tbone51 said:
Without bundle, i think your highly underestimating both games, especially MK7. First AC is currently over 5.4mil sales w/o the holiday in US, so this year only the game should be over 7mil lifetime. MK7 is over 8mil and should most likely end up with 9.5mil-10mil sales. Userbase of 3DS should have a huge increase due to pokemon so it could be more. Also MK+NSMB have the longest legs of every game made. MK7 will sell no lower than 1mil a year for at least another 3 years (not including 2013). |
I'd probably bump Animal Crossing to 9 million, though I think it's mostly done selling in its biggest market (Japan) and won't have the same long term legs in the West.
MK7 if it sells 1 million/year for the next 3 years, which is terrific legs, that would put it at about 11.15 million, so my estimate is really not that far off.
I don't think MK7 or NSMB will have as long of legs because the 3DS simply isn't the monster the DS was nor do they have that influx of Brain Training/Nintendogs buyers.
