November 2013 NPD Thread! Everything is in the OP!

xmositox

Currently Offline

515

100 posts since 18/06/13

Recent Badges:

3 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 3 years.
Open For Business Earned 10 badges.
7 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 7 years.
Leaving Limbo 100 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
8 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 8 years.
2 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 2 years.

xmositox on 11 December 2013

Tagged

BlowoverKing

Currently Offline

10,832

2251 posts since 27/12/12

Recent Badges:

Freezing Logged in on Christmas day.
'Ello Princess! Awarded for signing up.
2 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 2 years.
A Civilized Man Managed to avoid being banned for 5 years.
So You Came Back For More, Huh? Logged in a second time.
9 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 9 years.

Currently Playing:

Hexyz Force (PSP)
Tales of the Abyss (3DS)
Persona 4 Golden (PSV)
Pokémon XD: Gale of Darkness (GC)

BlowoverKing on 12 December 2013

Please let the Vita be undertrack, Please let the Vita be undertrack, Please let the Vita be undertrack!! Oh who am I kidding...

Can't wait to see numbers!

PSN: extremeM

PlayStation Vita Japanese Software Sales (Media Create Physical/ Famitsu Digital)

gigantor21

Currently Offline

5,677

1225 posts since 22/09/12

Recent Badges:

A Badge Within A Badge Earned 20 badges.
12 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 12 years.
9 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 9 years.
7 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 7 years.
Vice Free Managed to avoid being banned for 6 months.
Watch Your Back! Received 10,000 profile views.

gigantor21 on 12 December 2013

I've never anticipated NPD numbers so much before. THE HYPE IS UNBEARABLE

Have some time to kill? Read my shitty games blog. http://www.pixlbit.com/blogs/586/gigantor21

:D

kirby007

Currently Offline

162,230

23190 posts since 31/01/07

Recent Badges:

Moar Badges! Earned 80 badges.
God Of VGC 10,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
13 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 13 years.
Breaking Out Managed to avoid being banned for 1 year.
Last of a Kind Win VG$25,000 in total.
Over 9000 Purchase for VG$9,001

Currently Playing:

Bully: Scholarship Edition (X360)

kirby007 on 12 December 2013

ethomaz said:

JGarret said:
About Pachter and his estimates for the Wii U:

November 2012:
450K prediction -> 425K reality
25K over-predicted (-5.55%)

December 2012:
675K prediction -> 463K reality
212K over-predicted (-31.41%)

January 2013:
125K prediction -> 57K reality
68K over-predicted (-54.40%)

February 2013:
80K prediction -> 66K reality
14K over-predicted (-17.50%)

March 2013:
55K prediction -> 68K reality
13K under-predicted (23.63%)

April 2013:
55K prediction -> 37K reality
18K over-predicted (-32.72%)

May 2013:
32K prediction -> 33K reality
1K under-predicted (3.13%)

June 2013:
38K prediction -> 42K reality
4K under-predicted (10.53%)

July 2013:
30K prediction -> 29K reality
1K over-predicted (-3.33%)

August 2013:
30K prediction -> 31K reality
1K under-predicted (3.33%)

September 2013:
55K prediction -> 95K reality
40K under-predicted (72.72%)

October 2013:
75K prediction -> 50K reality
25K over-predicted (-33.33%)

November 2013:
150K prediction - ? reality

The Gamecube´s worst November, before the Wii launched, was a year before, in 2005, when it sold 272K...at that point, the system was practically on its deathbed, with no significant releases.

It´s bad enough the Wii U has been performing worse than the GC, when one compares both systems´first year, but it´ll be astonishingly bad if the Wii U has actually sold worse than the GC in November 2005, considering it´s one of the busiest shopping seasons, Mario 3D World, etc..

He is not that bad how the people here says...

He is not as good as you think, most of us did way better during the prediction league days

"I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

the_dengle

Currently Offline

32,512

9447 posts since 15/04/12

Recent Badges:

So You Came Back For More, Huh? Logged in a second time.
Pon Received 100 wall post comments on gamrConnect.
One Piece at a Time Add your first game to your collection.
Site Veteran Has been a VGChartz member for over 5 years.
Making Friends 10 friends on gamrConnect.
Littlest Genocide 1,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.

Currently Playing:

Monster Hunter 3G (3DS)
Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door (GC)
Super Meat Boy (PC)
Star Fox Command (DS)

the_dengle on 12 December 2013

JGarret said:
About Pachter and his estimates for the Wii U:

November 2012:
450K prediction -> 425K reality
25K over-predicted (-5.55%)

December 2012:
675K prediction -> 463K reality
212K over-predicted (-31.41%)

January 2013:
125K prediction -> 57K reality
68K over-predicted (-54.40%)

February 2013:
80K prediction -> 66K reality
14K over-predicted (-17.50%)

March 2013:
55K prediction -> 68K reality
13K under-predicted (23.63%)

April 2013:
55K prediction -> 37K reality
18K over-predicted (-32.72%)

May 2013:
32K prediction -> 33K reality
1K under-predicted (3.13%)

June 2013:
38K prediction -> 42K reality
4K under-predicted (10.53%)

July 2013:
30K prediction -> 29K reality
1K over-predicted (-3.33%)

August 2013:
30K prediction -> 31K reality
1K under-predicted (3.33%)

September 2013:
55K prediction -> 95K reality
40K under-predicted (72.72%)

October 2013:
75K prediction -> 50K reality
25K over-predicted (-33.33%)

November 2013:
150K prediction - ? reality

The Gamecube´s worst November, before the Wii launched, was a year before, in 2005, when it sold 272K...at that point, the system was practically on its deathbed, with no significant releases.

It´s bad enough the Wii U has been performing worse than the GC, when one compares both systems´first year, but it´ll be astonishingly bad if the Wii U has actually sold worse than the GC in November 2005, considering it´s one of the busiest shopping seasons, Mario 3D World, etc..

Since you have seen fit to repost this from the other thread, I too will repost my response from the same thread.

VGChartz Estimates for Wii U in Comparison to NPD:

November 2012:
412K prediction -> 425K reality
13K under-predicted

December 2012:
665K prediction -> 463K reality
202K over-predicted

January 2013:
79K prediction -> 57K reality
22K over-predicted

February 2013:
38K prediction -> 66K reality
28K under-predicted

March 2013:
85K prediction -> 68K reality
17K over-predicted

April 2013:
46K prediction -> 37K reality
9K over-predicted

May 2013:
37K prediction -> 33K reality
4K over-predicted

June 2013:
44K prediction -> 42K reality
2K over-predicted

July 2013:
36K prediction -> 29K reality
7K over-predicted

August 2013:
49K prediction -> 31K reality
18K over-predicted

September 2013:
101K prediction -> 95K reality
6K over-predicted

October 2013:
86K prediction -> 50K reality
36K over-predicted

VGChartz has estimated a total of 1.68 million through October vs Pachter's 1.7 million. VGChartz is more accurate than Pachter.

At the very least, on average Pachter is no more accurate -- and has been no more "generous" to the Wii U -- than VGChartz.

zhao3gold

Currently Offline

1,293

610 posts since 15/12/08

Recent Badges:

So You Came Back For More, Huh? Logged in a second time.
10 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 10 years.
15 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 15 years.
8 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 8 years.
9 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 9 years.
Site Veteran Has been a VGChartz member for over 5 years.

zhao3gold on 12 December 2013

The result will be PS4>X1>360>PS3>Wii Mini>Wii U

C-M-D

Currently Offline

2,632

499 posts since 04/08/12

Recent Badges:

Site Veteran Has been a VGChartz member for over 5 years.
A Badge Within A Badge Earned 20 badges.
7 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 7 years.
50 in One Add a total of 50 games to your collection.
8 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 8 years.
Congratulations on Pressing Start! Score your first game in your collection.

Currently Playing:

Dragon's Dogma (PS3)
Mario & Luigi: Dream Team (3DS)
Banjo-Tooie (N64)
Super Mario All-Stars (SNES)

C-M-D on 12 December 2013

Tagging.

the_dengle

Currently Offline

32,512

9447 posts since 15/04/12

Recent Badges:

One Piece at a Time Add your first game to your collection.
Watch Your Back! Received 10,000 profile views.
7 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 7 years.
Genocide 5,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
4 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 4 years.
50 in One Add a total of 50 games to your collection.

Currently Playing:

Monster Hunter 3G (3DS)
Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door (GC)
Super Meat Boy (PC)
Star Fox Command (DS)

the_dengle on 12 December 2013

zhao3gold said:
The result will be PS4>3DS>X1>360>PS3>Wii Mini>Wii U>PSV

Fixed

kopstudent89

Currently Online

28,946

6954 posts since 03/10/07

Recent Badges:

3 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 3 years.
9 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 9 years.
Man or Robot? Managed to avoid being banned for 10 years.
A Free Man Managed to avoid being banned for 2 years.
6 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 6 years.
Ride Into the Sunset Managed to avoid being banned for 3 months.

kopstudent89 on 12 December 2013

Looks like a healthy month if no major overtracking has happened. Makes you wonder though why no company has announced BF numbers. That's the bit that worries me. I'm just hoping it was NPD refusing to disclose that info since it happened in the last day of November where as previously BF was 4-5 days before the end of the month (so a week before the monthly sales data is collected).