Soleron said:
It doesn't retain Twilight Princess's advantage of being the only good launch game, so I would like to compare it to Majora's Mask. I think it will sell less than that lifetime (<3.36m per VGC).
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Let's you and I make us a bet.
Edit:
And let's consider Mario, too. Worst-selling mainline Mario title would have to include the original Mario Bros., but we're going to ignore that for the sake of fairness. Similarly we're going to ignore the Lost Levels, even though your careless language should mean that I completely own your ass.
Super Mario Advance is sitting at 5.49 million; however, we'll be generous and use Super Mario Sunshine as our barometer for minimum success, here.
So:
You put forth that the 3D Mario on the 3DS will sell less than 6.28 million units during the life of its original release.
You put forth that Skyward Sword will sell less than 3.36 million units during the life of its original release.
Is this a fair summary?
(for the record: I'm not convinced concerning your reasoning for their selling below par within the context of their own series, and I'm less convinced that you have any concrete indication of their sales expectations from within Nintendo - though I wil grant that Nintendo probably expects them to move more numbers than you do)