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Forums - Gaming - Xbox 720 or Playstation 4 will debut next year, says Activision

selnor said:
the_dengle said:

Yup, too early. Manufacturing costs were too high, especially for the Blu-Ray compatibility, driving the price up. Launch games were so-so. PS2 was still selling quite well. If Sony had waited till Holiday '07 to release the PS3, it would've been heralded as the second (or third?) coming of Video-Game-Console-Christ. And it probably would have sold as such.

As it was, Sony was already forced to drop the price before the PS3's second holiday. They may as well have waited a year to begin production and launched at $500.

You mean 2007?????

That would have destroyed them.

By then imo MGS series would have been lost. FF possibly to. Also 360 would have likely sold even better than it already was by then.

Couple together PS3 would then have been releasing alongside Halo 3 ouch!

And then Gears 2 in 2008. Your forgetting waiting till then for Ps3 would have meant no Uncarted 3 by now, GT5 would have taken longer etc. It would have skewed Sonys genertaion to much. It would ave killed them.

I can see I'm being overruled here, but I stand by my opinion. Sony was riding high on the success of the PS2. Microsoft was in a hurry to start the next generation because the original XBox was a flop. Sony was in command of the industry, and they willingly gave up that command by following Microsoft's lead and releasing an overpriced console.

Don't think about the competition for a moment. Sony owned the competition. The PS2 was released well over a year after the Dreamcast, and did it matter? No, Sony's marketing was so good, the Dreamcast never stood a chance. The 360 got off to a slow start, at least in part because HDTVs hadn't really taken off yet. This was a problem that plagued both HD consoles until '07 or '08, anyway. The 360 wasn't going anywhere fast. Its games were more expensive and took longer to make, it had crippling hardware failures, and it wasn't selling at all in Japan.

Imagine Sony released the PS3 around the time of Holiday 2007. It truly would have appeared to be a more modern piece of hardware than the 360, even if it was the same console as the one we got. Manufacturing costs would have been lower, so it could have been cheaper. If it launched at $500 or even $450 it would have been a reasonably-priced Blu-Ray player, something the 360 was not. Hell, the PS3 as it launched could hardly be called reasonably-priced. Uncharted: Drake's Deception would have been a launch title. 360 wasn't going to steal FF, MGS, or any other major Japanese franchise from Sony with the way it was selling in Japan. Ultimately, I think the PS3 would have dropped like a hammer instead of a paperweight. Most importantly, it probably would have been more profitable for Sony in the long run.

I feel the same way about PS4. Everyone expects it to be a powerhouse. I think Sony can wait three years if they want to, and release a super-powered console mid-generation. With more modern architecture, it could probably be significantly more capable than the other consoles without being much more expensive, and might even cut the Wii U & 720's lives short. Sony will continue making money from PS3 sales in the meantime, now that it's finally profitable for them.



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Im still fricken waiting for FF Versus!! thats the reason I brought my ps3 in the first place lol



Squilliam said:

The Xbox 3 and PS4 will sell more on launch day than the Wii U will  for the whole year 2022

Probably.



Pesmerga7551 said:
teigaga said:
I don't trust the reports of the issue with chips, we hear the same thing or at least something similar almost every console launch, with the wii U it was that there was an issue with the control and that it would't come out till 2013. There may be problems or delays but its not even 2013 yet so I don't see that would result in a 2014 launch for microsoft.

My bets remain
Xbox 8 fall 2013- launch titles: Destiny, Watchdogs, Ryse, 2 Rare games; 1. action/adventure 2. Kinect title, Unreal Tournament 4 and then the usual COD, FIfa, Madden.

PS Orbis march-september 2014. I'm personally hoping they release in september
Launch titles: Final Fantasy versus XIII, Starwars 1313... sony tends to go for all new IPs each gen so the rest I won't even guess at.

If you don't think Uncharted to be out within the first 3 months, then you're a bit clueless bro. In fact, I confident to say it will be a launch title which would be very smart. One of their ND studios is working on a game, and seeing how they rotate the Uncharted games, it is in production. Next year window release, and this to me points to the PS4 coming out in November of next year. The other studio is of course making their newest franchise title (Last of Us).

Then you also forget Gran Turismo franchise, which never resets. GT6 coming out on the PS3, probably not. I bet all their efforts are in it for the PS4, otherwise they would have released info on the game to make a 2012, or early 2013 release for GT6. Any later doesn't make sense. You can't release it Fall, or Winter of 2013 knowing about the next generation consoles hitting the market. But it's vey sad to me that we only got one GT game this generation.

You know when the PS4 launches they will have a strong launch lineup. It's very important thing for them (first part support).

 Naughty Dog aren't the sort of company to drag out a franchise. Now I'm a massive fan of Uncharted but 3 wrapped up the trilogy really well in my opinion and I think theres a chance they will do what they did this Gen (moving from JAk to Uncharted) and just work on a brand new franchise for the playstation Orbis. Having said that I don't think they've had a franchise which has sold consistently sold as well as Uncarted has (other then GT). So  I guess brining it back for launch will the be the safe option, but realistically I'd give them 3 years make their 1st game for a brand new system, so I doubt they'll be a naughty dog in the Orbis launch window if it launches in 2013.

I guess it would also be realistic for Sony to ready a GT6 by fall 2014 end aswell



the_dengle said:

I can see I'm being overruled here, but I stand by my opinion. Sony was riding high on the success of the PS2. Microsoft was in a hurry to start the next generation because the original XBox was a flop. Sony was in command of the industry, and they willingly gave up that command by following Microsoft's lead and releasing an overpriced console.

Don't think about the competition for a moment. Sony owned the competition. The PS2 was released well over a year after the Dreamcast, and did it matter? No, Sony's marketing was so good, the Dreamcast never stood a chance. The 360 got off to a slow start, at least in part because HDTVs hadn't really taken off yet. This was a problem that plagued both HD consoles until '07 or '08, anyway. The 360 wasn't going anywhere fast. Its games were more expensive and took longer to make, it had crippling hardware failures, and it wasn't selling at all in Japan.

Imagine Sony released the PS3 around the time of Holiday 2007. It truly would have appeared to be a more modern piece of hardware than the 360, even if it was the same console as the one we got. Manufacturing costs would have been lower, so it could have been cheaper. If it launched at $500 or even $450 it would have been a reasonably-priced Blu-Ray player, something the 360 was not. Hell, the PS3 as it launched could hardly be called reasonably-priced. Uncharted: Drake's Deception would have been a launch title. 360 wasn't going to steal FF, MGS, or any other major Japanese franchise from Sony with the way it was selling in Japan. Ultimately, I think the PS3 would have dropped like a hammer instead of a paperweight. Most importantly, it probably would have been more profitable for Sony in the long run.

I feel the same way about PS4. Everyone expects it to be a powerhouse. I think Sony can wait three years if they want to, and release a super-powered console mid-generation. With more modern architecture, it could probably be significantly more capable than the other consoles without being much more expensive, and might even cut the Wii U & 720's lives short. Sony will continue making money from PS3 sales in the meantime, now that it's finally profitable for them.

 I think you give too much weight to brand loyalty as if people would simply ignore the 360 until the ps2's successor arrived.

The ps2's dominance was not a result of people being so in love with the playstation brand or even their 1st party titles, but more down to the the fact that most AAA 3rd party titles were ps2 exclusive or at least timed exclusives to the ps3: Metal Gear, Final Fantasy, GTA, Tekken, DMC etc. Now from the minute this gen began, a shift towards more multiplatform games was very clear. Although Metal Gear and FF remained exclusive to the sony brand, almost every other title was available on the 360, including the games which have gone on to be define this generation in terms of popularity: COD, GTA, Assassins Creed, Elderscrolls, Fifa, Madden... literally all the big 3rd party titles!

Not to mention Microsofts 1st party line up which would have destroyed anything Sony released in their 1st year including Uncharted. You must be forgetting that the 1st Uncharted game was not considered a classic, many reviews stated that although it looked pretty and combined lots of genres successfully, it did not excel in any way.  The 360 would of had Gears, Halo 3, Oblivion, Bioshock, Mass Effect and ps3 would be launching with a bunch of ambitious yet mediocre titles (Uncharted, Heavenly sword, Lair). 

And the PS3 has always seemed a more modern peice of hardware then the 360, launching a year later wouldn't of changed that and it wouldn't have made a difference salewise. The graphical difference between the 2 systems did not justify the $100 extra you would need to pay for a ps3 and most 3rd party games (the important games), looked better on the 360. Also Blu-ray has struggled to find relevance as DVD sales fell and streaming became the prefered options, so for alot of people it wouldn't justify the ps3's price either.

People continue to rack their brains over what Sony did wrong, but they sold a ton of units and will over take the 360 WW in a few months. But the market share they've lost to Microsoft was inevitable, the 360 was just too good of a competitor. 

And I agree with you that sony should wait a bit longer to release the Orbis and create 1:  A really strong launch line up for the 1st 12 months. 2: create a graphical difference which would really seperate it from the Xbox8. But they can't arrive later then 9 months after Xbox8. By then a snowball effect would  have began in terms of people being like "I'm gonna get the xbox because 3 of my friends already have it and I wanna play them online".



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teigaga said:

Naughty Dog aren't the sort of company to drag out a franchise. Now I'm a massive fan of Uncharted but 3 wrapped up the trilogy really well in my opinion and I think theres a chance they will do what they did this Gen (moving from JAk to Uncharted) and just work on a brand new franchise for the playstation Orbis. Having said that I don't think they've had a franchise which has sold consistently sold as well as Uncarted has (other then GT). So  I guess brining it back for launch will the be the safe option, but realistically I'd give them 3 years make their 1st game for a brand new system, so I doubt they'll be a naughty dog in the Orbis launch window if it launches in 2013.


I think you overestimate Naughty Dog.  You're right that they've made a new franchise for each new Sony home console, but it's only circumstance which has brought this about.  It was impossible for them to make another Crash Bandicoot game for PS2, so they developed Jak & Daxter.  I'm sure it's what they would have wanted to do anyway, but the IP rights staying with Vivendi meant Crash was out of the picture.

They developed Uncharted for PS3 on the back of Jak's continuing sales decline on PS2.  They alienated a lot of the fans of the original with the second game, who never returned for the third.  The franchise was on the decline and this would likely have continued on the PS3.

Now we've got Uncharted, which arguably has only grown with every instalment.  It's a consistent 5 million + IP at the moment, of which Sony only really have two others (Gran Turismo & God of War).  I can't see Sony allowing them to drop Uncharted, it's going to be too integral to getting PS4 out of the gate strongly. Plus, Naughty Dog is two studios now, so the team that are working on The Last of Us still have the chance to start a new trilogy with that (or even a new IP) on the PS4 if they want to.

What they can do with Uncharted now is a different matter.  I think Santa Monica are having trouble figuring out what to do with God of War next, so ND might have this same problem with UC.  And whether it gets out of the gate with PS4 is debatable.  They'll have had 2 years by holidays 2013, 2-and-a-bit if it launches early 2014.  Depending on what PS4 specs are like, that may or may not be enough time.



Why is everyone suggesting releasing a PS4 a year after the 720 would be a bad idea?
Sony is going to come close to leading the XBox 360 and released a good year after the xbox came out.

Sony is in fiancial turmoil, and releasing later with the right price will help them from losing lots of money again.
Hell I'm surprised the Wii U is releasing at a loss when every company shouldn't release their system till they break even/profit right away.



It's just that simple.

teigaga said:
KeptoKnight said:
To challenge the Wii-U or play catch up with the Wii-U? lol

By releasing a console Fall 2013 (Halloween-Christmas) Nintendo WILL have some serious quality software ready on board that holiday (for Wii-U and 3DS). I don't know if it will be wise to have a console release without a killer 1P. In other words can rushing a console release be a good thing or bad thing?

As of right now I don't think we have any reason to believe Microsoft and Sony are in direct competition with nintendo. I don't fully know the capabilties of the system but basing it on what we've seen so far I think things will pan out similar to this gen; aside from the yearly releases (COD, FIfa), the Wii U is going to be recieving different support from 3rd parties. I.E you'll have to pick up a Orbis/Xbox8 if you want to play Mass Effect 4, Final Fantasy XV, GTA 6. Although I expect the WIi U to do really well in JApan and possibly recieve most of next -gens Japanese console games and many of them may even exclusive. Just not mainline FF.

You should check out my link in my sig and read why PS4 won't be a massive leap over Wii U, and therefore, in the long run, why x3ox won't have better 3rd party support ;) And also pay superchunk a visit in his thread about Wii U vs PS4 vs x3ox specs =)



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Slimebeast said:
"Meanwhile, the Playstation 4 recently received reports of new dev kits being sent out to developers, with the final one coming sometime this next year.

With that being the case, logic implies the system would not be ready by the end of 2013, since dev kits are still heading out."
-----------------------

No, logic does not imply that.

Dev kits will be constantly delivered until just a few months before release. Everyone should know that.

Who is writing these stupid articles??

Stupid people, obviously.



I'm on Twitter @DanneSandin!

Furthermore, I think VGChartz should add a "Like"-button.

PS3 had a bad start not because it was last, but because it was last and still too early for Sony's plans.
Being last having planned it, instead, isn't bad. BTW Sony needs to focus on PSV next year.
OTOH XB360 is the oldest of current gen, and despite doing very good for its age, it wll need a successor earlier, so if the rumour is true, I think it's about XB720.



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