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Forums - Sales - Media Create Sales 4/4 ~ 4/10

Conegamer on 13 April 2011
Nintendogamer said:
Conegamer said:
Seece said:
Conegamer said:
Machina said:

Surely common sense tells you that the rate of decline will slow, briefly being reversed by notable game releases or a price cut. Of course, eventually, it'll go below 100, but not anytime soon, and certainly not this year. psrock is spot on imo, you're just trying to downplay expectations.

You'd think so but no. 

The Wii may be on a decline but it won't decline exponentially. That would be stupid to suggest. It's like saying after the holiday period if sales go from 600k to 300k a week, the week after it'll be at 100k, then 50k, then 10k etc. It won't happen! These things reach a limit then stop decreasing.

Then again, why am I surprised? This is the guy who predicted a sub 10k WW (yes, WorldWide) week for the Wii in June...

Yeah, I'm now convinced he's doing it for attention ... pity the lengths people go to .. I swear he should get done on some count ...

I'm sure he has before...

He also predicted the Wii to be down more than 90% YoY at some points this year WW...

He reckons 280k for Wii in the NDP, which seems a bit low for me. I suppose if you predict ridiculously pessimisticly then you can only be pleased!

(But this doesn't explain why he predicted so highly for Wii last year, first person to say 84mil I believe) 


It did do  84M I predicted 84.73M but was 84.63M :/.

I know that much. But how can you predict so highly (and accurately) and then predict so lowly (and obviously wrongly)?

@Machina- so this is fine, correct? Insane predictions aside of course



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

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naruball on 13 April 2011
Seece said:

For goodness sakes NintendoGamer just be quiet, the 360 hasn't had a decent game push HW in Japan since 2008 and it's STILL above 1000 so PACK IT IN NOBODY WANTS TO HEAR IT.

How about Monster Hunter Frontier? (or whatever it's called). But I agree with your main point.



Nintendogamer on 13 April 2011
Conegamer said:
Nintendogamer said:
Conegamer said:
Seece said:
Conegamer said:
Machina said:

Surely common sense tells you that the rate of decline will slow, briefly being reversed by notable game releases or a price cut. Of course, eventually, it'll go below 100, but not anytime soon, and certainly not this year. psrock is spot on imo, you're just trying to downplay expectations.

You'd think so but no. 

The Wii may be on a decline but it won't decline exponentially. That would be stupid to suggest. It's like saying after the holiday period if sales go from 600k to 300k a week, the week after it'll be at 100k, then 50k, then 10k etc. It won't happen! These things reach a limit then stop decreasing.

Then again, why am I surprised? This is the guy who predicted a sub 10k WW (yes, WorldWide) week for the Wii in June...

Yeah, I'm now convinced he's doing it for attention ... pity the lengths people go to .. I swear he should get done on some count ...

I'm sure he has before...

He also predicted the Wii to be down more than 90% YoY at some points this year WW...

He reckons 280k for Wii in the NDP, which seems a bit low for me. I suppose if you predict ridiculously pessimisticly then you can only be pleased!

(But this doesn't explain why he predicted so highly for Wii last year, first person to say 84mil I believe) 


It did do  84M I predicted 84.73M but was 84.63M :/.

I know that much. But how can you predict so highly (and accurately) and then predict so lowly (and obviously wrongly)?

@Machina- so this is fine, correct? Insane predictions aside of course

What's wriong with predicting so accuratley?   I'm going on based on the recent wii sales, down giga big YoY.



Buying in 2015: Captain toad: treasure tracker,

mario maker

new 3ds

yoshi woolly world

zelda U

majora's mask 3d

Carl on 13 April 2011

This thread makes me want Crazzyman to make a comeback. Again.

Anyway.

Everything as it should be in Japan.



                            

DarkCronos on 13 April 2011
Nintendogamer said:
Machina said:
Nintendogamer said:
Machina said:
Nintendogamer said:
Machina said:
Nintendogamer said:
trestres said:

Lowest Wii week ever... Wonder if it will go sub-5k soon? It could happen as there are no notable releases so far before June.


My prediction says it will drop below 1,000 then maybe less than 100 in September.

What the? Even the 360 and PSP Go don't go that low, where do you come up with this stuff...

Wii has no notable games coming this year that wiull life wii sales, and it's dropping every week so why would it go up?

You're now two for two on nonsensical posts.

Where did I say sales would go up? You're crazily predicting it'll be under 100 units by September - that is not an increase in sales Nintendogamer, the Wii is not currently selling fewer than 100 units a week.


You didn't have to, I'm just saying it will only go down from now so it will eventually get to that number.

Surely common sense tells you that the rate of decline will slow, briefly being reversed by notable game releases or a price cut. Of course, eventually, it'll go below 100, but not anytime soon, and certainly not this year. psrock is spot on imo, you're just trying to downplay expectations.


WIi has no notable releases this year that will boost i in Japan and a price cut wont do much, last time it had one it only tripled it.

Zelda, Inazuma Eleven Wii, Dragon Quest X, Earth Seeker, Rodea, Pandora's Tower, Rhytm Tengoku Wii, the new Kirby Game and The remake of Fatal Frame 2. Oh and nintendo will publish in japan Goldeneye 007 and Just Dance 2

 

too bad the only one with a known release date is Pandora's tower.... BTW among those i reckon the only ones that will effect wii sales are zelda, dragon quesxt x, inazuma eleven and maybe just dance 2.



 

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Seece on 13 April 2011
Machina said:
Seece said:
Conegamer said:
Machina said:

Surely common sense tells you that the rate of decline will slow, briefly being reversed by notable game releases or a price cut. Of course, eventually, it'll go below 100, but not anytime soon, and certainly not this year. psrock is spot on imo, you're just trying to downplay expectations.

You'd think so but no. 

The Wii may be on a decline but it won't decline exponentially. That would be stupid to suggest. It's like saying after the holiday period if sales go from 600k to 300k a week, the week after it'll be at 100k, then 50k, then 10k etc. It won't happen! These things reach a limit then stop decreasing.

Then again, why am I surprised? This is the guy who predicted a sub 10k WW (yes, WorldWide) week for the Wii in June...

Yeah, I'm now convinced he's doing it for attention ... pity the lengths people go to .. I swear he should get done on some count ...

Attention seeking (spamming aside) ain't against the rules, nor are insane predictions (trolling aside) ;)

Besides, you know you shouldn't report issues by posting them in the thread.

Shut up and get back to work!



 

Nintendogamer on 13 April 2011
DarkCronos said:
Nintendogamer said:
Machina said:
Nintendogamer said:
Machina said:
Nintendogamer said:
Machina said:
Nintendogamer said:
trestres said:

Lowest Wii week ever... Wonder if it will go sub-5k soon? It could happen as there are no notable releases so far before June.


My prediction says it will drop below 1,000 then maybe less than 100 in September.

What the? Even the 360 and PSP Go don't go that low, where do you come up with this stuff...

Wii has no notable games coming this year that wiull life wii sales, and it's dropping every week so why would it go up?

You're now two for two on nonsensical posts.

Where did I say sales would go up? You're crazily predicting it'll be under 100 units by September - that is not an increase in sales Nintendogamer, the Wii is not currently selling fewer than 100 units a week.


You didn't have to, I'm just saying it will only go down from now so it will eventually get to that number.

Surely common sense tells you that the rate of decline will slow, briefly being reversed by notable game releases or a price cut. Of course, eventually, it'll go below 100, but not anytime soon, and certainly not this year. psrock is spot on imo, you're just trying to downplay expectations.


WIi has no notable releases this year that will boost i in Japan and a price cut wont do much, last time it had one it only tripled it.

Zelda, Inazuma Eleven Wii, Dragon Quest X, Earth Seeker, Rodea, Pandora's Tower, Rhytm Tengoku Wii, the new Kirby Game and The remake of Fatal Frame 2. Oh and nintendo will publish in japan Goldeneye 007 and Just Dance 2

 

too bad the only one with a known release date is Pandora's tower.... BTW among those i reckon the only ones that will effect wii sales are zelda, dragon quesxt x, inazuma eleven and maybe just dance 2.


Zelda isn't really that big in Japan and kirbys epic yarn didn't lift wii sales at all so I doubt the new one will either, Pandora's box may lif wii sales by 2K - 4K, last story didn't do much, only DQX will make a lot of difference but it isn't coming till 2012/2013.



Buying in 2015: Captain toad: treasure tracker,

mario maker

new 3ds

yoshi woolly world

zelda U

majora's mask 3d

Conegamer on 13 April 2011
Nintendogamer said:
Conegamer said:
Nintendogamer said:
Conegamer said:
Seece said:
Conegamer said:

You'd think so but no. 

The Wii may be on a decline but it won't decline exponentially. That would be stupid to suggest. It's like saying after the holiday period if sales go from 600k to 300k a week, the week after it'll be at 100k, then 50k, then 10k etc. It won't happen! These things reach a limit then stop decreasing.

Then again, why am I surprised? This is the guy who predicted a sub 10k WW (yes, WorldWide) week for the Wii in June...

Yeah, I'm now convinced he's doing it for attention ... pity the lengths people go to .. I swear he should get done on some count ...

I'm sure he has before...

He also predicted the Wii to be down more than 90% YoY at some points this year WW...

He reckons 280k for Wii in the NDP, which seems a bit low for me. I suppose if you predict ridiculously pessimisticly then you can only be pleased!

(But this doesn't explain why he predicted so highly for Wii last year, first person to say 84mil I believe) 


It did do  84M I predicted 84.73M but was 84.63M :/.

I know that much. But how can you predict so highly (and accurately) and then predict so lowly (and obviously wrongly)?

@Machina- so this is fine, correct? Insane predictions aside of course

What's wriong with predicting so accuratley?   I'm going on based on the recent wii sales, down giga big YoY.

Because they aren't accurate?

For Wii sales to continue logaritmically as you suggest, it would have to half its total every week from now until when you say it will reach your figures. Looking at the sales figures for this year, you'll see the Wii  has levelled off now, decreasing a few k one week, up a few k the next. It isn't gonna half at all, no way. 

So you may think of them as reasonable, but look at the 360, a console Japan hates. You're saying the Wii will sell less than a tenth of it in less than 3 months?

You'll see that putting things into perspective, they aren't so 'likely' or 'accurate' now



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

Nintendogamer on 13 April 2011
Conegamer said:
Nintendogamer said:
Conegamer said:
Nintendogamer said:
Conegamer said:
Seece said:
Conegamer said:

You'd think so but no. 

The Wii may be on a decline but it won't decline exponentially. That would be stupid to suggest. It's like saying after the holiday period if sales go from 600k to 300k a week, the week after it'll be at 100k, then 50k, then 10k etc. It won't happen! These things reach a limit then stop decreasing.

Then again, why am I surprised? This is the guy who predicted a sub 10k WW (yes, WorldWide) week for the Wii in June...

Yeah, I'm now convinced he's doing it for attention ... pity the lengths people go to .. I swear he should get done on some count ...

I'm sure he has before...

He also predicted the Wii to be down more than 90% YoY at some points this year WW...

He reckons 280k for Wii in the NDP, which seems a bit low for me. I suppose if you predict ridiculously pessimisticly then you can only be pleased!

(But this doesn't explain why he predicted so highly for Wii last year, first person to say 84mil I believe) 


It did do  84M I predicted 84.73M but was 84.63M :/.

I know that much. But how can you predict so highly (and accurately) and then predict so lowly (and obviously wrongly)?

@Machina- so this is fine, correct? Insane predictions aside of course

What's wriong with predicting so accuratley?   I'm going on based on the recent wii sales, down giga big YoY.

Because they aren't accurate?

For Wii sales to continue logaritmically as you suggest, it would have to half its total every week from now until when you say it will reach your figures. Looking at the sales figures for this year, you'll see the Wii  has levelled off now, decreasing a few k one week, up a few k the next. It isn't gonna half at all, no way. 

So you may think of them as reasonable, but look at the 360, a console Japan hates. You're saying the Wii will sell less than a tenth of it in less than 3 months?

You'll see that putting things into perspective, they aren't so 'likely' or 'accurate' now

I meant accuratley as in for Q4 2010.



Buying in 2015: Captain toad: treasure tracker,

mario maker

new 3ds

yoshi woolly world

zelda U

majora's mask 3d

Conegamer on 13 April 2011
Nintendogamer said:
Conegamer said:
Nintendogamer said:
Conegamer said:
Nintendogamer said:
Conegamer said:
Seece said:

Yeah, I'm now convinced he's doing it for attention ... pity the lengths people go to .. I swear he should get done on some count ...

I'm sure he has before...

He also predicted the Wii to be down more than 90% YoY at some points this year WW...

He reckons 280k for Wii in the NDP, which seems a bit low for me. I suppose if you predict ridiculously pessimisticly then you can only be pleased!

(But this doesn't explain why he predicted so highly for Wii last year, first person to say 84mil I believe) 


It did do  84M I predicted 84.73M but was 84.63M :/.

I know that much. But how can you predict so highly (and accurately) and then predict so lowly (and obviously wrongly)?

@Machina- so this is fine, correct? Insane predictions aside of course

What's wriong with predicting so accuratley?   I'm going on based on the recent wii sales, down giga big YoY.

Because they aren't accurate?

For Wii sales to continue logaritmically as you suggest, it would have to half its total every week from now until when you say it will reach your figures. Looking at the sales figures for this year, you'll see the Wii  has levelled off now, decreasing a few k one week, up a few k the next. It isn't gonna half at all, no way. 

So you may think of them as reasonable, but look at the 360, a console Japan hates. You're saying the Wii will sell less than a tenth of it in less than 3 months?

You'll see that putting things into perspective, they aren't so 'likely' or 'accurate' now

I meant accuratley as in for Q4 2010.

Nothing's wrong with that. Hence I said predicting highly and correctly...



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.