Consider the following:

Lifetime Current Sales: 5.98m
2012 Current Sales: 1.02m

A GoTY Edition is likely so keep that in mind.

The first half of this year, it sold about 1.0m. Since second half of the year sales are usually higher than the first half, we can expect it to sell an extra 1.5m-2.0m by the end of the year. That would put it at 7.5m-8.0m by the end of the year. Possibly more with a GoTY edition.

My question is can it leg it to 10m?

I think the biggest factor will be how strong the X360 will be after the Nextbox releases.

around 8.5m I guess.

I can't believe how big Elder Scrolls has become.

No, 8.5-8.9.

No. Even with the GotY.

pezus said: I don't believe so, no. 9-9.5m but not 10m+. Next generation is coming soon which will eventually hinder the sales, plus this is an RPG we are talking about. Skyrim had an insane amount of hype, which makes the sales more frontloaded than for, say, Oblivion. I think that sales for Oblivion and Skyrim will begin to follow a similar pattern after this year is over. Oblivion has sold 1.7m after its second year.  Skyrim will likely end the year with sales of around 7.4-7.6m, so 7.5+1.7m = 9.2m. Add in the fact that next generation is coming, and that Oblivion had the benefit of being a very early next gen release (for legs) and I'd say 9m looks about right, but it could possibly crawl to 9.5m.

I know it's an RPG, but I think Skyrim has become quite mainstream amongst a lot of people. A lot of my friends bought just because they were fascinated with the prospect of a huge open world.

Also, plenty of games see excellent legs after the next gen starts. For example, GTA: San Andreas, GT4, ect. But then again, Skyrim is an RPG like you said. I think it's going to push the RPG genre to new boundaries in terms of sales.

Jay520 said: I know it's an RPG, but I think Skyrim has become quite mainstream amongst a lot of people. A lot of my friends bought just because they were fascinated with the prospect of a huge open world. Also, plenty of games see excellent legs after the next gen starts. For example, GTA: San Andreas, GT4, ect. But then again, Skyrim is an RPG like you said. I think it's going to push the RPG genre to new boundaries in terms of sales.

That last bit is very possible. Counting the multiplat sales for the game, it's sitting comfortably at just over 12 million, which is the highest-selling non-handheld RPG ever made, including FF7 and ignoring however many digital sales Skyrim has had.

By the end of its run, Skyrim could end up moving as many units as a low-tier mainline Pokemon game, which is absolutely horrifying.

Slimebeast said: I can't believe how big Elder Scrolls has become.

It's gotta be your biggest dream come true to see your favorite games do so much. I wish my favorite games had similar luck. :(

Jay520 said: pezus said: I don't believe so, no. 9-9.5m but not 10m+. Next generation is coming soon which will eventually hinder the sales, plus this is an RPG we are talking about. Skyrim had an insane amount of hype, which makes the sales more frontloaded than for, say, Oblivion. I think that sales for Oblivion and Skyrim will begin to follow a similar pattern after this year is over. Oblivion has sold 1.7m after its second year.  Skyrim will likely end the year with sales of around 7.4-7.6m, so 7.5+1.7m = 9.2m. Add in the fact that next generation is coming, and that Oblivion had the benefit of being a very early next gen release (for legs) and I'd say 9m looks about right, but it could possibly crawl to 9.5m. I know it's an RPG, but I think Skyrim has become quite mainstream amongst a lot of people. A lot of my friends bought just because they were fascinated with the prospect of a huge open world. Also, plenty of games see excellent legs after the next gen starts. For example, GTA: San Andreas, GT4, ect. But then again, Skyrim is an RPG like you said. I think it's going to push the RPG genre to new boundaries in terms of sales.

I agree, I wonder what percentage actually spend most of their time questing rather than just mucking about, I bet an even smaller percentage actually finished the main storyline

Munkeh111 said: Jay520 said: pezus said: I don't believe so, no. 9-9.5m but not 10m+. Next generation is coming soon which will eventually hinder the sales, plus this is an RPG we are talking about. Skyrim had an insane amount of hype, which makes the sales more frontloaded than for, say, Oblivion. I think that sales for Oblivion and Skyrim will begin to follow a similar pattern after this year is over. Oblivion has sold 1.7m after its second year.  Skyrim will likely end the year with sales of around 7.4-7.6m, so 7.5+1.7m = 9.2m. Add in the fact that next generation is coming, and that Oblivion had the benefit of being a very early next gen release (for legs) and I'd say 9m looks about right, but it could possibly crawl to 9.5m. I know it's an RPG, but I think Skyrim has become quite mainstream amongst a lot of people. A lot of my friends bought just because they were fascinated with the prospect of a huge open world. Also, plenty of games see excellent legs after the next gen starts. For example, GTA: San Andreas, GT4, ect. But then again, Skyrim is an RPG like you said. I think it's going to push the RPG genre to new boundaries in terms of sales. I agree, I wonder what percentage actually spend most of their time questing rather than just mucking about, I bet an even smaller percentage actually finished the main storyline

It could be similar to GTA where a lot of people just run around doing stuff without progressing the story.