Bofferbrauer2 said:
HylianSwordsman said:
By my calculations, in addition to the new game tomorrow needing to be a Switch game with 5 points, Nintendo would need to gain 7 more points than Sony tomorrow to maintain its lead. Considering the weeks ahead, it probably won't regain it until Fire Emblem gains some momentum, unless SAO explodes, but then it would just fall behind again 3 weeks from now. If the bottom of the charts doesn't start to move, we might see 4 points again in 3 weeks. |
Ain't you forgetting Super Mario Maker 2 in your calculation? Afaik preorders are not open yet (it's not on Amazon Japan yet) but I guess it can't take too long anymore until those open up. Maybe Nintendo is waiting until after goldenweek, but then Mario should make make a dent in the charts.
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The first calculation was based only on what I could see from that day's charts and projecting XD84's charts a day ahead. The "considering the weeks ahead" bit, that was only looking 3 weeks ahead. Obviously SMM2 could shake things up, but considering it hasn't shown up yet, I figured it probably won't crash onto the scene anytime soon. Of course I could be wrong. Considering that today's new game was a PS4 game, Nintendo's best hope to regain the lead anytime soon (in the next 3 weeks before the next fairly major chart refresh with 5 new SKUs) would have to be SMM2. It is losing games just as fast as Sony is, but it's games have more points, so something needs to change and Nintendo needs a blockbuster more than 3 weeks out to gain steam before it stands a chance of overtaking Sony in raw points again.
