| shanbcn said:
This year so far GT5 average sales per week has been around 28k. With 36 weeks left and considiring in holydays it will sell way more then 28k per week. But lets say it will average around 28k for the rest of the year, thats will put GT5 around 8.45mil. |
Sales will slow a lot during the summer months. Last year's "huge holidays" saw Gran Turismo 5 drop below even the top 100 list in some weeks of november and december, and over October and November it never got in the top 30 despite that only requiring 30k in october and 60-70k in november. It's sales didn't pick up at all during the last holidays and thats why it only managed to sell 1mil in 10months after feburary despite selling 700k in the first 2 months of last year.
GT5 will have 4 months of sales well below 28k as sales are always much lower May to September compared to January to May. In october and november it might manage that 28k weekly and a tad more, and december sales won't be able to negate 4 months of lower sales, especially if last year it was in 80th place to below 100
To sum it all up. Last year GT5 sold 1.1mil in the last 10months of the year. It's not going to be able to sell the same amount in the last 8 months of this year. You are underestimating how much sales drop over the summer, and overestimating holiday sales for old games. The game may very well get up to 8.5mil, but that is only possible if vgchartz adjusts sales up.
