Focusing on shipped...
Wii is ~90m
360 is ~54m
PS3 is ~50m
Not a bad console market. Wii should still easily break 100m and probably die off around 120m.
Other two will probably die off around 80m with PS3 potentially having a small lead.
This means last gen was about 200m sold total while this one will creep up on 300m. Very nice for the entire market.
The hardware sales will be nice but software is still somewhat disastrous potentially:
Nintendo's console history for software is:
500m -> 380m --> 225m --> 210m ---> 1.2b (guess for Wii)
Sony's is something like this:
960m --> 1.58b ---> 800m (guess for PS3)
My guess for Microsoft is something like this:
225m ---> 750m (X360)
The HD market for sw may only be 1.6b, after being 1.6b on PS2 alone in SD, and 1.2b on Wii alone with HD games at double the cost or more to make. Thats effectively 1.8b from PS2 & Xbox / 250k to 1.6b to PS3 & X360 at double development costs, akin to 1.8b / 250k profitable games (7200) vs. 1.6b / 500k profitable games (3200). Third parties figured that out, so the eventual ~700m Wii third party market adds 2800 or so profitable games for about 6000, down from 7200 (down from a theoretical 7600 with GC)
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
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ethomaz said:
I got now... but I'm confuse yet. * 480m is a wrong or typo... ok. What the real number? 480m, 408.2m or 424.8m? |
We have an 8 a 2 and two 4, so hmmm, 844.2m I guess!
| superchunk said: Focusing on shipped... Wii is ~90m 360 is ~54m PS3 is ~50m Not a bad console market. Wii should still easily break 100m and probably die off around 120m. Other two will probably die off around 80m with PS3 potentially having a small lead. This means last gen was about 200m sold total while this one will creep up on 300m. Very nice for the entire market. |
isn't wii at about 87M now? or it could be way low knowing that PS3 has shipped more than wii doing 2.2M
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Nintendogamer said:
isn't wii at about 87M now? or it could be way low knowing that PS3 has shipped more than wii doing 2.2M |
What was Wii at, at the end of last Q? 84.7?
I haven't checked but I think its 87m / 52.5m / 50.2m or so for the consoles through March - obviously we'll know in a couple weeks when the official shipment numbers come out.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
I guess PS3 shipped number will be 50.7m for 31th March.
When is the financial results?
| TheSource said: I haven't checked but I think its 87m / 52.5m / 50.2m or so for the consoles through March - obviously we'll know in a couple weeks when the official shipment numbers come out. |
1.7 for 360 ... we have a good 2.5 mill sold :-S .. not to mention they sold 1.3 mill in states alone these last 3 months on depleted stock.
| ethomaz said: I guess PS3 shipped number will be 50.7m for 31th March. When is the financial results? |
these arnt the finances ... they come out at the end of the month. Sony have released this because PS3 has passed 50 million.
Seece said:
1.7 for 360 ... we have a good 2.5 mill sold :-S .. not to mention they sold 1.3 mill in states alone these last 3 months on depleted stock. |
I'm not sure why you mention depleted stock. The stock isn't low because they shipped a ton. That would mean there were fewer shipped, which would make sense because they pulled January/February shipments for the holidays.
Similar thing happened for the PS3 last year. Stock was also low in the US. 3.3 million sold in the three month period on vgchartz, and only 2.2 million shipped in the quarter.
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