ethomaz said:
enrageorange said:
Sales will slow a lot during the summer months. Last year's "huge holidays" saw Gran Turismo 5 drop below even the top 100 list in some weeks of november and december, and over October and November it never got in the top 30 despite that only requiring 30k in october and 60-70k in november. It's sales didn't pick up at all during the last holidays and thats why it only managed to sell 1mil in 10months after feburary despite selling 700k in the first 2 months of last year.
GT5 will have 4 months of sales well below 28k as sales are always much lower May to September compared to January to May. In october and november it might manage that 28k weekly and a tad more, and december sales won't be able to negate 4 months of lower sales, especially if last year it was in 80th place to below 100
To sum it all up. Last year GT5 sold 1.1mil in the last 10months of the year. It's not going to be able to sell the same amount in the last 8 months of this year. You are underestimating how much sales drop over the summer, and overestimating holiday sales for old games. The game may very well get up to 8.5mil, but that is only possible if vgchartz adjusts sales up.
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In GT5 defense the game is selling better this year (2012) than last year (2011).
21st Apr 2012: 28k 23rd Apr 2011: 14k
GT5 just sold more in Jan and Feb 2011 due the launch window... after that the game is doing really great this year.
The last time GT5 sold over 28k after launch in early 2011 was 12th Mar 2011... after that:
17 |
20840 |
18 |
22747 |
19 |
19441 |
20 |
18325 |
21 |
15420 |
22 |
14553 |
23 |
12993 |
24 |
9418 |
25 |
12072 |
26 |
23834 |
27 |
23672 |
28 |
23149 |
29 |
20533 |
30 |
21210 |
31 |
17494 |
32 |
17054 |
33 |
15013 |
34 |
16898 |
35 |
13012 |
36 |
14413 |
37 |
14492 |
38 |
13064 |
39 |
12540 |
40 |
13553 |
41 |
13949 |
42 |
22098 |
43 |
19100 |
44 |
18771 |
45 |
18323 |
46 |
14479 |
47 |
20057 |
48 |
22531 |
49 |
36468 |
Week 49 is 29th Oct 2011.
GT5 2012 is on track to outsell GT5 2011 due the deals, bundles, price cut and new Editions (XL is not released in Europe yet).
EPIC WIN for GT5!!!
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jeez, I did not realize it dropped so hard right after march. Just wondering how did you access numbers below the top 30, or did you just subtract total sales ever week in which case if there was any adjustments last year(was there?), those sales might have been changed. I guess we will just wait and see how well it holds up over the summer. If it doesn't drop signicantly, then I will be proven wrong.