Well, anybody ain't perfect, even I make mistakes in predictions of things I'm well aware of. The show isn't over yet though, there'd be appeals up the ass, even ROC already have asked for mercy. So the chances they'd be freed on parole in next half a year.
//Anyway I had a lot of reasons to make this prediciton, it's less than 1/3 of prosecuted under 213 article of criminal law who got real sentences last year, on top of that the trial practice of, let's say, political-sensetive cases usually end up with "Solomon decision", sort of wolves to be fed and sheep to be safe, i.e. people would have found guilty, but get conditional sentence instead. After looking at the faces of "pussies" when they got their verdict they didn't expect it either :D It's easy to blab some narcissist nonsense about political prisoners and insult court instead of remorse for what they did, when you're sure you'll get nothing, and now happy time in jail awaits.
Personally I'm satisfied that judge didn't bow under pressure and strictly followed the letter of the law, kudos to her. I'm not satisified with the rest of authorities who either were deluded or purposely followed what's the stupidiest and most obvious provocation made. "STFU, Donny, V.I. Lenin! Vladimir Ilyich Ulyanov!", - yeah, listen to Wault :D Why nobody reads the classic of political provocations? The today's famous Sharp scheme is just a plagiargism.
Though this still doesn't makes it somehow different for the guy who got his years in jail just for drawing swastika in synagouge, Kaz ;) In general, America is a gold mine of a disputiable court descisions when you got bigger sentence for stealing than murdering, wacky criminals and even more wacky law enforcement, and all that curiosities that makes us smile reading news reports every morning. It's jsut a law of big numbers, given how huge US prison population as of now - biggest in absolute and relative numbers for entire XX century, which makes it a good contender for being the biggest in the history of humanity - there're shitload of people convicted yearly, out of which there must be some interest cases that media pick up. By your standards our judicial processual system is boring as fuck, this one is just an exclusion from the rule.