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Consider the following:

Lifetime Current Sales: 5.98m
2012 Current Sales: 1.02m

A GoTY Edition is likely so keep that in mind.

The first half of this year, it sold about 1.0m. Since second half of the year sales are usually higher than the first half, we can expect it to sell an extra 1.5m-2.0m by the end of the year. That would put it at 7.5m-8.0m by the end of the year. Possibly more with a GoTY edition.

My question is can it leg it to 10m?

I think the biggest factor will be how strong the X360 will be after the Nextbox releases.