it will but not for long, the gimmick is not good enough and the lack of third party support will create a lot of drought in between Nintendo releases

I expect sales to increase marginally towards the end of March (around 50k per week) but it won't be for long and it won't be sustained.

None of the March releases are "omg need that console now" games except for a very few people. Momemtum will build up slowly through the spring and summer. Fall will be great, though.

(Also, I think Wii U sales are undertracked in America, which we'll find out about in a few days with the NPD report. If I'm right, it was already closer to the 15k mark through February.)

I'm pretty sure he was refering to the last 2-3 years and not the whole gen, notice the "and at the closing of that generation" at the end.

that game that monolith is making I will buy a Wii U for that

i think the games listed for march will do little to nothing. a bump for a week and then back down and basically hover at low levels for quite a while longer.

but the alluded to mario kart, 3D mario, and smash bros should have a good impact this holiday.

I think sales will increase. The new games coming plus the zombiu bundle on shelves should help maintain a more positive momentum. Plus April sees Injustice as well as the Virtual Console finally going live. If Nintendo gets aggresive with advertising they can maybe pull off something effective.

Oh yeah and Pandoras Tower comes in April as well, I know its a Wii game but it can be played on the WIi U so maybe (tho unlikely) it will help sway some

What about

Dragon Quest X

It releases in Japan this month, and Dragon Quest X is huge in Japan. Didn't it boost Wii sales by 300% that one week? They did, Wii went from selling just over 10k weekly (what WiiU is doing now) to about 42k after Dragon Quest released, and then it stabilized at 15k weekly for a while.

Yea that boost will go away in a month, but Japan might stabilize 5-10k a week higher and stick above PS3.

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As for the rest of the world, there will be a small 5-10k rise because of Lego and Monster Hunter, but I don't think Wii U sales will pick up until June. Pikmin 3 and Wonderful 101 aren't "must buy console" for games, but they are great games, and they will still be that first good game which people need before they buy a console. After all people won't buy a console unless there is a game they like, and not all of us like New Super Mario Bros.

So sales will be up slightly overall in March, and it might stabilize at a higher point because now Wii U will have a small library of games to choose from. However we won't see big jumps until June-August when bigger titles like Pikmin 3, Wonderful 101 and Wind Waker release, and until we see footage of Mario Kart and Smash Bros at E3.

No. The Wii U is Dooooooooooooommmmmmm.....

The better the library of games available the better the sales will be, but as mentioned, none of the games listed in the OP will boost sales in a meaningful way, either alone or combined.

The WiiU needs exclusive system sellers and those likely won't arrive until the holiday season. And even then they had better be good and WiiU better be cheaper than the new Next-gen consoles from Sony/MS or it won't be pretty.

Monster Hunter is a fairly small franchise outside of handhelds and the PSP version of Freedom Unite sold well over twice as much as the Wii version of Monster Hunter Tri (5.35 vs 2.09).
Walking Dead might be good games but they have sold very, very poorly, all the episodes combined have managed an estimated 1.5 million or so divided on three platforms, hardly a massive series by anyone's count.
Amazing Spider Man is a very late port and a small one at that, being the product of typical licensed games based on movies, they almost never have any impact worth mentioning.

Lego is a fairly big title and Lego Star Wars managed over 5 million on the Wii. The problem is this though; the Wii U isn't attracting the same customers as the Wii, this is one of the chief reasons its selling so badly so the customer base for a Lego game just isn't there.
The same goes for Wii Fit U should that appear, the customer base is just not there.
Pikmin is among the smaller Nintendo franchises and sold incredibly tiny numbers compared to their other hitters, managing only 0.4 and 0.6 million on the Wii.
Pikmin 3 will at best be an obscure thing that moves a few hundred thousand.

Wind Waker is a remake, even though some Zelda fans will love it, its not something to draw in new customers and certainly won't have anywhere near the same impact as brand new, full fledged Zelda.

Wonderful 101 looks like a charming title, but it also has the looks and feel of a really niche product. Don't expect huge numbers, with such an obscure setup it might go on to be a sub 250k title when all is said and done. I hope it manages more though, since I believe that creativity and originality should be rewarded but this is rarely the case in the real world.

NFS: Most Wanted sold about 1.67 million on the PS3 by now, a platform that should be rife with the right demographic, these are fairly poor sales for a mainline NFS title and the Wii U is getting yet another late late port, you do the math.

Nintendo doesn't need something that "may lead into Wii Play U", they need to get off their ass and try to get some proper support for their console, with the dreary weekly sales we're seeing and the incredibly poor 3rd party support, there's no way it will rise to acceptable levels any time soon.

Those games you mentioned will yield a temporary boost, perhaps in the order of 8-10.000 units but it will be short and make little difference in the long run. If this continues into the holiday season, it might very well be too late for the Wii U to ever become relevant at all, much like the Vita.
Extremely late ports, niche titles and the tiny Nintendo franchises won't do them much good.
The Wii U has been in trouble since early january and it could easily get worse.