if a wii U version had been released also, i would be 16.5 or 17m.

500k or even a million in one week with a userbase of 2.5m (subtracted 1m from Japan since the game hasn't launched there yet) ?
Certainly not possible.

I could imagine 200k-250k.

Hory SHeit!!

:O

Yes at some point players will get bored with CoD. It's not a question of why but when, and Activision is doing nothing to prepare for the next franchise.

Meanwhile TTWO is keeping GTA healthy by letting more time go between the releases and trying to develop new franchises and while Borderlands, Bioshock or Red Dead Redemption are nowhere as big as GTA or CoD, they have now become relevant profitable franchises...

I couldn't imagine it selling much more than 100K in its first week in the US and Europe. And that would be nearing Pikmin 3's first week sales in those regions.

To be honest some of those series that milk do not do as well financially as their sales number let you believe.

What makes CoD and GTA so good is that the games are hardly discounted and the publishers get to sell the games at full price or close to it, even more than 6 months after the original game release ( I couldn't find a pre-order for GTA5 that offered a discount). This is very good, especially seeing how late we are in the console cycle. ( average game sell price goes down as the cycle gets older as new games have to compete with older discounted games).

If you look at BF and especially AC it's another story however.

Every year it's very common to find the latest AC title discounted up to 40% less than a month after its release. BF had the same issue ( heck PS+ gave away BF3 recently). So while those titles move copies ( especially AC), they do not do so at full price, far from it. Which is why in my view it is wrong to put AC in the same category as those others games.  AC does ok but it's a big smoke and mirror game by Ubisoft as they have to discount the game very heavilly every year to make it sell so well....

The thing is, there have been 5 CoDs since GTA IV I think, with about 100m sales + DLC sales. I doubt the revenue from GTA will ever match CoD even if it does crash and burn

But you're right, Take 2 are doing a much better job are cultivating a variety of successful franchises and taking some risks AND not angering everyone by going too overboard with DLC and stuff

You guys are crazy. I can't see it going past 28-32 million. 

some people are living in a dream world or ignoring the numbers. Blops2 already sold LESS than MW3 did why some people think that Ghosts all of a sudden will sell better than Blops2 did is beyond me. SO they added two more consoles. So what those are two consoles that arent even out and i imagine those numbers will account for the missing PS360 ones, havent even seen the WIi U version on the charts might as well not even exist. 

well, when i predicted 500k+ i suposed that they would do semething interesting with gamepad(maybe the vision from above like in gta1 in gamepad, and the normal vision on tv), and other little things referencing nintendo(a pikachu car?), they would also make a bundle with gtaV for 300$, together with zelda's bundle.

Also, 400~500k people bought a ps3 or 360 just for GTAV, if wii U was a option, it could get a good part of these sales.

And i also see in foruns that nintendo fans like gta (much more than cod), i see many of them saying they still waiting for the wii U version, others just bought a ps3 only for GTA.

GTAV is big. I supose that it would be big in nintendo too.