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Forums - Sales Discussion - So now that PS3 overtaking 360 is a matter of weeks, how long until it reaches Wii?

 

when?

2015 78 16.53%
 
2016 80 16.95%
 
2017 56 11.86%
 
2018 34 7.20%
 
nevurr 224 47.46%
 
Total:472
Mad55 on 17 May 2013
CGI-Quality said:
Mad55 said:
It won't

I remember when people said this about it taking over the 360. Funny how things turn out, eh?

Well I wasn't one of those people. Sony fanboys will have to bow in second. 



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Otakumegane on 17 May 2013

I see everyone is ignoring China.

If China opens then yes, if not no.



http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/profile/92109/nintendopie/ Nintendopie  Was obviously right and I was obviously wrong. I will forever be a lesser being than them. (6/16/13)

Panama on 17 May 2013

Following the inevitable price drop. I'd say 4 years. PS4 will slow it down a bit.



Mohasus on 17 May 2013

2017, I'm a time traveler.



Jay520 on 17 May 2013

January 3rd, 2017 @ approximately 6:35 PM*

*50% margin of error

 

Serious prediction later.

superchunk said:

It took PS3 an entire generation to potentially pass X360.
PS3 is being replaced THIS holiday.
PS3 has YOY major declines in sales even without the PS4 on the market.
PS3 has been a largely costly hardware for Sony.
PS3 will be retired in 2016 at the latest. (maybe 2015)

See chart... I'm also being very generous with the time after PS4 launches.

Year Sales in Millions
2007 (including 2006 launch) 9.174
2008 10.204 (19.378)
2009 12.997 (32.376)
2010 13.896 (46.388)
2011 14.706 (61.095)
2012 12.734 (73.830)
2013 (to date plus my projection) 9.5m (83.3) Successor Shown and Launched!
2014 7m (90) Game support stopped.
2015 4m (94)
2016 2.5m (97) Discontinued.
Projected Final About 97 million

Now let's compare Wii.

Year
 Sales in Millions
2007 (including 2006 launch)
 19.508
2008
 24.188 (43.696)
2009
 21.295 (64.991)
2010
 17.320 (82.096) Game support stopped
2011
 11.522 (93.428) Successor Shown!
2012
 5.246 (98.674) Successor Launched!
2013 (to date plus my projection)
 4 (103)
2014
 3 (107) Discontinued.
Projected Final
 About 107 million


I'm quoting you because I'll be stealing your data



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ironmanDX on 17 May 2013
mutantclown said:
2015 sounds about right. PS3 WILL make it to 110 million +, Wii won't. That's about ~30 million to go. Perfectly doable by Xmas 2015.


30 million in 2 and a half years.... Right... That would be a hard target to hit considering the ps3 never hit 15 million in a year. I think you're all getting a little too excited here. It would have well passed it's peak, not to mention the neXbox and ps4...



Captain_Tom on 17 May 2013
Turkish said:

Gap with 360 is less than 100k, at current weekly sales PS3 will officially be number 2 in 3 weeks.

Gap with Wii is 22.4m, somewhere next year this gap will decrease to <10m, how long until it reaches Wii? Will it even outsell Wii?


Based on my projections after looking at prior sales data year-over-year, I would say it will near the end of 2016.  However this assumes SONY continues to give it decent support throught next year (2-3 exclusives).



Captain_Tom on 17 May 2013
ironmanDX said:
mutantclown said:
2015 sounds about right. PS3 WILL make it to 110 million +, Wii won't. That's about ~30 million to go. Perfectly doable by Xmas 2015.


30 million in 2 and a half years.... Right... That would be a hard target to hit considering the ps3 never hit 15 million in a year. I think you're all getting a little too excited here. It would have well passed it's peak, not to mention the neXbox and ps4...


It doesn't need to sell 110 Million to pass the Wii.  105 Mil should easily be enough at the rate Wii is torpedoing... 



menx64 on 17 May 2013
bananaking21 said:
007BondAgent said:
2019.. i think :P


we are not talking about the last gaurdian release date 


haha, I had a good laughter with this one...

 

OT: nevarrr



Menx64

3DS code: 1289-8222-7215

NNid: Menx064

ironmanDX on 17 May 2013
Captain_Tom said:
ironmanDX said:
mutantclown said:
2015 sounds about right. PS3 WILL make it to 110 million +, Wii won't. That's about ~30 million to go. Perfectly doable by Xmas 2015.


30 million in 2 and a half years.... Right... That would be a hard target to hit considering the ps3 never hit 15 million in a year. I think you're all getting a little too excited here. It would have well passed it's peak, not to mention the neXbox and ps4...


It doesn't need to sell 110 Million to pass the Wii.  105 Mil should easily be enough at the rate Wii is torpedoing... 


The ps3 will not even get to 105 million. Oh, a word of caution. I have bookmarked this thread for future lolz.