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Forums - Sales - Wii gap is widening against ps3 an 360!!! 360 getting beat by PS3!

Username2324 said:
DarkNight_DS said:
Actually the Wii and DS predictions are both very low. Expect to see around 45 million Wii's minimum by the end of the year and at least 85+ million DS's. The Wii will take 50% of the market by the end of August.

You honestly expect the Wii to sell 25 million in one year? I'm really doubting it, I'd be surprise to see the Wii pass 30 million, and for two reasons, 1 most people who want a Wii have gotten it by now, the new fad is dying down, and two, 2008 is projected to be a extremely good year for HDTV's and other High Def media, so once people realize their cheap Wii looks like crap, they will avoid it.


LOL.

No seriously, LOL.



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Username2324 said:
DarkNight_DS said:
Actually the Wii and DS predictions are both very low. Expect to see around 45 million Wii's minimum by the end of the year and at least 85+ million DS's. The Wii will take 50% of the market by the end of August.

 You honestly expect the Wii to sell 25 million in one year? I'm really doubting it, I'd know the wii will pass 30 million, and for two reasons, 1 most people who want a Wii have not gotten it by now, the new fad is not dying down, and two, 2008 is projected to be a extremely good year for HDTV's and other High Def media, so once people realize their cheap Wii is a great machine, people wouldn't really care about the graphics!


dude, who the hell are you??? Did you step into the twilight zone???? The demand is no where near met. Also, gameplay beats graphics!!!!

p.s.- not a very good way to start off on a new site!



Damn things have changed since 2009 began. Here are my new visions for the end of the generation.

 

Wii: 135 mil

Ps3: 85 mil

360: 60 mil

True Genius
Username2324 said:

 You honestly expect the Wii to sell 25 million in one year? I'm really doubting it, I'd be surprise to see the Wii pass 30 million, and for two reasons, 1 most people who want a Wii have gotten it by now, the new fad is dying down, and two, 2008 is projected to be a extremely good year for HDTV's and other High Def media, so once people realize their cheap Wii looks like crap, they will avoid it.

Dude, can you seriously give me some of that?

The tides have turned this generation. PSOne had crap graphics and outsold N64 which had better. PS2 still outsold the GameCube and Xbox and it has inferior graphics (not really, just not that powerful for what the GCN and Xbox can output). Now the Wii with its inferior graphics are outdoing both X360 and PS3.

So your point is?...can you give me some of that?

 



Wii: 45 million

DS: 90 million 

WW 2008

don't know about the others systems. 



!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Thats how many exclamations were in the OP.

Oh and Username gets troll of the day.



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Rath said:
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Thats how many exclamations were in the OP.

Oh and Username gets troll of the day.

 

Man you completely read my mind, I was thinking the exact same thing.

 



25 million in one year is unrealistic unless you are projecting an increase in production to about 2.2 million a month some time in late February or March. Supposedly it takes months (up to 5) to ramp up production in numbers like that. But that was the time frame given by Nintendo last year, any guess as to how long that would take now is as good as any other.

As for the whole HDTV market penetration point, he may have a valid argument there. Being an earlier adopter of new standards than most of my extended family, I was the only one to buy a 1080p display last year, which was complemented by a PS3. Later I picked up a Wii and then a 360. Wii for the novelty and future potential for creative and innovative changes in gameplay. 360 for its catalog of exclusives.

This year, both of my extended family's households bought two HDTVs a piece. The older household has no interest in games, including the Wii, which went untouched for about 8 months after the initial sample play. They got a kick out of the custom Miis, played some Wii Sports, and that was the end of the story.

The younger household, in which the Wii sees sporadic casual usage (EA sports games, but not Wii sports anymore), is about to add a PS3 for the HD games and BR-D movies to a lesser extent, to complement the 1080p TV they just bought.

Doesn't reflect every household obviously, but this desire for HD content is normal psychology for any household that just spent thousands on HDTVs and is looking for HD content to take advantage of the enhanced visual capabilities.

For the Wii to repeat 2007 with a complete sell out of all inventory in 2008 at a rate of 1.8 million/month would mean just under 41 million units total, or an average of about 415k per week. I'll be surprised to see that number still being met as early as February. I'm curious to see if they make that number in week 2 of January still trailing off from holiday sales. If that 82k number is correct for the "others" region, we'll need to see numbers in the range of over 160k for both Japan and US to hit 415k for the week total as we continue to slide into the normal range of sales for most of 2008. It could happen, it just doesn't seem like a given that this will continue indefinitely though 2008.

Even if sales dip significantly below 415k/week on a consistent basis, I can see production remaining constant to build inventory stock for the first time since the Wii debuted. It will all depend upon how much inventory Nintendo is willing to sit on for the holidays whether they drop production rates to pre-holiday levels. I really don't see that happening under current conditions. But I don't see it rising either. At worst, I could see a price drop happening if they choose to stimulate further sales to counteract a drop in sales, or they could complement the one SKU line up with custom colors and bundles for repeat sales as Nintendo has always done in the past (better than a simple price drop). Even at $250, I don't think entry price point is keeping anyone from buying a Wii who wants one.



^yep



@leo-j

you can't seriously think Wii sales will slow down THAT much....

_______

Well I will add my prediction AFTER GTA IV hits..

I want to see the impact & then make the prediction



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

Here are two FACTS for '08 for you all:

 - Ninty will get average Wii production up to around 2m/month minimum

 - by the end of '08, the Wii will be just as sold out as it was at the end of '07. It may be more available during the year, but that just means more units will be available for the Xmas rush.

...

So yes, it will sell 22m (minimum) for the year. There is absolutely no doubt about this. This will see it hitting a minimum lifetime base of 40m by end of '08.

The real Wii question is - can Ninty crank up production to something more meaningful? 2.5m / month? (or approaching lifetime sales of 50m by end of '08?)

...

The DS has a real chance of hitting 100m by end of '08. Nintendo will ship 25m-30m units this year - and it should hit 90m easily.

Remember kiddies - neither the DS or the Wii has had ANY form of price cut (or significant new bundle) since launch. How about a "DS + Brain Training II" bundle for $149 for Xmas?

What about a "Wii + Mario Kart" for $199 bundle? (including Wii Sports of course...).



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