Kinect released in 2010 yet 2011 was a stronger year for 360. Also PS3 peaked in 2011 not 2010.

Ur not factoring in that 3DS has room for price cuts as well. Its been over 2 years since the original 3DS had a price cut and the XL has yet to see its first price cut. 2014 will be the first full year of having a $129 sku and 2015 could easily see price cuts for all 3 models to $99/129/149. Also there are games like Smash Bros, Kirby, Yoshis New Island, Mario 3D Land 2, Pokemon Z, Pokemon gen 3 remake, Pokemon gen 7, Dragon Quest 11, Monster Hunter 5, Final Fantasy remakes/spinoffs, Majoras Mask 3D, Advance Wars, Metroid, Donkey Kong, Kid Icarus sequel, Resident Evil sequel, Kingdom Hearts sequel and other games that could potentially release from 2014-2016 that could cause sales to increase.

First, not all of those games will push systems. Secondly, those games won't push as much as their first outing on the system.

Let's look at the facts though - the 3DS needs to sell close to 10M from October to December or sales will down YoY.

How do you know all those games wont push? did we expect luigi mansion 2 to push alot? It did very well for a game thats not pokemon/MH. Its all about keeping the average weekly high, if it can do that its possible, but like i said we dont kno how much all these games will sell, so nobody can tell right now

Kinect released in 2010 yet 2011 was a stronger year for 360. Also PS3 peaked in 2011 not 2010.

Ur not factoring in that 3DS has room for price cuts as well. Its been over 2 years since the original 3DS had a price cut and the XL has yet to see its first price cut. 2014 will be the first full year of having a $129 sku and 2015 could easily see price cuts for all 3 models to $99/129/149. Also there are games like Smash Bros, Kirby, Yoshis New Island, Mario 3D Land 2, Pokemon Z, Pokemon gen 3 remake, Pokemon gen 7, Dragon Quest 11, Monster Hunter 5, Final Fantasy remakes/spinoffs, Majoras Mask 3D, Advance Wars, Metroid, Donkey Kong, Kid Icarus sequel, Resident Evil sequel, Kingdom Hearts sequel and other games that could potentially release from 2014-2016 that could cause sales to increase.

First, not all of those games will push systems. Secondly, those games won't push as much as their first outing on the system.

Let's look at the facts though - the 3DS needs to sell close to 10M from October to December or sales will down YoY.

If 2nd outings dont push consoles like first outings then how come GTA5 caused PS3 sales to be bigger that GTA4 did?

Also ur talking about shipments to retailers, everybody else in this thread is talking about sales to customers. It doesnt matter how many times u try to argue it they are different things.

Depends honestly, some say 3ds will last long maybe up to 2020 but i think around 2018(it'll keep selling but not as much)

My guess no less than 85mil, but it can reach around 110-120mil only if it last long. My one answer prediction is 100mil

Estimation 

2011+2012= 28.4mil (around this)

2013= 17mil

2014=13mil

2015= 12mil

2016= 10mil

2017= 7mil

2018= 6mil 

2019= 4mil

(just estimates!!! Dontbkno which game comes out when lol)