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Forums - Sales - Are the US preorders numbers for next-gen games predictive for next-gen console sales?

bevochan on 06 August 2013

It's somewhat unclear how the next-gen preorders are doing relatively to each other.  It's probably assumed that PS4 is outselling Xbox1 in the US right now, but there are no solid numbers to back this up.  Only biased info from MS or Sony are released stating that their pre-orders are doing well.

However, the PS4 game pre-orders are substantially outpacing the Xbox1 versions.  Battlefield 4 has twice the total pre-orders on PS4 compared to Xbox1, but this week, the PS4 BF4 outsold Xbox1 BF4 by almost 5 to 1.  Watch Dog PS4 is dominating Watch Dog Xbox1.  Most games are doing better on PS4 with the exception of COD Ghosts.  COD Ghosts Xbox1 barely edged PS4 version this week, but total preorders are still bigger for the PS4.

Currently, looking at the pre-orders for the next-gen games, it seems that PS4 console sales will almost double Xbox1 consoles sales (barring any manufactoring supply issues).




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bananaking21 on 06 August 2013

no



tuscaniman99 on 06 August 2013

BF4 and WatchDogs are bundled with the PS4 and they were the only options left for people interested in getting a PS4 from Amazon. Hence the BF4 numbers being higher last week. PS4 will obviously outsell the XBox One until next fall at a minimum when I believe the X1 will get a price drop to $399. Fall 2014 will be the interesting holiday. This holiday both consoles will sell out so if PS4 has more stock than it will obviously outsell the X1.



FatedReality on 06 August 2013
bevochan said:

It's somewhat unclear how the next-gen preorders are doing relatively to each other.  It's probably assumed that PS4 is outselling Xbox1 in the US right now, but there are no solid numbers to back this up.  Only biased info from MS or Sony are released stating that their pre-orders are doing well.

However, the PS4 game pre-orders are substantially outpacing the Xbox1 versions.  Battlefield 4 has twice the total pre-orders on PS4 compared to Xbox1, but this week, the PS4 BF4 outsold Xbox1 BF4 by almost 5 to 1.  Watch Dog PS4 is dominating Watch Dog Xbox1.  Most games are doing better on PS4 with the exception of COD Ghosts.  COD Ghosts Xbox1 barely edged PS4 version this week, but total preorders are still bigger for the PS4.

Currently, looking at the pre-orders for the next-gen games, it seems that PS4 console sales will almost double Xbox1 consoles sales (barring any manufactoring supply issues).

How do you know the PS4's games are out paceing the Xbone's? 

Source?



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Carl on 06 August 2013

Ill repost something I did a few days ago -

Carl2291 said:

So I felt like taking a look how things were going for the upcoming consoles and remembered this thread. Bumpy.

In the UK...

The standard PlayStation 4 is in 4th place right now and 3rd place for 2013

The Xbox One Day One Edition is in 9th place right now and 35th place for 2013

In America...

The launch edition PS4 isnt in the charts right now (sold out), but is in 3rd place for 2013
The standard PlayStation 4 is in 17th place right now and is in 40th place for 2013
The Watch_Dogs PS4 Bundle is in 18th place right now and is in 61st place for 2013
The Killzone Shadowfall PS4 bundle is in 37th place right now and isnt charting for 2013
The Battlefield 4 PS4 bundle isnt in the charts right now but is in 76th place for 2013

The Xbox One Day One Edition isnt in the charts right now (sold out), but is in 6th place for 2013
The standard Xbox One is in 52nd place right now and isnt charting for 2013

In France...

The standard PlayStation 4 is in 3rd place right now and is in 18th place for 2013

The Xbox One Day One is in 51st place right now and hasnt charted for 2013

In Germany...

The Standard PlayStation 4 is in 2nd place right now and 1st place for 2013
The Driveclub PS4 Bundle is in 1st place right now but not charting for 2013

The Xbox One Day One Edition is in 10th place right now and it is in 16th place for 2013

Granted, these chart positionings were from Amazon... But if anyone here can show me a better, more reliable chart to go by then go ahead

I dont think they will outsell the Xbox One by 2x, but I think they will fairly easily win the 2013 battle.



                            

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HikenNoAce on 06 August 2013

It is indicative of the fact that the PS4 will at worst tie with the X1 in the US which wins Sony wins.



Azerth on 06 August 2013

No since we have no idea if people are getting more then one game. For all we know the ppl getting bf4 are the only ones getting watch dogs



bevochan on 07 August 2013
FatedReality said:
bevochan said:

It's somewhat unclear how the next-gen preorders are doing relatively to each other.  It's probably assumed that PS4 is outselling Xbox1 in the US right now, but there are no solid numbers to back this up.  Only biased info from MS or Sony are released stating that their pre-orders are doing well.

However, the PS4 game pre-orders are substantially outpacing the Xbox1 versions.  Battlefield 4 has twice the total pre-orders on PS4 compared to Xbox1, but this week, the PS4 BF4 outsold Xbox1 BF4 by almost 5 to 1.  Watch Dog PS4 is dominating Watch Dog Xbox1.  Most games are doing better on PS4 with the exception of COD Ghosts.  COD Ghosts Xbox1 barely edged PS4 version this week, but total preorders are still bigger for the PS4.

Currently, looking at the pre-orders for the next-gen games, it seems that PS4 console sales will almost double Xbox1 consoles sales (barring any manufactoring supply issues).

How do you know the PS4's games are out paceing the Xbone's? 

Source?

I'm using the VGChartz US pre-order numbers.  Not sure how accurately they are.

 

http://www.vgchartz.com/article/251204/usa-preorders-chart-27-july-2013-ps4-xbox-one-games-move-up/

Pos Game Weeks to Launch Weekly Change Total
1
Grand Theft Auto V (X360)
Take-Two Interactive, Action
8 28,821 449,209
2
Grand Theft Auto V (PS3)
Take-Two Interactive, Action
8 23,196 385,915
3
Call of Duty: Ghosts (X360)
Activision, Shooter
15 18,196 186,719
4
Battlefield 4 (X360)
Electronic Arts, Shooter
14 3,370 185,483
5
Tales of Xillia (PS3)
Namco Bandai Games, Role-Playing
2 4,496 121,031
6
Call of Duty: Ghosts (PS3)
Activision, Shooter
15 7,209 103,529
7
Pokémon X/Y (3DS)
Nintendo, Role-Playing
11 5,177 100,609
8
Battlefield 4 (PS3)
Electronic Arts, Shooter
14 2,135 93,639
9
Tom Clancy's Splinter Cell: Blacklist (X360)
Ubisoft, Action
4 1,998 93,348
10
Beyond: Two Souls (PS3)
Sony Computer Entertainment, Adventure
11 1,343 84,560
11
Kingdom Hearts HD 1.5 ReMIX (PS3)
Square Enix, Role-Playing
7 5,152 84,248
12
Pikmin 3 (WiiU)
Nintendo, Strategy
2 2,367 60,639
13
Madden NFL 25 (X360)
Electronic Arts, Sports
5 5,722 60,457
14
Watch Dogs (PS4)
Ubisoft, Action
17 11,708 59,110
15
South Park: The Stick of Truth (X360)
Ubisoft, Role-Playing
23 468 58,890
16
Tom Clancy's Splinter Cell: Blacklist (PS3)
Ubisoft, Action
4 1,132 54,807
17
Lego Marvel Super Heroes (X360)
Warner Bros. Interactive Entertainment, Action
23 2,047 54,520
18
Assassin's Creed IV: Black Flag (X360)
Ubisoft, Action
14 3,299 53,481
19
The Last Guardian (PS3)
Sony Computer Entertainment, Action
N/A 61 52,455
20
Call of Duty: Ghosts (PS4)
Activision, Shooter
23 1,916 45,705
21
South Park: The Stick of Truth (PS3)
Ubisoft, Role-Playing
23 422 45,598
22
Battlefield 4 (PS4)
Electronic Arts, Shooter
14 8,768 44,762
23
Madden NFL 25 (PS3)
Electronic Arts, Sports
5 4,364 44,196
24
Killzone: Shadow Fall (PS4)
Sony Computer Entertainment, Action
23 1,798 43,183
25
Call of Duty: Ghosts (XOne)
Activision, Shooter
23 2,369 42,690
26
Lego Marvel Super Heroes (PS3)
Warner Bros. Interactive Entertainment, Action
23 1,780 41,809
27
Saints Row IV (X360)
Deep Silver, Action
4 5,463 41,502
28
Assassin's Creed IV: Black Flag (PS3)
Ubisoft, Action
14 2,345 38,051
29
Disney Infinity (X360)
Disney Interactive Studios, Action
4 9,270 37,987
30
Disney Infinity (Wii)
Disney Interactive Studios, Action
4 5,522 37,658
31
Dragon's Crown (PS3)
Atlus, Role-Playing
2 2,223 35,671
32
Final Fantasy XIV: A Realm Reborn (PS3)
Square Enix, Role-Playing
5 5,048 35,662
33
Prey 2 (X360)
Bethesda Softworks, Shooter
23 31 34,571
34
Batman: Arkham Origins (X360)
Warner Bros. Interactive Entertainment, Action
13 3,458 33,821
35
Batman: Arkham Origins (PS3)
Warner Bros. Interactive Entertainment, Action
13 2,411 33,281
36
Destiny (X360)
Activision, Action
N/A 529 33,188
37
Rayman Legends (WiiU)
Ubisoft, Platform
6 324 30,827
38
The Bureau: XCOM Declassified (X360)
Take-Two Interactive, Shooter
4 894 30,656
39
Battlefield 4 (XOne)
Electronic Arts, Shooter
14 1,424 27,458
40
Wii Fit U (WiiU)
Nintendo, Action
23 65 25,451



areason on 07 August 2013

holy shit the pre orders of this week....



iceboy151 on 07 August 2013
areason said:
holy shit the pre orders of this week....


Yeah, I just saw that. I'm guessing there's just more PS4 bundles available.