







My prediction threads:
Wii U will sell under 40m units (made on 14th September 2012)
PS Vita will sell under 20m units (made on 30th September 2012)
Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013 - I was right








My prediction threads:
Wii U will sell under 40m units (made on 14th September 2012)
PS Vita will sell under 20m units (made on 30th September 2012)
Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013 - I was right
man-bear-pig said:
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There are those (even a few professional analysts) who argue that the correct way to view this is not that Mac sales declined, but that iPad + Mac sales increased by 30%. In fact, if Ballmer is right and tablets are PCs, Apple is now the largest PC manufacturer in the world by any measure.

"The worst part about these reviews is they are [subjective]--and their scores often depend on how drunk you got the media at a Street Fighter event." — Mona Hamilton, Capcom Senior VP of Marketing
*Image indefinitely borrowed from BrainBoxLtd without his consent.
man-bear-pig said:
If rumours are to be believed, there'll be a new iPhone in May/June with a larger screen available in a wider range of colours...that could be a big winner! |
the bolded part would be just too funny after their adverd talking about the perfect size and about common sense as if other companies using bigger screens would be stupid^^
| famousringo said: The professional analysts seem to have pretty much nailed it. YoY unit changes: iPhone growth 30% iPad growth 50% Mac sales declined by 20%(!) iPod sales who cares. Worth noting that last year's quarter had an extra week, so adjust these numbers up by 8% for a more accurate comparison. |
The other mitigating factor is that Apple just refreshed much of their computer product line. Normally this should boost sales, but in this case they had shortages and production delays, especially for the new super thin iMac.
man-bear-pig said:
If rumours are to be believed, there'll be a new iPhone in May/June with a larger screen available in a wider range of colours...that could be a big winner! |
Honestly, even if Apple solved the content problem and blew the TV market apart with an iTV, it would be a pretty minor success compared to all their other products. People buy one, maybe two TVs per household and keep them for a decade. Just doesn't compare to tablets and phones where the potential is one device per person updated every two or three years.
I'm pretty sure Apple is just going to keep developing their existing Apple TV and it's main goal is going to be to enhance the value of Apple's other devices and content services.

"The worst part about these reviews is they are [subjective]--and their scores often depend on how drunk you got the media at a Street Fighter event." — Mona Hamilton, Capcom Senior VP of Marketing
*Image indefinitely borrowed from BrainBoxLtd without his consent.
famousringo said:
There are those (even a few professional analysts) who argue that the correct way to view this is not that Mac sales declined, but that iPad + Mac sales increased by 30%. In fact, if Ballmer is right and tablets are PCs, Apple is now the largest PC manufacturer in the world by any measure. |
but ipads are way cheaper so if mac+ipad would be +-0, it would be a huge decline in revenue. i don't think you can put that so easy together, it surely is a factor but not that easy in my opinion.
not sure how revenue of software looks like for every sold mac or ipad but that is surely also a factor.
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My prediction threads:
Wii U will sell under 40m units (made on 14th September 2012)
PS Vita will sell under 20m units (made on 30th September 2012)
Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013 - I was right
kowenicki said:
huh? thats wrong. hmmm. revenue slipping, growth slowing which was inevitable I guess. They need a cheaper device for emerging markets, thats where the real growth is. |
They could offer their older iPhone models. Why don't they do that? Apple isn't exactly known to make cheap products so I don't think they'll make a cheaper phone anytime soon.
| crissindahouse said: but ipads are way cheaper so if mac+ipad would be +-0, it would be a huge decline in revenue. i don't think you can put that so easy together, it surely is a factor but not that easy in my opinion. not sure how revenue of software looks like for every sold mac or ipad but that is surely also a factor. |
You're absolutely right, per unit revenue is certainly lower for Apple, but Apple has never, ever had scale like this in the PC market. Furthermore, iPads actually enjoy better margins than Macs, at least so far. In fact, last I saw the average selling price of an iPad was around $550. It's probably lower now with the Mini, but that ASP is actually quite comparable to the ASP of a non-Apple PC vendor in the days when they still made netbooks.
Software is hard to say, since something like iWork may cost more on Mac, but I guarantee far, far more units are sold on iOS. It's the same gold rush that mobile developers are seeing. Per unit revenues are plummeting, but the scale of people actually paying for that software makes it all worthwhile.
Edit: Here's some dated information on ASPs, but it gets the point across. The ASP of PCs in 2011 was under $500:
http://www.macrumors.com/2011/10/20/nearly-all-apple-hardware-costs-more-than-the-average-pc/

"The worst part about these reviews is they are [subjective]--and their scores often depend on how drunk you got the media at a Street Fighter event." — Mona Hamilton, Capcom Senior VP of Marketing
*Image indefinitely borrowed from BrainBoxLtd without his consent.