Yeah that is pretty much the one. Just did not seem like many people know this. The one I read said Sony confirmed it so if they are lieing... then I will be a little angry.

some of those graphs really need to be cleaned up a bit or just slightly bigger, anything with 8 different lines of info needs to be bigger than 10x10 pixels big, otherwise eyes will bleed :D The typo's are fairly off putting from the pure data point as is a few bits and pieces which are just speculated or opinion. Not sure if it was critique to the actual type of article you were posting that you were looking for but yeah. Those things would shine to me if I was a mod/admin here.

So thicker lines, and bigger graphs? On excel the lines are a bit thicker, I don't know why the act of transfering them to a windows computer and separating the eimages from the excel file make the lines smaller. I'll be sure to fatten them up for Q1.

Also what typos? I wrote this up on a forum post, I didn't pre-write this on word like I have been doing for my software analysis's (You'll see in about a week).

The last post on what to expect for 2013 is speculation. It's my analysis, but I'm no psychic.

I appreciate the critique, I wan't looking for one in particular, but anything to improve my writing is great. I want to make these quarterly as VGC Newsfeeds.


BTW, What happend to mind the gap? PS3 is getting real close to 360 now, and 360 will likely pass Wii sales in Americas real soon. Same with PS3 in EU and Wii.

I expect PS3 to fall hard in Japan this year.

It will basically be Europe V.S U.S for sales and since the U.S has a bigger market, 360 could hold off PS3

Great work on this Michael. Job well done! ^_^

2013 will truly be an interesting year for sure. Wii U's first full year on the market, X360 and PS3 competing with X720 and PS4 looming on the horizon, Vita and 3DS continuing to compete, Wii crossing the 100 million sold barrier...

And more great games!

Kudos for all the hard work.

Maybe for PS3, but I'm not sure about the X-Box 360. The 360 got more then half its annual sales in Q4 in 2012 and this is a common pattern for the 360. With all the major software for PS3/360 releasing in Q1/Q2, and next gen consoles likely to release in Q4 2013, the 360 probably won't get too many sales this fall. 30 sales dropped by 25% last year as well, it would have to drop between 20-40% more this year to match you prediction, and I just don't see the lower value being possible.

PS3 could get 10 million, but I dunno. Wii had a great software year in Q1/Q2 of 2012 with XenoBlade Chronicles, Mario Party 9 and Last Story in Q3, yet sales were pretty weak.

Most system sales just drop hard when a sucessor console is announced, and drop harder when it's released. I mean DS sales dropped to almost below PSP levels when the 3DS released, and then when Vita released PSP fell just as hard.

That's probably likely, but USA sales should fall hard for 360 and PS3 post E3, when sucessor consoles will very likely be announced. WiiU could also hurt the 360, moreso then the PS3, due to Nintendo's popularity in North America.

I think the Xbox 360 certainly needs a price cut this year but it is hard so say whether or not it will get one. Microsoft seems to be trying to position the Xbox brand as being more 'premium' than the PS3. Its really hard to predict what will happen in the future.

It's likely that the PS3 and the 360 will get a price cut when successor consoles are either announced or released. Either way I think it's too late, 360 really needed that price cut to compete with Sony.

This kinda annoys me, PS3 is the more expensive system to develop, and during Black Friday/Boxing Day of 2010 and 2011, 360 Arcades were $130. Why not this year, why is this not a permanent cut? I know it's MS just getting rich, but it changes the market from teenagers/kids with some cash to adults. $200 is quite a bit of money, especially when you consider how much excellent software is available for $20. It just makes buying a console unreasonable, for it to cost more then 10 good games (Examples Halo 3, Lost Odyssey, Tales of Vesperia, Infinite Undiscovery, and all JRPG's, Bioshock 1 & 2, Dead Space 1 & 2, Vanquish, Gears of War 1, 2 & soon 3, Fallout 3/NV, Forza 2 and 3, Mass Effect 1 & 2, etc, etc).

Well from the perspective of Microsoft which would you prefer? Either $500M less in revenue and a 2nd place console or $500M to spend on the launch of the next console/profit but your console is in 3rd place? So why isn't the Xbox 360 $129? The division has a lot of loss leaders in it and the Xbox 360 is just paying back its' dividend I guess. They tried the 'semi' price cut by doing the subscription thing so what they do in the future is pretty uncertain simply because they have a lot more good options than Sony does so they don't have to make any moves until it comes down to the wire if they even intend to keep the PS3 in third place.

The problem with the people who buy consoles now is that they are really really sucky customers. Why should they take a loss in revenue in order to attract the worst people? If you've waited 8 years and won't pay more than $150 you can't really be that profitable to sell consoles to and you're probably not going to buy many/any full price games. In the end it may not even make up for the loss in revenue from the people who would have paid $200 because the extra customers, that 20-30% of people who will buy the console at $150 only aren't going to rush out and fill their cart on new $60 titles.

I prefer honorable buisness edicuit, and a devotion to quality. First of all Microsoft should admit to defects in original marker 360's, replace consoles to those who have replaced their console with their own money more then once. This keeps consumers devoted, this is one reason why Toyota and Valkswagen are the two largest car industries in the world, they make reliable products (Note VW's in USA are outsources so reliability is crap in this region specifically)

Second, I prefer MS sell a system at a reasonable rate, not scale up the price to maximize profits. MS can afford not to do this, if people start to abandon MS, then MS could just throw money on the X-Box and fix it, but at least if you're going to make the system so expensive, make some games which justify the price. Then they can generate 500 million and then some more.

Subscriptions were smart on MS's part, a lot of people are bad with saving money and can't save a large amount at once. This I think is a great buisness strategy, and a good idea. However I wish XBLG wasn't a forced subscription, I wish you could play per hour because I really don't play online much, but with the 360 I'm banned from it.

At the bold, you're 100% right, I didn't think about that. Then maybe MS should make a $200 bundle, with the 4GB 360, and two games. Not much of a loss, not much of a price cut, but real attractive to late generation gamers.

Also not all late generation gamers are sucky customers. I bought a Wii 2 years ago in 2011, and I have over 20 games for it. Several I bought new, and in the case of XenoBlade and Last Story, I bought them new day 1.

IMHO I think MS's policies will come and back lash at them. Making poor quality products will deter those who don't buy a 360 simply because it's domestic. Keeping a high price for a low quality product will really annoy the hardcore gamers, the type of people who buy consoles early in their life and go on forums to talk about it.

I mean, most people here know I'm a MS fan (because of the exclusives), but look how shitty I talk about 360. I tell everyone to go Sony instead, and next gen the MS console will be my third.

I doubt I'm alone in this, I know analogies suck, but the US car industry is the same. Chevy and Ford used to dominate the American car industry, and they did so with methods called "planned obselence" which is still practiced today. Basically they engineered the cars to work flawlessly for 3 years (Old cars aren't as reliable as current ones), and then have everything fall apart so it's not worth fixing. Then the Japanese came in with cars that could last 10 years and now Chevy/Ford compete for first place in their domestic region, with heavy taxes on foreign cars. WW Ford and Chevy aren't common names.

My point is, if you give people crap products, and keep a high price on it, people will notice and MS will loose loyal fans. You can't always attract new gamers and maintain a stable platform. You need to hold onto the hardcore, and if you're going to make expensive shitty consoles, then make games that people will play to make up for that.


However you are right, from a short term buisness standpoint, MS has no reason to make a price cut when the console sells moderatly well.