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Forums - Gaming - Big game (AAA) releases do NOT mean a next gen console is or is not coming!

 

Do you think ALL next-gen hardware will be out by holidays 2013?

Yes 44 51.76%
 
No 25 29.41%
 
I'm just here for the food. 16 18.82%
 
Total:85
NightDragon83 said:

I see you moved the goal posts and are now saying that all console will be launching by the end of 2013 instead of 2012 like you've originally predicted many times on here, especially in regards to the 720 lol.  Hey, when you're right, you're right, I gotta admit it

But no one has denied that the successors to PS360 will most likely be out by the end of '13, but what everyone has said and been saying since the beginning is that NEITHER of these will be shown or released by the end of this year, Wii U or no Wii U.  I don't think anybody has said that NO new Sony and M$ consoles are coming anytime soon.

Couple things...  Yes Nintendo releases Zelda SS this past year after announcing the Wii U.  So what?  SS was already announced and shown in playable form for the Wii the year before.  What were they going to do, "Twilight Princess" it and have absolutely no major Wii games for 2 straight years?

And yes Sony also put out GoW II for PS2 after PS3 had already launched, but GoW wasn't and still isn't the system selling killer app that alot of Sony fanboys try to make it out to be.  Just look at sales for proof of that... only GoW III has cracked 4m totalsales, neither of the other games could on the biggest and most popular console of all time.

Also in regards to the Wii U, every indication so far has shown this console to be competing directly with PS360 both in terms of hardware power and software (all confirmed 3rd party releases for it so far are all ports of existing multiplatform current gen titles).  While Sony and M$ are well underway with preparations for the next-gen, neither one is falling over themselves trying to get a new console out asap just because Nintendo announced one.

I've never said PS4 would launch in any other time but end of 2013 and I've mostly said neXtBox in 2013 as well. When I made the bet with Jay, I said late 2012 was a possibility which is why I made the bet, not a definite guranteed prediction. I've always maintained they'd all be out by end of 2013 and my sig hasn't changed in ... well I don't remember when I last updated it. Its been since at least last E3. So I don't know where you get the whole moving the goal posts idea from.

I have maintained that this E3 MSony will show their next systems and that I am still sure of, however, I am still holding on that I have a slim chance of winning my bet with Jay. E3 will be the decider on that. But I always knew at best that was a 60/40 way back when it was made in like November I think based on rumors.

Don't worry, I'll save a special place for you in my post E3 I was right thread. ;)



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superchunk said:

I've never said PS4 would launch in any other time but end of 2013 and I've mostly said neXtBox in 2013 as well. When I made the bet with Jay, I said late 2012 was a possibility which is why I made the bet, not a definite guranteed prediction. I've always maintained they'd all be out by end of 2013 and my sig hasn't changed in ... well I don't remember when I last updated it. Its been since at least last E3. So I don't know where you get the whole moving the goal posts idea from.

I have maintained that this E3 MSony will show their next systems and that I am still sure of, however, I am still holding on that I have a slim chance of winning my bet with Jay. E3 will be the decider on that. But I always knew at best that was a 60/40 way back when it was made in like November I think based on rumors.

Don't worry, I'll save a special place for you in my post E3 I was right thread. ;)





On 2/24/13, MB1025 said:
You know I was always wondering why no one ever used the dollar sign for $ony, but then I realized they have no money so it would be pointless.

I agree with Super Chunk though I am not as certain as I was a few months back that Nextbox will launch winter 2012. However I have interesting evidence that suggests it still might. Including my EBGames manager saying they were given a heads up that boxes of promotional material from Microsoft will arrive and are not allowed to be opened till the day of E3' Microsoft conference. I asked if it was possible that it was Halo4 and he said that the last time they received such a large amount of promotional material it was the Slims launch. He said considering the material coincides with E3 he was certain some kind of hardware is going to be unveiled.

You also have Sony making outlandish statements they are on track to beat Microsoft to the market. However Sony has barely any studios working on PS4. Most of Sony's internal studios are hard at work on PS3 games.

Microsoft and Sony both stated that their consoles will not be released any later then one year after the competition. Now some say "Well Nintendo isn't a competitor" if you say that you need to go back to school or put a helmet on. Because Nintendo is most definitely a competitor and Sony and Microsoft are not ill educated him rods they are aware Nintendo poses a threat. Neither competitor will launch any later then winter 2013.

Another factor. I believe it was Epic who just recently said with or without Microsoft and Sony showing their new hardware Epic is going to show their next generation games for that hardware. Now I assume Epic is working with Microsoft. Neither Sony nor Microsoft will allow a third party to show software for their console and unveil games and features before Microsoft or Sony unveil. Also since Epic has stated it is working knowledge next generation software some of which could launch in 2013, the hardware is going to have to be announced at E3 in one way or another. CryTek has also been hinting it will be showing off its new engine in a next generation game. Simply put developers are already saying next generation content will be at E3 with or without Microsoft and Sony. Which would make it suicide for either company not to at least mention the hardware.

Then we have the closed meeting. These meetings are often leaked and rarely occur in a massive venue with tons of developers till launch year or the year prior. Your not going to have a closed meet at a major venue three years before the hardware comes. Even two years is pushing it, Nintendo did but that was with WiiU for Wii a big event like that didn't occur till launch year at least from what we have heard. At TGS when Nintendo showed the Wiimote developers were thrown off.

Their are so many factors including economic ones etc..etc.. that make a 2012 release of NextBox very smart. Oh I forgot the biggest part Nintendo and Microsoft both began their next generation development in 2008. Microsoft did officially while Nintendo claimed their employees were working on Wii titles that apparently have been bumped like Pikmin 3. While Sony didn't publicly begin development till last year late. In fact most studios have leaked having NextBox kits but few have claimed to have Sony kits. So don't expect Sony to launch this winter. But Sony will show something I am positive and Microsoft if they don't show anything they will announce it.

All the public denials mean squat. Their are far less reasons to launch in 2013. A 2014 launch would be DOA!



-JC7

"In God We Trust - In Games We Play " - Joel Reimer

 

superchunk said:
VicViper said:
To me it's all about money, they haven't recouped their investment yet (and probably won't ever in the case of Sony). So they have to stay a few more years in the market to earn some more bucks.


Just because PS4 launches, it doesn't mean PS3 stops selling or being profitable.

A PS3 at $99 to $149 in late 2013 will still be selling in the millions per year and profitable. While I'm sure Sony expect 150m+ sales of PS3 originally, selling 80m over its lifetime and ensuring bluray's success still means its job is done.

Sacrificing future marketshare for the single item would be far worse than having an overall lifetime loss on one item.

I'd love to see where you got that one from



RolStoppable said:
logic56 said:
superchunk said:


Just because PS4 launches, it doesn't mean PS3 stops selling or being profitable.

A PS3 at $99 to $149 in late 2013 will still be selling in the millions per year and profitable. While I'm sure Sony expect 150m+ sales of PS3 originally, selling 80m over its lifetime and ensuring bluray's success still means its job is done.

Sacrificing future marketshare for the single item would be far worse than having an overall lifetime loss on one item.

 

I'd love to see where you got that one from

http://www.gamasutra.com/view/news/110438/Kaz_Hirai_Sets_150m_Lifetime_Target_For_PS3.php

It was all over the internet in July 2008, so this was well after the PS3 was off to a rocky start.

lol

'in 9 years...."

"when the ps3 gets below 200 dollars it would sell like the ps2"

clinging to a personal P.R. statement......made in 2008, that's just bloody sad

hey-hey did you hear, Jack Trenton would have liked the Vita to sell 500k in 3 weeks in the U.S. guess the console a failure then huh lol

I'm pretty sure if you asked the CEO of Ferrari would he like to sell as many cars as Toyota he would probaly say yes lmao



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RolStoppable said:
logic56 said:
RolStoppable said:

http://www.gamasutra.com/view/news/110438/Kaz_Hirai_Sets_150m_Lifetime_Target_For_PS3.php

It was all over the internet in July 2008, so this was well after the PS3 was off to a rocky start.

lol

'in 9 years...."

"when the ps3 gets below 200 dollars it would sell like the ps2"

clinging to a personal P.R. statement......made in 2008, that's just bloody sad

hey-hey did you hear, Jack Trenton would have liked the Vita to sell 500k in 3 weeks in the U.S. guess the console a failure then huh lol

When it comes to lifetime sales, what else would you expect? Financial forecasts are always only for the following/ongoing financial year. HIrai was the boss of SCE at that time, so what he says is credible. He isn't a silly underling like Tretton who offered everyone who could find a PS3 on store shelves $1200.

it's a personal achievement, "I want to try to see" is the key part, becasue who wouldn't, you and I would have said the exact same thing? that doesn't detract from the realistic expectations the company had and to say it is is just silly, really silly, much like saying Ferrari is a failure becasue the CEO said he would have "liked" their cars to sell as much as Toyotas, but then again logic escapes most people, especially when they have a chip on thier shoulder...

oh and last time I checked PS3 hasn't been out for 9 years, and hasn't reahed 200 dollars yet , Sony drops that price, phase out the PS2 for PS3 in emerging markets and considering how much longer the ps3 lasted in it's traditional lifespan it could last even longer in it's twilight years, there's nothing to say the PS3 can't get there, I imagine a 99 dollar PS3 would go on for a really long time



RolStoppable said:
logic56 said:

it's a personal achievement, "I want to try to see" is the key part, becasue who wouldn't, you and I would have said the exact same thing? that doesn't detract from the realistic expectations the company had and to say it is is just silly, really silly, much like saying Ferrari is a failure becasue the CEO said he would have "liked" their cars to sell as much as Toyotas, but then again logic escapes most people, especially when they have a chip on thier shoulder...

oh and last time I checked PS3 hasn't been out for 9 years, and hasn't reahed 200 dollars yet , Sony drops that price, phase out the PS2 for PS3 in emerging markets and considering how much longer the ps3 lasted in it's traditional lifespan it could last even longer in it's twilight years, there's nothing to say the PS3 can't get there, I imagine a 99 dollar PS3 would go on for a really long time

Hirai said this in an interview with Financial Times, so it was probably a very specific question.

And let's not forget that the previous boss of SCE, Ken Kutaragi, was also expecting the bestselling console of all time when he conceived the PS3. Likewise, the whole of Sony must have expected a massive success, otherwise they wouldn't have allowed their PlayStation division to burn so much money on R&D and initial losses on hardware.

Logic dictates that Sony did expect to sell 150m+ PS3s.


hehe, cheap shot!



RolStoppable said:
logic56 said:

it's a personal achievement, "I want to try to see" is the key part, becasue who wouldn't, you and I would have said the exact same thing? that doesn't detract from the realistic expectations the company had and to say it is is just silly, really silly, much like saying Ferrari is a failure becasue the CEO said he would have "liked" their cars to sell as much as Toyotas, but then again logic escapes most people, especially when they have a chip on thier shoulder...

oh and last time I checked PS3 hasn't been out for 9 years, and hasn't reahed 200 dollars yet , Sony drops that price, phase out the PS2 for PS3 in emerging markets and considering how much longer the ps3 lasted in it's traditional lifespan it could last even longer in it's twilight years, there's nothing to say the PS3 can't get there, I imagine a 99 dollar PS3 would go on for a really long time

Hirai said this in an interview with Financial Times, so it was probably a very specific question.

And let's not forget that the previous boss of SCE, Ken Kutaragi, was also expecting the bestselling console of all time when he conceived the PS3. Likewise, the whole of Sony must have expected a massive success, otherwise they wouldn't have allowed their PlayStation division to burn so much money on R&D and initial losses on hardware.

Logic dictates that Sony did expect to sell 150m+ PS3s.

*throws bone*

over a very long time at a price it hasn't reached yet...

simple logic, it's not that hard, wait forget that, because it implies that he implied the above, he didn't he flat out said it soooo reading comprehension is not that hard



RolStoppable said:
logic56 said:

*throws bone*

over a very long time at a price it hasn't reached yet...

simple logic, it's not that hard, wait forget that, because it implies that he implied the above, he didn't he flat out said it soooo reading comprehension is not that hard

So what about Kutaragi and Sony's decision as a whole? Surely they did expect to sell 150m+ consoles which were the original expectations. Hirai just reiterated those expectations in 2008.

150 million consoles.... maybe, 150 million console in 6 years not a chance in hell they expected that

and Kutaragi's PS3 and the PS3 we actually got, where two drastically different beast

what they expected was the hardware investment to pay off in the future, that's something Kutaragi and Sony talked about WAY more than the console selling 150 million units. Something I've seen a lot but it never makes any sense,and  you've heard this a lot "Sony can't AFFORD another PS3", My question is, why would they have to? why would they HAVE to spend the millions in RnD on Blu-Ray when because of the PS3 it's the dominate HD platform? why would they HAVE to spend the MILLIONS on the Cell processor when because of the PS3 has more than proven it's worth and is incredibly cheap to make now? EVERYTHING that made the PS3 such a cash black hole, TODAY would allow the PS4 to still be powerful yet cheap and affordable.

PS3 laid the road work not just for itself but for future consoles as well, that's a fact many people either forget, or flat out ignore.

anyway this is getting off topic, which I agree with BTW



RolStoppable said:
logic56 said:

150 million consoles.... maybe, 150 million console in 6 years not a chance in hell tehy expected that

and Kutaragi's PS3 and the PS3 we actually got, where two drastically different beast

what they expected was the hardware investment to pay off in the future, that's something Kutaragi and Sony talked about WAY more than the console selling 150 million units. Something I've seen a lot but it never makes any sense,and  you've heard this a lot "Sony can't AFFORD another PS3", My question is, why would they have to? why would they HAVE to spend the millions in RnD on Blu-Ray when becasue of the PS3 it's the dominate HD platform? why would they HAVE to spend the MILLIONS on the Cell processor when becasue of the PS3 has more than proven it's worth and is incerdibly cheap to make now? EVERYTHING that made the PS3 such a cash black hole, TODAY would allow the PS4 to still be powerful yet cheap and affordable.

PS3 laid the road work not just for itsself but for future consoles as well, that's a fact many people either forget, or flat out ignore.

anyway this is getting off topic, which I agree with BTW

Nobody said that Sony expected to sell 150m+ PS3 within six years. superchunk, the guy you originally quoted, said that Sony expected 150m+ lifetime. You laughed at that at first, but it's good to see that you've finally become rational.

The rest I won't comment on.

"selling 80 million units and ensuring blurays successmeans it's job is done"

PS3 is only going to sell 80 million units lol ok then

and of cosue you won't comment on the rest your not as clueless as others there's reason in you I know that