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Forums - Sales Discussion - 2012 Sales Predictions

PS3 = 13m
Xbox 360 = 11m
Wii = 8.5m
3DS = 22m
Vita = 14m



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When are you going to update the charts?



PS3 - 13 million
X360 - 14.75 million
Wii - 8.2 million



 

Hardware

360 -  13mil. It will be down massively most of the year, but have another record holiday period, and be a full cable box replacement by the end of 2012. At least one US cable company will give you a 360 rather then a traditional cable box when you suscribe to their service by the end of 2012.

PS3 -  12.5mil. Sales will increase in Europe but massively decreases in US and Japan, as sony has yet to announce any big American oriented games for 2012, and PSPVita will get some killer software in Japan making the country even more handheld oriented. Will initially be ahead of 360 but start losing weekly when microsoft officially cuts 360 price. Holidays will make up a bigger chunk of hdtwin sales than ever before which will benefit the 360, and ps3 will not get another official pricecut in 2012. 

Wii-  9mil. Sales will collapse everywhere for most of the year. It will hold up best in Europe, where it is still clealy the "gift for your kid" console choice over the holidays.

3DS- 20mil. Until Vita begins to get compelling software for the Japanese, the 3DS will continue to account for significantly more than 50% of the entire Japanese gaming market. The device will get a remade version, and more big titles which will greaty boost nonholiday sales in western markets. I do not think it will have  amuch bigger holiday season than it did in 2011, It will just sell far better in the other 10 months of the year.

PSVita-  8mil. The PSVita will rebound nicely in Japan once developers start publishing games that the Japanese are actually interested in, The PSP is still very well supported in Japan and once those developers graduate to developing for the Vita, a lot of customers will be happy to upgrade. I think the lack of support the PSP recieved these past two years in western markets will hurt PSVita initially. Many people won't but it because they figure sony won't support it so well.

Software

Halo 4-  4.5mil first week. I think halo anniversary's low sales will be a blessing for halo 4. Halo Reach had to convince 6million people who just bought ODST and  were possibly disappointed that they need to have faith in another halo. There haven't been too many people who bought a halo game this year, and considering the backlash against Call of Duty is much bigger than it ever has been, Halo easily has the ability to take some of those disgruntled customers, who might have never even played a halo game.

Twisted Metal-  2mil Lifetime. This is a very  American oriented games. All the twisted metal games have done much better in America than Europe. The ps3 will allow this game to do well in Europe as well, as a lot of titles formerly only popular in the USA have done well in Europe as well this gen. I expect it to sell 1.2mil in USA, 600k in Europe, 200k in other territories, when all is said and done.

Grand Theft Auto IV- 9.5mil first week split almost evenly. Grand Theft Auto is the only title popular enough on multiple consoles to potentially beat a Call of Duty. I think the ps3 version will beat the ps3 version of the next CoD by a bigger margin than the 360 version of the next CoD will beat 360 version of GTA. This will be best selling game next year, but considering how activision was able to make a 20mil selling Call of Duty so many years in a role, that victory won't really be a big one.

 



NintendoPie said:
When are you going to update the charts?


End of next week, then end of the week after when the deadline is up.



 

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No new Xbox in 2012.

EDIT:  Sorry, just realized it's still only based around sales of some kind.  Oh well, put it down if you like. 

Zero sales for the new Xbox in 2012.  



Wii: 7.5 million
X360: 11.5 million
PS3: 13 million

3DS: 21 million
Vita: 7.5 million

Wii U: 4 million

DS: 4 million
PSP: 3 million



Ps3- 13.4 million. I have a gut feeling that sony have something up there sleaves. Whether its a new slimmer model, color versions for america or another 50 dollar pricecut... thats my guess..

Xbox 360- 13.4 million. Pricecut this year will help through the first half of the year, but i truly expect holiday bundles to not be as kickass as this year...

Wii- 7 million... with the wiiu coming its gonna steal the show

Wii u- no prediction.. i have to waite to see what launch price will be..

3ds- 16 million.. its huge right now theres no stopping it

Vita- 6 million. I know sounds low but the memory cards, pricing of games have turned many people off including me. Which is a shame cause it looks so kewl..

Twisted metal- lifetime 2 million
sorcery- 1.5 to 2 million
the last of us- 4 million
halo 4- 8 million



Why can't I find the sources thing anymore?



                            

Carl2291 said:
Why can't I find the sources thing anymore?

Because I'm editing it with better graphs and my opinion in it as well ...