Week #     COMG vs MC

Week 1     132p   144.8k
Week 2       86p      68.9k
Week 3     106p      53.1k
Week 4       64p      43.6k
Week 5       48p      37.4k
Week 6       60p      34.1k
Week 7       34p      26.1k
Week 8       41p      22.5k
Week 9       44p      24.2k
Week 10     47p      28.2k
Week 11     64p      35.6k
Week 12  114p      41.3k
Week 13 60p

Wow! MHX and DQVIII beasting sunday there!!! And Yay for SMM!!!! Is the game getting lots of advertising in Japan? Like Splatoon?

That was weird.

I'm going with 27k this week.

I'm wondering  about that...

@horuhe

illuminate us,dear expert! :P

Wow, Super Mystery Dungeon is doing way better than Gates to Infinity so far.

Advertising, not yet. Only inside stores, at the moment. Maybe, at the end of the week could start to see adverts.

This is from Animate store in Akiba.

What is really well advertised is Dragon Quest VIII. It's everywhere.

This is from TSUTAYA.

I wouldn't assume 600k. While 600k FW wouldn't be a big surprise or anything, I can't imagine this is a remake that many were asking for unlike DQ7.

are Japanese reviews for Metal Gear out today as well? Just curious to see if they will an effect on pre orders

MGSV is a very western demographic targetted product much moreso than a home market one, which is consequently also targetting the consumers that have upgraded to the PS4 as they have done so largely for western oriented games. A game like DQH targets much more strongly the domestic market and tastes and as such was more evenly split (as PS4 owners are also still likely to be interested in domestic products like DQ but also interested in western products). This will be the first game with a split release (and of import) that will sell more on the PS4 than on the PS3. What is interesting, from here, is how future releases of this type go. 

Other things to consider: the PS3's active base is shrinking, whether to age, mobile, or handheld. Potential PS3 owners are now more incentivized (but not all of them) to buy a PS4 instead of an old PS3 largely on future potential.

According to YSO, the lowest prediction is 530k, and the majority of chains were above 580k-600k. I do believe in that number being achievable.