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Forums - Nintendo - Will 3DS have more 5 Million Sellers Than DS? (3DS~4 vs DS~18)

 

How Many 3DS Titles Will Be 5 Million Sellers?

Less than 10 19 9.36%
 
10-12 50 24.63%
 
13-15 51 25.12%
 
16-18 20 9.85%
 
19-20 15 7.39%
 
21+ O.o 47 23.15%
 
Total:202
Soundwave on 05 August 2013
tbone51 said:
Soundwave said:

I would guess right now

3DS (hardware) - 95 million LTD

Mario Kart 7 - 11 million LTD

Animal Crossing: NL - 8 million LTD

Higher numbers on MK7/AC if Nintendo starts to force bundle them with hardware.



Without bundle, i think your highly underestimating both games, especially MK7. First AC is currently over 5.4mil sales w/o the holiday in US, so this year only the game should be over 7mil lifetime. MK7 is over 8mil and should most likely end up with 9.5mil-10mil sales. Userbase of 3DS should have a huge increase due to pokemon so it could be more. Also MK+NSMB have the longest legs of every game made. MK7 will sell no lower than 1mil a year for at least another 3 years (not including 2013).


I'd probably bump Animal Crossing to 9 million, though I think it's mostly done selling in its biggest market (Japan) and won't have the same long term legs in the West.

MK7 if it sells 1 million/year for the next 3 years, which is terrific legs, that would put it at about 11.15 million, so my estimate is really not that far off.

I don't think MK7 or NSMB will have as long of legs because the 3DS simply isn't the monster the DS was nor do they have that influx of Brain Training/Nintendogs buyers.



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tbone51 on 05 August 2013
Soundwave said:
tbone51 said:
Soundwave said:

I would guess right now

3DS (hardware) - 95 million LTD

Mario Kart 7 - 11 million LTD

Animal Crossing: NL - 8 million LTD

Higher numbers on MK7/AC if Nintendo starts to force bundle them with hardware.



Without bundle, i think your highly underestimating both games, especially MK7. First AC is currently over 5.4mil sales w/o the holiday in US, so this year only the game should be over 7mil lifetime. MK7 is over 8mil and should most likely end up with 9.5mil-10mil sales. Userbase of 3DS should have a huge increase due to pokemon so it could be more. Also MK+NSMB have the longest legs of every game made. MK7 will sell no lower than 1mil a year for at least another 3 years (not including 2013).


I'd probably bump Animal Crossing to 9 million, though I think it's mostly done selling in its biggest market (Japan) and won't have the same long term legs in the West.

MK7 if it sells 1 million/year for the next 3 years, which is terrific legs, that would put it at about 11.15 million, so my estimate is really not that far off.

I don't think MK7 or NSMB will have as long of legs because the 3DS simply isn't the monster the DS was nor do they have that influx of Brain Training/Nintendogs buyers.



i get wat you mean with DS comparison, also i said 3 years not counting this year (2014-2016). This year MK7 should get another 2mil so that leaves it with around 13mil-15mil lifetime (which is damn good). AC is up in the air, we dont kno wats going on with it in the west. It can Beast during Holiday, too soon to tell!



S.Peelman on 05 August 2013

Oh wow, I went away for two days and the argument just went on and on. O.O

I can't believe his logic, truly unbelievable, but there's no point in my meddling anymore I see.

Hey Hiken! Why don't you just leave us and let us continue speculating whether or not the 3DS will have as many 5m sellers as the DS had? You know, what was once the point of this thread?



HikenNoAce on 05 August 2013
zorg1000 said:
HikenNoAce said:
the_dengle said:
HikenNoAce said:

Mario Kart DS - 22.56M

Mario Kart 7 - 8.15M

 

Animal Crossing: WW - 11.87M

Animal Crossing:NL : 4.47M

I see you still don't understand basic logic.


Posting facts = not understanding basic logic?

Just out of curiousity, what do u think Mario Kart 7 and AC New Leaf will sell lifetime?


Hmm... 10M for MK7 and 7M for AC:NL. So, basically, a big drop from their DS counterparts.



HikenNoAce on 05 August 2013

So, what are people saying that? That AC:NL sold 11M and MK7 sold 22M?



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MDMAlliance on 05 August 2013
HikenNoAce said:

Mario Kart DS - 22.56M

Mario Kart 7 - 8.15M

 

Animal Crossing: WW - 11.87M

Animal Crossing:NL : 4.47M

 

Nintendogs: 24.53M

Nintendogs + cats : 3.09

 

Brain Age: 20.03M

Brain Age 3DS : 0.02M

 

Just a few examples.

http://www.vgchartz.com/tools/game_comparison.php?reg=Global&ending=Cumulative&game%5B%5D=Mario+Kart+DS+%28DS%29+%5B1254%5D&game%5B%5D=Mario+Kart+7+%283DS%29+%5B45691%5D&game%5B%5D=&game%5B%5D=

Mario Kart ^

http://www.vgchartz.com/tools/game_comparison.php?reg=Global&ending=Cumulative&game%5B%5D=Animal+Crossing%3A+Wild+World+%28DS%29+%5B82%5D&game%5B%5D=Animal+Crossing%3A+New+Leaf+%283DS%29+%5B71137%5D&game%5B%5D=&game%5B%5D=

Animal Crossing ^

VGChartz doesn't track digital sales, which accounts for 30% of Animal Crossing: New Leaf's sales, so New Leaf is also ahead.

New Leaf may be harder to say whether it really will outsell the DS version, but Mario Kart is no question.



NintendoPie on 05 August 2013

I think we can all just assume that HikenNoAce is a Professional Troll. He does a really good job at dodging people's points and posting ridiculous assumptions, I feel as though that's enough evidence.



zorg1000 on 05 August 2013
HikenNoAce said:
zorg1000 said:
HikenNoAce said:
the_dengle said:
HikenNoAce said:

Mario Kart DS - 22.56M

Mario Kart 7 - 8.15M

 

Animal Crossing: WW - 11.87M

Animal Crossing:NL : 4.47M

I see you still don't understand basic logic.


Posting facts = not understanding basic logic?

Just out of curiousity, what do u think Mario Kart 7 and AC New Leaf will sell lifetime?


Hmm... 10M for MK7 and 7M for AC:NL. So, basically, a big drop from their DS counterparts.

They both have a strong chance of passing those numbers by the end of the year, especially when u take Iinto account digital sales.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

tbone51 on 05 August 2013
zorg1000 said:
HikenNoAce said:
zorg1000 said:
HikenNoAce said:
the_dengle said:
HikenNoAce said:

Mario Kart DS - 22.56M

Mario Kart 7 - 8.15M

 

Animal Crossing: WW - 11.87M

Animal Crossing:NL : 4.47M

I see you still don't understand basic logic.


Posting facts = not understanding basic logic?

Just out of curiousity, what do u think Mario Kart 7 and AC New Leaf will sell lifetime?


Hmm... 10M for MK7 and 7M for AC:NL. So, basically, a big drop from their DS counterparts.

They both have a strong chance of passing those numbers by the end of the year, especially when u take Iinto account digital sales.



AC has 5.4mil by june 30th, also it hasn't got a first holiday, i see 7mil by end of year easy, MK7 needs around 1.75mil to reach 10mil. Holiday alone MK7 will get 1mil-1.25mil. This guy just doesn't kno math lmao



zorg1000 on 05 August 2013
tbone51 said:
zorg1000 said:
HikenNoAce said:
zorg1000 said:
HikenNoAce said:
the_dengle said:
HikenNoAce said:

Mario Kart DS - 22.56M

Mario Kart 7 - 8.15M

 

Animal Crossing: WW - 11.87M

Animal Crossing:NL : 4.47M

I see you still don't understand basic logic.


Posting facts = not understanding basic logic?

Just out of curiousity, what do u think Mario Kart 7 and AC New Leaf will sell lifetime?


Hmm... 10M for MK7 and 7M for AC:NL. So, basically, a big drop from their DS counterparts.

They both have a strong chance of passing those numbers by the end of the year, especially when u take Iinto account digital sales.



AC has 5.4mil by june 30th, also it hasn't got a first holiday, i see 7mil by end of year easy, MK7 needs around 1.75mil to reach 10mil. Holiday alone MK7 will get 1mil-1.25mil. This guy just doesn't kno math lmao

Mario Kart actually might need alot less than that Iincluding digital, it came pre installed on 3DS XL last christmas



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.