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Forums - Sales - COMG! Japan Pre-order Chart Thread - Daily updates!

tbone51 on 17 July 2018

We can potentially see smash do 2mil fw in japan. That would make it one of the biggest debuts ever in japan even beating out many pokemon titles.

SSBU has 2 major things going for it thia time that can push it over the edge



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XD84 on 17 July 2018
Days Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Super Smash Bros. 3DS Super Smash Bros. Wii U
147 53 15 17
146 74 16 18
145 81 16 18
144 89 16 18
143   16 19
142   16 19
141   16 19
140   15 19
139   15 19
138   15 19
137   15 19
136   15 19
135   15 19
134   15 20
133   20 20
132   20 20
131   20 20
130   20 21


Bofferbrauer2 on 17 July 2018
XD84 said:
Days Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Super Smash Bros. 3DS Super Smash Bros. Wii U
147 53 15 17
146 74 16 18
145 81 16 18
144 89 16 18
143   16 19
142   16 19
141   16 19
140   15 19
139   15 19
138   15 19
137   15 19
136   15 19
135   15 19
134   15 20
133   20 20
132   20 20
131   20 20
130   20 21

How many points did Smash 4 reach in the end?



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

XD84 on 17 July 2018
Bofferbrauer2 said:

How many points did Smash 4 reach in the end?
Days Super Smash Bros. 3DS Super Smash Bros. Wii U
1 1066 251
Launch Week 1090 278


Bofferbrauer2 on 17 July 2018
XD84 said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

How many points did Smash 4 reach in the end?
Days Super Smash Bros. 3DS Super Smash Bros. Wii U
1 1066 251
Launch Week 1090 278

Poor Wii U, you deserved more than this

So, 1317 is the target to beat on the preorders. Looks more than feasible with that start. Wii U alone might even be overtaken before summer ends



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

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outlawauron on 17 July 2018
tbone51 said:
What are we expecting FW sales for KH3 / Smash / Pokemon?

What are you expecting?



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tbone51 on 17 July 2018
outlawauron said:
tbone51 said:
What are we expecting FW sales for KH3 / Smash / Pokemon?

What are you expecting?

This one is hard. All 3 are all over the place. KH3 i think will be bigger than many expect. Ill say minimum 400k fw. Ill go with 550k. Hopefully it does close to if not more than a mil lifetime.

 

Pokemon FW 1.2mil i was feeling it at first but im not optimistic on it in japan atm.

 

Smash realistically is looking like a 800k-1.2mil opening. But knowing who i am im gonna go super optimistic and say 1.8mil, maybe even 2mil.



ninson95 on 17 July 2018
tbone51 said:
outlawauron said:

What are you expecting?

This one is hard. All 3 are all over the place. KH3 i think will be bigger than many expect. Ill say minimum 400k fw. Ill go with 550k. Hopefully it does close to if not more than a mil lifetime.

 

Pokemon FW 1.2mil i was feeling it at first but im not optimistic on it in japan atm.

 

Smash realistically is looking like a 800k-1.2mil opening. But knowing who i am im gonna go super optimistic and say 1.8mil, maybe even 2mil.

Totally agree on Pokemon.... at the moment I'm not even sure whether it will be 1 Mio FW: COMG performance + amazon JP performance make me think that it won't be THAT big of a thing in japan … I could be wrong and it picks up steam dramatically later on as we are still far away from its release

For Smash I see AT LEAST 1.3 Mio FW - not gonna be super optimistic with 2 Mio , but i rather go with 1.5 Mio!



tbone51 on 17 July 2018
ninson95 said:
tbone51 said:

This one is hard. All 3 are all over the place. KH3 i think will be bigger than many expect. Ill say minimum 400k fw. Ill go with 550k. Hopefully it does close to if not more than a mil lifetime.

 

Pokemon FW 1.2mil i was feeling it at first but im not optimistic on it in japan atm.

 

Smash realistically is looking like a 800k-1.2mil opening. But knowing who i am im gonna go super optimistic and say 1.8mil, maybe even 2mil.

Totally agree on Pokemon.... at the moment I'm not even sure whether it will be 1 Mio FW: COMG performance + amazon JP performance make me think that it won't be THAT big of a thing in japan … I could be wrong and it picks up steam dramatically later on as we are still far away from its release

For Smash I see AT LEAST 1.3 Mio FW - not gonna be super optimistic with 2 Mio , but i rather go with 1.5 Mio!

This would be that 1 time going for it if a game would sell2mil.

 

SSBU got that switch momentum going for it (most games doing much better than previous franchise entries) and on top of that the game releases in dec. Only install base would be holding it back a bit but if splat2 can do 700k fw with an install base of around 1.5mil then smash can do it. With around 6 maybe close to 7mil?



ninson95 on 17 July 2018
tbone51 said:
ninson95 said:

Totally agree on Pokemon.... at the moment I'm not even sure whether it will be 1 Mio FW: COMG performance + amazon JP performance make me think that it won't be THAT big of a thing in japan … I could be wrong and it picks up steam dramatically later on as we are still far away from its release

For Smash I see AT LEAST 1.3 Mio FW - not gonna be super optimistic with 2 Mio , but i rather go with 1.5 Mio!

This would be that 1 time going for it if a game would sell2mil.

 

SSBU got that switch momentum going for it (most games doing much better than previous franchise entries) and on top of that the game releases in dec. Only install base would be holding it back a bit but if splat2 can do 700k fw with an install base of around 1.5mil then smash can do it. With around 6 maybe close to 7mil?

Well I will not rule out the possibility…. I mean 2 Mio are alot for Japan - only very few games have passed that mark (Pokemon Black/White for sure, I think Monster Hunter on PSP maybe and wasn't Dragon Quest IX also over 2 Mio?) ---> those are together with Animal crossing by far the biggest franchises in Japan