow legs and walk off during your lifetime you should know you'll see 1/45millionth of the earths lifetime if you live to be 100.
Just some ridiculously large numbers to ponder about just how much of what's gone on that we've seen.



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Farmageddon said:
padib said:
Farmageddon said:

Ok, but the thing is that if you don't presuppose humans to be special than the idea of a fine-tuned world loses meaning if other kinds of life-forms could have surfaced instead given different conditions. The other explanation, though, that humans just happen to be what came to thrive under these conditions, and are thus molded by these very conditions, remains very much plausible.

So for this kind of argument to work you have start out by supposing "humans are special". By doing so the conclusion you reach is "the world is fine-tuned for humans", and then one might try to say, from this, that the universe was thus designed to nurture us, since there's this fine-tuning. But this is the same as saying "if humans are special than humans are special".

The bolded part though shows all that could actually try to be inferred about from this: consistency (or negation). As in, supposing it's right won't bring about a logical contradiction or contradiction with the evidence on this given aspect. It could never, however, in any way, be used to try and prove that intelligent design is right, which is what he initially implied (or at least I understood it this way), because the argument would essentially end up begging the question.

Do notice taht saying "humans are not special thus there's no fine-tuning" faces the same adversity. So, focusing only on this very specific arguemnt, both remain equally sound but unprovable. But so is also the case with the idea that the world is fine0tuned for ants or bacteria or whatever. Faced with both possibilities the simpler one seems to me to be the one that involves less "special cases", ie, the one that says the existing species are just a product of their enviroment's condition, and thus "fine-tuned" to it.

As a side note, one might argue the world is not quite as perfect for us as it might be.

I am making an effort to understand, after reading your post a few times, because I'm not a professional in proof and logic.

@underlined. Given the conditions being what they are and not different, then it's more safe to assume that it was indeed fine-tuned  for the living organisms we see today. Otherwise, it would be like saying, in a crime scene, that the killer could have used a knife instead of a gun if in other conditions he could only find a knife. If he used a gun, then he didn't use a knife. The fact that he may have used a knife doesn't change the fact that he used a gun. So the conditions in the universe may have been different, but what we are certain of is that they are not different, they are what they are and that's the bottom line. That's what we go by, the actual state of the universe, not what could have been.

@italics. The idea is not to prove than humans are special, but when the parameters required for human existence are very precise it's enough to wonder if it was designed that way. There's not more to this. It becomes an even more nagging question if you see no truth to evolution and naturalistic explanations to life.

Im quite a bit drunk right now, so instead of answering your points directly, I'll try and weave an analogy. Sorry for any incovenience.

See, say you, as well as a million other guys, bet numbers on the lotto. And, for simplicity's sake, say none of you bet the same numbers and that the probability of one of you guys actually getting the numbers right was considerable, statistically speaking.

Now say you actually win the lotto. As in, the numbers drawn are the same as the ones you had bet on.

There are two ways you could see this:

1 - The numbers were drawn equal to mine because I'm special. The numbers drawn are determined by the numers I bet.

2 - I won because I happened to have the right numbers. Other sequencies of numbers had the same probability of being drawn, and in such case some other guy might have won. None of us is special, and who does end up wining is determined by the numbers drawn.

Whenever someone wins such raffle it might seem to them they're in some special position, but that's true despite who exactly wins. So if it's plausible taht on another draw someone else might win, then there's no reason to suppose that any one of these guys is in any special condition.

The point being that the fact that one given guy own - in our example you,you lucky bastard! - can only be seen as saying something about the fairness of the draw itself IF we suppose the very competition would rather have this guy, you, win.

If, on the other hand, the competition was fair, and thus favoured no one, the fact that you won just means you happened to get the right numbers. The numbers could have been different and then any other guys would have won, if not on the first draw then on a subsequent one. You own because your numbers just so happened to line with the drawn numbers, instead of the numbers having been drawn so that you would win. And this isn't at all strange: it's expected that someones umbers would do so eventually.

So the only reason to believe the numbers drawns were so drawn to reflect the numbers you bet on - the only reason to believe the draw wasn't fair with the other competititors - is to believe, beforehand, that the competition favorus you.

Point being that you can't try to used the fact that you've won as evidence that the competition favours you: you winning is evidence of some unfairness if and only if you suppose the competition to favour you. So saying "the competition favours me" and saying "since I won, these numbers must have been drawn because I bet on them" boils down to the same exact same thing, and thus saying "if I won than the competition must have favoured me, because I'm special" is begging the question: you are supposing for starters that you are special among the other competitors. But being special means the competition favours you. So all you are saying is "If the competition favours me than the competition favours me", and that doesn't really add much to anything.

I think I may have gotten a bit less clear than I wanted at the end there, sorry for that. I suppose I don't need to explain how the analogy relates to the topic, but anyway:

The people playing are possible forms of life that could emerge. The numbers being drawn are the characteristics of the many possible worlds, each draw being a world. The competition itself is the universe in the broader sense, and the people fiddling with it, if it is indeed being fiddled with, would be equivalent to "the creator". You represent the human species, of course.

I just hope you can follow this drunken detour of mine and actually take something out of it.


And if the universe was designed specially to human beings why would exist just one small planet to habit? Why would GOD make so much free space? Just so we can look at stars and guess?

It's more possible that other inteligent lifeforms exist in other places and that in some places their evolutionary course takes longer than ours and they may sprout inteligent life in some Billion years.

And thanks for being even more obvious than "The earth doesn't exist because of you, you exist because of earth", maybe to some that could speak some sense... but even so it seems like he understood but disregarded it even so. So in the end there is no benefit from discussing and explaining it... if reason were able to "convert" some from religious believe we wouldn't still be here or seing the preposterous answers and tentative of inteligent design being teached in school... this is why in Brazil we say religion, sports and politics (yes its weird) isn't discussed.



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padib said:
Farmageddon said:
padib said:

After bold. (I read some before the bold but the after bold part is what I find interesting I can better contribute to)

The logic goes something like this: assuming the universe is by design (which it is but that's another story), if the universe was meant for human existence (which it also is, but whatevs), then we should find in the universe hints of design suited for human's survival, or that the sustenance of human existence hinges on very precise calibration of the human's environment parameters and that would be solid evidence for the idea.

If those are not found, then it should be evidence against the universe being designed to nurture human existence, and thus being designed for humanity.

Ok, but the thing is that if you don't presuppose humans to be special than the idea of a fine-tuned world loses meaning if other kinds of life-forms could have surfaced instead given different conditions. The other explanation, though, that humans just happen to be what came to thrive under these conditions, and are thus molded by these very conditions, remains very much plausible.

So for this kind of argument to work you have start out by supposing "humans are special". By doing so the conclusion you reach is "the world is fine-tuned for humans", and then one might try to say, from this, that the universe was thus designed to nurture us, since there's this fine-tuning. But this is the same as saying "if humans are special than humans are special".

The bolded part though shows all that could actually try to be inferred about from this: consistency (or negation). As in, supposing it's right won't bring about a logical contradiction or contradiction with the evidence on this given aspect. It could never, however, in any way, be used to try and prove that intelligent design is right, which is what he initially implied (or at least I understood it this way), because the argument would essentially end up begging the question.

Do notice taht saying "humans are not special thus there's no fine-tuning" faces the same adversity. So, focusing only on this very specific arguemnt, both remain equally sound but unprovable. But so is also the case with the idea that the world is fine0tuned for ants or bacteria or whatever. Faced with both possibilities the simpler one seems to me to be the one that involves less "special cases", ie, the one that says the existing species are just a product of their enviroment's condition, and thus "fine-tuned" to it.

As a side note, one might argue the world is not quite as perfect for us as it might be.

I am making an effort to understand, after reading your post a few times, because I'm not a professional in proof and logic.

@underlined. Given the conditions being what they are and not different, then it's more safe to assume that it was indeed fine-tuned  for the living organisms we see today. Otherwise, it would be like saying, in a crime scene, that the killer could have used a knife instead of a gun if in other conditions he could only find a knife. If he used a gun, then he didn't use a knife. The fact that he may have used a knife doesn't change the fact that he used a gun. So the conditions in the universe may have been different, but what we are certain of is that they are not different, they are what they are and that's the bottom line. That's what we go by, the actual state of the universe, not what could have been.

@italics. The idea is not to prove than humans are special, but when the parameters required for human existence are very precise it's enough to wonder if it was designed that way. There's not more to this. It becomes an even more nagging question if you see no truth to evolution and naturalistic explanations to life.

On Earth the conditions are what they are, and we are well adapted to living and surviving in those conditions.  It doesn't mean that life couldn't be created under different conditions.  Some life on another planet that is molecularly different from ours could also be thinking how lucky they are the universe was created just right for them.

There are an estimated 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 stars in our known universe.  The possibilities are endless.

Personally I am somewhat spiritual despite not being a strong follower of religion.  The reason is that existence is illogical, so logically I think there are super natural forces that we can not comprehend.  We could all be in The Matrix for all we know .

However reality seems too complex to be just a simulation designed for humans.  For example we see RGB color, but there is no such thing as RGB color in nature, there are only photons of different wavelengths.  Color wasn't designed for our eyes.  Our eyes adapted a way to map a small part of the light spectrum as RGB color.  Other animals adapted to map light spectrum in different ways from humans.



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Evolution is the *only* scientific theory that explains how different species arose naturally. There is no other competing scientific theory at all. Zilch, nada, zero.

Within evolution, there are a number of competing theories around its mechanisms and major forces. Puntuated equilibrium vs gradualism, for example. But they all assume the scientific reality of evolution itself.



denying evolution is like the most moronic thing ever isnt it?

its pretty much all over the place lol



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supernihilist said:
denying evolution is like the most moronic thing ever isnt it?

its pretty much all over the place lol


People literally want to be able to put an apple in the Sun light and see it grow legs and walk to shade before it wilts, otherwise to them the apple can't change ever. Just disregard the fact the planet has been here for 4.5billion years and go with what you've seen in your backyard in 20 mins.



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padib said:
Great question. It is not. Evolution is mostly wishful thinking disguised as science.

It absolutely isn´t and you should feel bad for even suggesting so.

 

It is true and happening as we speak, take some evolution classes to educate youself.

You won´t be able to ignore it´s existence (if you have a decently working brain and aren´t a brainwashed fanatic like ...someone else ) when you know the ins and outs of it.

We know far too much. Everything is based on logic and not based on "wishful thinking".

The wishful thinking is on the other side of the debate.



ganoncrotch said:
supernihilist said:
denying evolution is like the most moronic thing ever isnt it?

its pretty much all over the place lol


People literally want to be able to put an apple in the Sun light and see it grow legs and walk to shade before it wilts, otherwise to them the apple can't change ever. Just disregard the fact the planet has been here for 4.5billion years and go with what you've seen in your backyard in 20 mins.


I love your analogy. He literally wants to see a cockroach morph into a shark and bite him in the ass before his very own eyes.

There is a fundamental misunderstanding how evolution works right infront of us. Baffling.

But OooSnap is the same person who thinks that Dinosaurs lived at the same time as caveman.

So this thread, and his line of thinking is sadly not surprising.



orniletter said:
padib said:
Great question. It is not. Evolution is mostly wishful thinking disguised as science.

It absolutely isn´t and you should feel bad for even suggesting so.

 

It is true and happening as we speak, take some evolution classes to educate youself.

You won´t be able to ignore it´s existence (if you have a decently working brain and aren´t a brainwashed fanatic like ...someone else ) when you know the ins and outs of it.

We know far too much. Everything is based on logic and not based on "wishful thinking".

The wishful thinking is on the other side of the debate.

I remember taking classes of Logic wat HS, it was a Philosophy sub-subject if i recall...

 

he clearly missed those



supernihilist said:

I remember taking classes of Logic wat HS, it was a Philosophy sub-subject if i recall...

 

he clearly missed those


I don´t even know if he is serious about it, or just wants to "stir the pot". He usually comes of as rather intelligent and nice.

....gah ! This freaking bring my blood to the boil !

But I guess our well layd out "theories" (you  honestly can´t even call them theories anymore, they are pretty much facts) how and when things evolved, from Porifera (Sponges) right up to Mammalia are just "wishful thinking"...in contrast to ....religion....

and the devil himself hid the fossils of other species in the dirt to deceive the people... of course.