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Forums - Sales Discussion - DS vs 3DS Sales Aligned Launches 1st year edition

 

How will 3DS do compared to the DS in its first year?

3DS will win 468 54.55%
 
DS will win 199 23.19%
 
Netrual 33 3.85%
 
It will be close 78 9.09%
 
See poll Results 76 8.86%
 
Total:854
killeryoshis on 20 January 2012
NintendoPie said:
killeryoshis said:

DS goes up and 3DS down

DS on its 47th week 3DS on its 47th week
160,060 291,838

3DS outsells DS by +131,778

*DS numbers are from October 15th 2005

DS by 47 weeks 3DS by 47 weeks
7,579,273 15,323,792

3DS outsells DS by +7,744,519

I will try to fix the first post bear with me!

Sorry for going off track on your thread.

No probelem. Can't really complain though!

@salnax

I expect little bumps but a overall stablization by the end of this month. Animal Crossing will provide a boost



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NintendoPie on 20 January 2012
Salnax said:
So, when do you think the next big 3DS boost will be? I'm thinking that the Q1 games will provide small boosts with bundled hardware (like the special Metal Gear and Kingdom Hearts 3DS's), and we'll see a huge year over year around summer, when Animal Crossing may come out.

Kingdom Hearts will probably bring a boost to America and Kid Icarus (going off of old NES game) will most likely bring a boost to Japan. Luigi's Mansion will probably bring a boost to all Coutrt's since it's part of the Mario series. When do you predict Animal Crossing will come out?



miz1q2w3e on 20 January 2012

3DS sales are DOUBLE DS sales!

Cool! :p



Pavolink on 20 January 2012

Yes! Go 3DS!

Tomodachi Collection this year and Animal Crossing WW launch this holiday could boost 3DS again.



Proud to be the first cool Nintendo fan ever

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Predictions for Nintendo NX and Mobile


Salnax on 20 January 2012
NintendoPie said:
Salnax said:
So, when do you think the next big 3DS boost will be? I'm thinking that the Q1 games will provide small boosts with bundled hardware (like the special Metal Gear and Kingdom Hearts 3DS's), and we'll see a huge year over year around summer, when Animal Crossing may come out.

Kingdom Hearts will probably bring a boost to America and Kid Icarus (going off of old NES game) will most likely bring a boost to Japan. Luigi's Mansion will probably bring a boost to all Coutrt's since it's part of the Mario series. When do you predict Animal Crossing will come out?


Based on how EAD Group 2 hasn't released a game since 2009, sooner rather than later. I'm thinking the 3DS will have Kid Icarus in March, Luigi's Mansion 2 in the Spring, Paper Mario and Animal Crossing in the Summer, and Fire Emblem and Mario Tennis around the holidays, along with some currently unannounced title.

This is based partially on fact and partially on guesswork.



Love and tolerate.

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NintendoPie on 20 January 2012
Salnax said:
NintendoPie said:
Salnax said:
So, when do you think the next big 3DS boost will be? I'm thinking that the Q1 games will provide small boosts with bundled hardware (like the special Metal Gear and Kingdom Hearts 3DS's), and we'll see a huge year over year around summer, when Animal Crossing may come out.

Kingdom Hearts will probably bring a boost to America and Kid Icarus (going off of old NES game) will most likely bring a boost to Japan. Luigi's Mansion will probably bring a boost to all Coutrt's since it's part of the Mario series. When do you predict Animal Crossing will come out?


Based on how EAD Group 2 hasn't released a game since 2009, sooner rather than later. I'm thinking the 3DS will have Kid Icarus in March, Luigi's Mansion 2 in the Spring, Paper Mario and Animal Crossing in the Summer, and Fire Emblem and Mario Tennis around the holidays, along with some currently unannounced title.

This is based partially on fact and partially on guesswork.

You're right KI actual has a release date: March 22nd in Japan and the 23rd in America. EAD 2 has had quite a while to produce another game. Spring seems like the right time for both AC and LM2 in my opinion. With all these 1st party titles and 3rd part titles for the 3DS in 2012 the 3DS's dales may never go too bad. What do you think?



Salnax on 20 January 2012
NintendoPie said:
Salnax said:
NintendoPie said:
Salnax said:
So, when do you think the next big 3DS boost will be? I'm thinking that the Q1 games will provide small boosts with bundled hardware (like the special Metal Gear and Kingdom Hearts 3DS's), and we'll see a huge year over year around summer, when Animal Crossing may come out.

Kingdom Hearts will probably bring a boost to America and Kid Icarus (going off of old NES game) will most likely bring a boost to Japan. Luigi's Mansion will probably bring a boost to all Coutrt's since it's part of the Mario series. When do you predict Animal Crossing will come out?


Based on how EAD Group 2 hasn't released a game since 2009, sooner rather than later. I'm thinking the 3DS will have Kid Icarus in March, Luigi's Mansion 2 in the Spring, Paper Mario and Animal Crossing in the Summer, and Fire Emblem and Mario Tennis around the holidays, along with some currently unannounced title.

This is based partially on fact and partially on guesswork.

You're right KI actual has a release date: March 22nd in Japan and the 23rd in America. EAD 2 has had quite a while to produce another game. Spring seems like the right time for both AC and LM2 in my opinion. With all these 1st party titles and 3rd part titles for the 3DS in 2012 the 3DS's sales may never go too bad. What do you think?

The sales becoming bad should never be a problem. What I'm worrying about is where the next BIG game comes. Other than prehaps Animal Crossing, which IMO is going to see a Nintendogs-like drop in sales from last generation due to games like Farmville, none of those games I mentioned will sell in the same league as Super Mario 3D Land and Mario Kart 7 did. I suppose the first proper Pokemon RPG, be it Gray version or Gen 3 remakes, could sell the 3DS in huge numbers this holiday, and the hypothetical Zelda 3DS could be a big deal, but besides that, I not sure where the next huge title is coming from.

As for third party games... they'll sell alright, but even on the DS, only two titles ever sold over 5 million units: Dragon Quest 9 and Cooking Mama. Three titles if you count Professor Layton, which ought to end up around there. It's going to be years until we possibly see Dragon Quest 11, the Cooking Mama crowd is largely on the iOS devices nowadays, and breakout hits like Layton only happen once a generation.

At this point, 2012 looks like it will be generally better than 2011 for the 3DS, but it will still be relying heavily on 2011 titles like Mario Kart, Mario 3D Land, OoT, and Nintendogs.



Love and tolerate.

NintendoPie on 20 January 2012
Salnax said:
NintendoPie said:
Salnax said:
NintendoPie said:
Salnax said:
So, when do you think the next big 3DS boost will be? I'm thinking that the Q1 games will provide small boosts with bundled hardware (like the special Metal Gear and Kingdom Hearts 3DS's), and we'll see a huge year over year around summer, when Animal Crossing may come out.

Kingdom Hearts will probably bring a boost to America and Kid Icarus (going off of old NES game) will most likely bring a boost to Japan. Luigi's Mansion will probably bring a boost to all Coutrt's since it's part of the Mario series. When do you predict Animal Crossing will come out?


Based on how EAD Group 2 hasn't released a game since 2009, sooner rather than later. I'm thinking the 3DS will have Kid Icarus in March, Luigi's Mansion 2 in the Spring, Paper Mario and Animal Crossing in the Summer, and Fire Emblem and Mario Tennis around the holidays, along with some currently unannounced title.

This is based partially on fact and partially on guesswork.

You're right KI actual has a release date: March 22nd in Japan and the 23rd in America. EAD 2 has had quite a while to produce another game. Spring seems like the right time for both AC and LM2 in my opinion. With all these 1st party titles and 3rd part titles for the 3DS in 2012 the 3DS's sales may never go too bad. What do you think?

The sales becoming bad should never be a problem. What I'm worrying about is where the next BIG game comes. Other than prehaps Animal Crossing, which IMO is going to see a Nintendogs-like drop in sales from last generation due to games like Farmville, none of those games I mentioned will sell in the same league as Super Mario 3D Land and Mario Kart 7 did. I suppose the first proper Pokemon RPG, be it Gray version or Gen 3 remakes, could sell the 3DS in huge numbers this holiday, and the hypothetical Zelda 3DS could be a big deal, but besides that, I not sure where the next huge title is coming from.

As for third party games... they'll sell alright, but even on the DS, only two titles ever sold over 5 million units: Dragon Quest 9 and Cooking Mama. Three titles if you count Professor Layton, which ought to end up around there. It's going to be years until we possibly see Dragon Quest 11, the Cooking Mama crowd is largely on the iOS devices nowadays, and breakout hits like Layton only happen once a generation.

At this point, 2012 looks like it will be generally better than 2011 for the 3DS, but it will still be relying heavily on 2011 titles like Mario Kart, Mario 3D Land, OoT, and Nintendogs.

I think Pokemon, AC, and LM2 could be pretty big titles for the 3DS. Especially LM2 because of the huge following Luigi's Mansion has now. Pokemon would sell ridiculous amounts and probably sell around the same or a little better than Pearl and Diamond since they are the first Main Series Pokemon game on the DS and if they release Grey on the 3DS that would be a great move since i have seen many people grumbling that they want Grey and that would practically force them to buy the 3DS if it is put on there. Ruby and Sapphire re-makes would be a great idea too.



Salnax on 20 January 2012
NintendoPie said:
Salnax said:
NintendoPie said:
Salnax said:
NintendoPie said:
Salnax said:
So, when do you think the next big 3DS boost will be? I'm thinking that the Q1 games will provide small boosts with bundled hardware (like the special Metal Gear and Kingdom Hearts 3DS's), and we'll see a huge year over year around summer, when Animal Crossing may come out.

Kingdom Hearts will probably bring a boost to America and Kid Icarus (going off of old NES game) will most likely bring a boost to Japan. Luigi's Mansion will probably bring a boost to all Coutrt's since it's part of the Mario series. When do you predict Animal Crossing will come out?


Based on how EAD Group 2 hasn't released a game since 2009, sooner rather than later. I'm thinking the 3DS will have Kid Icarus in March, Luigi's Mansion 2 in the Spring, Paper Mario and Animal Crossing in the Summer, and Fire Emblem and Mario Tennis around the holidays, along with some currently unannounced title.

This is based partially on fact and partially on guesswork.

You're right KI actual has a release date: March 22nd in Japan and the 23rd in America. EAD 2 has had quite a while to produce another game. Spring seems like the right time for both AC and LM2 in my opinion. With all these 1st party titles and 3rd part titles for the 3DS in 2012 the 3DS's sales may never go too bad. What do you think?

The sales becoming bad should never be a problem. What I'm worrying about is where the next BIG game comes. Other than prehaps Animal Crossing, which IMO is going to see a Nintendogs-like drop in sales from last generation due to games like Farmville, none of those games I mentioned will sell in the same league as Super Mario 3D Land and Mario Kart 7 did. I suppose the first proper Pokemon RPG, be it Gray version or Gen 3 remakes, could sell the 3DS in huge numbers this holiday, and the hypothetical Zelda 3DS could be a big deal, but besides that, I not sure where the next huge title is coming from.

As for third party games... they'll sell alright, but even on the DS, only two titles ever sold over 5 million units: Dragon Quest 9 and Cooking Mama. Three titles if you count Professor Layton, which ought to end up around there. It's going to be years until we possibly see Dragon Quest 11, the Cooking Mama crowd is largely on the iOS devices nowadays, and breakout hits like Layton only happen once a generation.

At this point, 2012 looks like it will be generally better than 2011 for the 3DS, but it will still be relying heavily on 2011 titles like Mario Kart, Mario 3D Land, OoT, and Nintendogs.

I think Pokemon, AC, and LM2 could be pretty big titles for the 3DS. Especially LM2 because of the huge following Luigi's Mansion has now. Pokemon would sell ridiculous amounts and probably sell around the same or a little better than Pearl and Diamond since they are the first Main Series Pokemon game on the DS and if they release Grey on the 3DS that would be a great move since i have seen many people grumbling that they want Grey and that would practically force them to buy the 3DS if it is put on there. Ruby and Sapphire re-makes would be a great idea too.


I agree that Pokemon and Animal Crossing are big titles, but I'm not so sure about Luigi's Mansion. Sure, the original game sold 3.5 million copies, but it was Nintendo's only launch title for the system. Critically speaking, the game had merely good reviews, hovering around 75% or 80%. Not that many people are going to pick up a 3DS to play the sequel.



Love and tolerate.

NintendoPie on 20 January 2012
Salnax said:
NintendoPie said:
Salnax said:
NintendoPie said:
Salnax said:
NintendoPie said:
Salnax said:
So, when do you think the next big 3DS boost will be? I'm thinking that the Q1 games will provide small boosts with bundled hardware (like the special Metal Gear and Kingdom Hearts 3DS's), and we'll see a huge year over year around summer, when Animal Crossing may come out.

Kingdom Hearts will probably bring a boost to America and Kid Icarus (going off of old NES game) will most likely bring a boost to Japan. Luigi's Mansion will probably bring a boost to all Coutrt's since it's part of the Mario series. When do you predict Animal Crossing will come out?


Based on how EAD Group 2 hasn't released a game since 2009, sooner rather than later. I'm thinking the 3DS will have Kid Icarus in March, Luigi's Mansion 2 in the Spring, Paper Mario and Animal Crossing in the Summer, and Fire Emblem and Mario Tennis around the holidays, along with some currently unannounced title.

This is based partially on fact and partially on guesswork.

You're right KI actual has a release date: March 22nd in Japan and the 23rd in America. EAD 2 has had quite a while to produce another game. Spring seems like the right time for both AC and LM2 in my opinion. With all these 1st party titles and 3rd part titles for the 3DS in 2012 the 3DS's sales may never go too bad. What do you think?

The sales becoming bad should never be a problem. What I'm worrying about is where the next BIG game comes. Other than prehaps Animal Crossing, which IMO is going to see a Nintendogs-like drop in sales from last generation due to games like Farmville, none of those games I mentioned will sell in the same league as Super Mario 3D Land and Mario Kart 7 did. I suppose the first proper Pokemon RPG, be it Gray version or Gen 3 remakes, could sell the 3DS in huge numbers this holiday, and the hypothetical Zelda 3DS could be a big deal, but besides that, I not sure where the next huge title is coming from.

As for third party games... they'll sell alright, but even on the DS, only two titles ever sold over 5 million units: Dragon Quest 9 and Cooking Mama. Three titles if you count Professor Layton, which ought to end up around there. It's going to be years until we possibly see Dragon Quest 11, the Cooking Mama crowd is largely on the iOS devices nowadays, and breakout hits like Layton only happen once a generation.

At this point, 2012 looks like it will be generally better than 2011 for the 3DS, but it will still be relying heavily on 2011 titles like Mario Kart, Mario 3D Land, OoT, and Nintendogs.

I think Pokemon, AC, and LM2 could be pretty big titles for the 3DS. Especially LM2 because of the huge following Luigi's Mansion has now. Pokemon would sell ridiculous amounts and probably sell around the same or a little better than Pearl and Diamond since they are the first Main Series Pokemon game on the DS and if they release Grey on the 3DS that would be a great move since i have seen many people grumbling that they want Grey and that would practically force them to buy the 3DS if it is put on there. Ruby and Sapphire re-makes would be a great idea too.


I agree that Pokemon and Animal Crossing are big titles, but I'm not so sure about Luigi's Mansion. Sure, the original game sold 3.5 million copies, but it was Nintendo's only launch title for the system. Critically speaking, the game had merely good reviews, hovering around 75% or 80%. Not that many people are going to pick up a 3DS to play the sequel.

It does seem to have pretty good pre-order sales for a non release dated game. And it seems to have a pretty big following, did you hear all the FanBoy screems when it was announced at E3 2011? XD