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Forums - Gaming - 2013'S BEST SELLING EXCLUSIVES (AS OF APR 20TH) [2nd post contains top 25]

Conegamer on 05 May 2013
Kresnik said:
I was going to say "It's a shame Soul Sacrifice will probably fall out of the top 10 soon" but then I realised it is releasing globally next week. Woot.

Anyway, what's the next big exclusive release?

It'll still likely fall out of the Top 10 soon, though.



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

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ethomaz on 05 May 2013
Lyrikalstylez said:
Wait there's a kingdom hearts out for ps3! Why the hell don't I have it yet?

The first HD collection in Japan only.



tbone51 on 05 May 2013
Kresnik said:
I was going to say "It's a shame Soul Sacrifice will probably fall out of the top 10 soon" but then I realised it is releasing globally next week. Woot.

Anyway, what's the next big exclusive release?


SMT IV. it might open up very big numbers in japan. Animal Crossing will get a huge boost in the top25 in june. DKR3D might be big, but thats a big ??? to me. PSP got that summon night game



tbone51 on 05 May 2013
tontus said:

Well according to NPD:

Luigi's Manion: Dark Moon is overtracked by 92K so it should be 1.39m.

Gears of War: Judgment is undertracked by 18K so it should be 1.15m.

God of War: Ascension is undertracked by 49K so it should be 1.09m.

 

These 3 games will undoubtedly remain in the top 10 bestelling exclusives this year. By the end if this year I'd predict the bestselling order among them will be: GoW:A at ~2.50m > LM:DM at ~2.25m > GeoW:J at ~1.75m. (I'm predicting big bundling this holiday for GoW:A, not sure about LM:DM, doubt it for GeoWJ).

If GT6 does release on PS3 this year that'll be either the 1st or 2nd biggest exclusive, the new handheld Pokemon game will be huge, I think TLoU will be big, Beyond Two Souls will do decently, Zelda remake for the Wii U will do well and a new 3D Mario game will do very well. Not really sure what else will do well, I must be forgetting something.

yea you missed LoZ for 3ds. that game will sell over 3mil imo. Its a holiday release. Also luigi mansion will have legs and by holiday it sell alot. i still believe it'll sell over 3mil by years end. DK might be big but thats a huge mystery now. oh yea, you missed MH4. MH4 will sell anywhere from 2.5mil-4mil





Conegamer on 05 May 2013
tontus said:

Well according to NPD:

Luigi's Manion: Dark Moon is overtracked by 92K so it should be 1.39m.

Gears of War: Judgment is undertracked by 18K so it should be 1.15m.

God of War: Ascension is undertracked by 49K so it should be 1.09m.

 

These 3 games will undoubtedly remain in the top 10 bestelling exclusives this year. By the end if this year I'd predict the bestselling order among them will be: GoW:A at ~2.50m > LM:DM at ~2.25m > GeoW:J at ~1.75m. (I'm predicting big bundling this holiday for GoW:A, not sure about LM:DM, doubt it for GeoWJ).

If GT6 does release on PS3 this year that'll be either the 1st or 2nd biggest exclusive, the new handheld Pokemon game will be huge, I think TLoU will be big, Beyond Two Souls will do decently, Zelda remake for the Wii U will do well and a new 3D Mario game will do very well. Not really sure what else will do well, I must be forgetting something.

No, Pokemon and Monster Hunter 4 will both easily be bigger than Gran Turismo. I would imagine if all games mentioned do launch:

1. Pokemon (Around 6 mil)

2. Monster Hunter (Around 5 mil)

3. 3D Mario (Around 3.25mil)

4. Gran Turismo (Around 2.8mil)

5. Zelda Wind Waker (Around 2.5mil)

6. Luigi's Mansion (around 2.5mil)

7. GoW: Ascension (Around 2mil)

8. The Last Of Us (Around 1.8mil)

9. GoW: Judgement (Around 1.7mil)

10. Unannounced game (Around 1.5mil)

 

Possible errors there could be the Wii U titles on that list, the install base may not be large enough to sell those numbers. Also, I don't want to include games like SimCity or StarCraft, because these could be much higher. But we just won't know.



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

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tbone51 on 05 May 2013
Conegamer said:
tontus said:

Well according to NPD:

Luigi's Manion: Dark Moon is overtracked by 92K so it should be 1.39m.

Gears of War: Judgment is undertracked by 18K so it should be 1.15m.

God of War: Ascension is undertracked by 49K so it should be 1.09m.

 

These 3 games will undoubtedly remain in the top 10 bestelling exclusives this year. By the end if this year I'd predict the bestselling order among them will be: GoW:A at ~2.50m > LM:DM at ~2.25m > GeoW:J at ~1.75m. (I'm predicting big bundling this holiday for GoW:A, not sure about LM:DM, doubt it for GeoWJ).

If GT6 does release on PS3 this year that'll be either the 1st or 2nd biggest exclusive, the new handheld Pokemon game will be huge, I think TLoU will be big, Beyond Two Souls will do decently, Zelda remake for the Wii U will do well and a new 3D Mario game will do very well. Not really sure what else will do well, I must be forgetting something.

No, Pokemon and Monster Hunter 4 will both easily be bigger than Gran Turismo. I would imagine if all games mentioned do launch:

1. Pokemon (Around 6 mil)

2. Monster Hunter (Around 5 mil)

3. 3D Mario (Around 3.25mil)

4. Gran Turismo (Around 2.8mil)

5. Zelda Wind Waker (Around 2.5mil)

6. Luigi's Mansion (around 2.5mil)

7. GoW: Ascension (Around 2mil)

8. The Last Of Us (Around 1.8mil)

9. GoW: Judgement (Around 1.7mil)

10. Unannounced game (Around 1.5mil)

 

Possible errors there could be the Wii U titles on that list, the install base may not be large enough to sell those numbers.

LoZ for 3ds will be huge.





Kresnik on 05 May 2013
Conegamer said:
Kresnik said:
I was going to say "It's a shame Soul Sacrifice will probably fall out of the top 10 soon" but then I realised it is releasing globally next week. Woot.

Anyway, what's the next big exclusive release?

It'll still likely fall out of the Top 10 soon, though.


You're such a downer these days, Conegamer =/

Besides, if the next big exclusive is SMT IV in 20 days and Layton/Kingdom Hearts aren't releasing globally until the end of the year, then it still has plenty of time to sit in this list.



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Conegamer on 05 May 2013
tbone51 said:
Conegamer said:
tontus said:

Well according to NPD:

Luigi's Manion: Dark Moon is overtracked by 92K so it should be 1.39m.

Gears of War: Judgment is undertracked by 18K so it should be 1.15m.

God of War: Ascension is undertracked by 49K so it should be 1.09m.

 

These 3 games will undoubtedly remain in the top 10 bestelling exclusives this year. By the end if this year I'd predict the bestselling order among them will be: GoW:A at ~2.50m > LM:DM at ~2.25m > GeoW:J at ~1.75m. (I'm predicting big bundling this holiday for GoW:A, not sure about LM:DM, doubt it for GeoWJ).

If GT6 does release on PS3 this year that'll be either the 1st or 2nd biggest exclusive, the new handheld Pokemon game will be huge, I think TLoU will be big, Beyond Two Souls will do decently, Zelda remake for the Wii U will do well and a new 3D Mario game will do very well. Not really sure what else will do well, I must be forgetting something.

No, Pokemon and Monster Hunter 4 will both easily be bigger than Gran Turismo. I would imagine if all games mentioned do launch:

1. Pokemon (Around 6 mil)

2. Monster Hunter (Around 5 mil)

3. 3D Mario (Around 3.25mil)

4. Gran Turismo (Around 2.8mil)

5. Zelda Wind Waker (Around 2.5mil)

6. Luigi's Mansion (around 2.5mil)

7. GoW: Ascension (Around 2mil)

8. The Last Of Us (Around 1.8mil)

9. GoW: Judgement (Around 1.7mil)

10. Unannounced game (Around 1.5mil)

 

Possible errors there could be the Wii U titles on that list, the install base may not be large enough to sell those numbers.

LoZ for 3ds will be huge.

Yeah, initially I had it in instead of Wind Waker. 



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

Conegamer on 05 May 2013
Kresnik said:
Conegamer said:
Kresnik said:
I was going to say "It's a shame Soul Sacrifice will probably fall out of the top 10 soon" but then I realised it is releasing globally next week. Woot.

Anyway, what's the next big exclusive release?

It'll still likely fall out of the Top 10 soon, though.


You're such a downer these days, Conegamer =/

Besides, if the next big exclusive is SMT IV in 20 days and Layton/Kingdom Hearts aren't releasing globally until the end of the year, then it still has plenty of time to sit in this list.

Not true. But I'd be amazed if Soul Sacrifice opens up to over 100k in the West, so it'll probably slot into, say, just above Lego City on that list. It may remain in the Top 10 until July/August, which is damn good. But then stuff like Pikmin, Wii Fit U (maybe), SMT, and 3DS titles like Donkey Kong, Mario And Luigi etc. will knock it out.



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

Kresnik on 05 May 2013
Conegamer said:

Not true. But I'd be amazed if Soul Sacrifice opens up to over 100k in the West, so it'll probably slot into, say, just above Lego City on that list. It may remain in the Top 10 until July/August, which is damn good. But then stuff like Pikmin, Wii Fit U (maybe), SMT, and 3DS titles like Donkey Kong, Mario And Luigi etc. will knock it out.


But you just proved it with the rest of this post! :P

When I first saw it I thought it would be falling out within the next few weeks.  But if it stays in for a couple of months then that's "damn good" indeed.  Let's just leave it at that instead of being a big downer!



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