Media Create:

Wii - 11.445.848 = 59.56%
PS3 -  6.328.741 = 32.93%
360 - 1.442.792 = 7.51%

Wii peaked at 69.5% in June 2008, many thought it was only a matter of time until it passed 70%, but since then it has been in steady decline, so where will it finish when all is said and done? Will Wii stage a come back with Dragon Quest, or is Wii doomed to decline further?

I think around the end the Wii and PS3 are going to be damn close for Japan sales. Both very roughly around 15 million.

??? lol

PSTriple has been around about 4.5 years now an is just about to hit 6.5 million units. How long is it gonna take for that other 8-8.5m to come around?

Shoot, Wii is probably gonna peter out at 13.75m.......

ps3 has around 5 years more to go before ps4 even then it will be continued for around few more years. so it possible for the PS3 to reach 15 million in japan. But for the wii i doubt it because the Wii2 will release next year and halt sales but its possible. 

You just keep telling yourself that...

Its past its peak now and is in decline. And there's few great games on the horizon that will appeal to the Japanese market. 

I see the PS4 being out in 2013/2014, not 2016/2017 as many people predict. No way can it get more than 40% market share in Japan, even if Wii stopped selling now it would only just about reach that milestone...

So Wii will be at around 62%, PS3 around 32% and 360 around 6% IMO

if the ps3 sells 20,000 an week for 5 years it will sell 5.2 million. 

sure i might of been optimitic for it to reach 15 million but 10 million sure. 

Most likely between 50-55% overall. I don't think the PS3 will catch the Wii and it's mainly because  the PS3 only sells about 50K-70K a week in Japan during the holiday season. The wii sells 100-150K. Even though the PS3 is outselling the Wii by about 10K-15K right now during the off season, even if then did that for a full year every year, it would only be 780K a year they would gain. The Wii is over 5 million ahead of the PS3. We all know the Wii will get another price cut in the near future. So chances are very good that the Wii will hold 50-55% of the market from here on out. I don't think the Wii will be on the market 5 years from now.

I think the PS3 won't last as long as the PS2. The PS3 isn't selling like the PS2 did either. The PS3 has been out for 4yrs -4months. It has sold 48,163,035. In the same time period the PS2 sold 68,739,446 units. The PS2 launched in Japan on March 4, 2000. So the PS3 is over 20 million behind the PS2. The Wii is 17 million units ahead of the of the PS2 (maybe a bit more since it launch a week after the PS3) in the same time period.

Yes, I'm aware that the PS3 will get a price cut as well, but I think the Wii's price cut will nulify that and sales will be pretty close during those surges. I also don't think a Wii2 will be out next year. Most likely it will be announced sometime next year, but I think both the Wii and XBox 360 will have new consoles in 2013. The 360 is still doing very well and Microsoft really wants to push Kinect this year and next. Bring out a new 360 in 2012 would not help Kinect, so that's not going to happen. There's no doubt all 3 companies are working on new hardware right now.

54/39/7

16/12/2

3rd party Wii support is dead in japan. How in the world could the Wii get back any marketshare at all. And DQ10... well lets see where that one goes, I doubt it will stay Wii exclusive in japan, seeing how piss-poor software sales are. If it does, it will be one of the worst selling main DQ game.

that was only because of donkey kong returns other than that ps3 wins! wii looks like it has no ther games this year except for star wars and zelda!