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Forums - Sales - Prediction: PS3 will double WiiU in sales until E3 (PS3 leading 4.2:1)

 

How will this battle end (Dec 30th-Jun 7th, vgchartz)?

PS3 will more than double WiiU sales 99 62.26%
 
PS3 will double WiiU sales 13 8.18%
 
S3 will sell ~50% more than WiiU 7 4.40%
 
PS3 and WiiU will sell the same (essentially) 10 6.29%
 
WiiU will sell 50% more than PS3 8 5.03%
 
WiiU will double PS3 sales 13 8.18%
 
Other 9 5.66%
 
Total:159
M.U.G.E.N said:
DaRev said:

man you are fast. I think thye will sell about the same.

Anyways, I think when Nintendo releases its games for 2013, it will warrant people picking up a new Wii U for the exclusives. Not sure we can say the same thing about PS3, (1) because I'm not sure what exclusives it has between now and E3, (2) its good holiday 2012 numbers will not continue (but I assume you can say the same about Wii U).

(not my best arguments above )

Before E3 this year?

Sly

God of War

The Last of Us

I'm sure there's more

GTA V, though the exact release is date not yet confirmed by Rockstar. So before E3, there's a chance it would make through feb -March.



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People here must be too naive to think about PS360 price cut with so many exclusives and multiplats coming this year, I don't see any price cut until 4Q13.



As I said before, Japan cannot carry the Wii U to 4M by end of March, so your prediction is in line with my thoughts. Trend will continue, PS3 will do this with relative ease. Look at Wii U numbers in USA, should be way higher than Japan. It's half Japan last week.



VGKing said:
NintendoPie said:
Not unless Lego, Pikmin, and that other game releasing in Q1-ish have anything to say for it.
The Wii U should be able to keep up with the PS3. I'm not going to say sell better because then it won't due to my "luck."

A 3rd party game and an a weak new IP? I don't think so....

Just look at Pikmin 1 and 2 sales for Gamecube.

PosGamePlatformYearGenrePublisherNorth AmericaEuropeJapanRest of WorldGlobal
1 Pikmin GC 2001 Strategy Nintendo 0.78 0.25 0.56 0.04 1.63
2 Pikmin 2 GC 2004 Strategy Nintendo 0.48 0.13 0.56 0.03 1.20

The franchise declined even further during the Wii era.

3 New Play Control! Pikmin Wii 2008 Strategy Nintendo 0.26 0.09 0.19 0.04 0.58
4 New Play Control! Pikmin 2 Wii 2009 Strategy Nintendo 0.04 0.12 0.20 0.01 0.37


I agree, considering its previous games, Pikmin is far from being a system seller.



pezus said:
F0X said:
pezus said:
NPD numbers in. WiiU sold 460k in December in USA. Oh, dear...
Any takers now?


Nothing to be concerned of. PS3 sold 625k. :/

Well, I'm off to declare war on the Microsoft fandom.

Thankfully PS3 still has Europe. Can't say the same for WiiU unfortunately (or fortunately for my prediction )

Still, I don't see why you think that the NPD numbers make your prediction more likely.

I mean, before NPD, going by VGC, we expected PS3 to do 50%, or ~340k better than WiiU during December, which would have been great for your prediction. Now, though, we know that PS3 did only ~35% - in the range of a mere 150k - better than WiiU. If anything, this makes your prediction much less likely.

Sure, you can say that PS3 has Europe. But PS3 already had Europe before NPD, didn't it? It's not as if the US was going to be WiiU's saviour here; it was going to get thrashed in the US before and it only end up getting beaten. All NPD did was make your prediction even more probable.

In fact, I'd even argue that, since we now know that WiiU is doing better relative to PS3 in US than we thought, there's a good chance that the same thing's happening in Europe, so PS3 may not even achieve your goal there. This is a bit of a stretch, though.

Regardless, I really don't see why NPD prompted you to try to sell this prediction further.



 

“These are my principles; if you don’t like them, I have others.” – Groucho Marx

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pezus said:

Because it implies that WiiU isn't as popular as we thought and that sales have dropped off very quickly. Keep in mind that I wasn't predicting December sales.

But you're not predicting WiiU sales. You're predicting PS3 vs WiiU sales. As such, worse PS3 sales trump bad WiiU sales, making your prediction not as probable as before.

And I'm quite aware you weren't predecting December sales. I'm just noticing that Dec sales inexplicably prompted you to have more confidence in this prediction.



 

“These are my principles; if you don’t like them, I have others.” – Groucho Marx

I can't believe 23 people think Wii U will double PS3 sales through June 7th. What planet are these people from?



dsgrue3 said:
I can't believe 23 people think Wii U will double PS3 sales through June 7th. What planet are these people from?


Nintendoland (Failure to have reading comprehension.)

This won't happen by a long shot, but a 30-50% increase is likely.



Estelle and Adol... best characters ever! XD

Zelhawks37 said:
dsgrue3 said:
I can't believe 23 people think Wii U will double PS3 sales through June 7th. What planet are these people from?


Sonyland.

This won't happen by a long shot, but a 30-50% increase is likely.

Don't you mean Nintendoland?



dsgrue3 said:
Zelhawks37 said:
dsgrue3 said:
I can't believe 23 people think Wii U will double PS3 sales through June 7th. What planet are these people from?


Sonyland.

This won't happen by a long shot, but a 30-50% increase is likely.

Don't you mean Nintendoland?


See the edit. :)


@pezus One week. ONE WEEK!



Estelle and Adol... best characters ever! XD