Wii: 3M

PS3: 2.8M

360: 2.3M

PS3 hmm 2500-2800k shipment

X360 2800-3200k

Wii 1800-2000k

So we are now 7 weeks in for sales and a little less than 6 weeks in the financial quarter for Sony, Nintendo and MS.  So with that in mind and the numbers below and the recent trends where do you see shipments now.

Remember to take into account how many were on store shelves to begin the qtr.

Wii 1,000,000
PS3 1,600,000
X360 500,000

So figured I would update this with just over 2 weeks left in the quarter.

So I suspect all consoles to sell about 400K more the remainder of this month.  So where will shipments land.

I see MS shipping about 3M 360s, Sony shipping 2.8M PS3s and Nintendo shipping about 2.5M Wiis

Really? I expect something like 2.1 for 360, 2.8 for PS3, and 2.1 for Wii (200k below their projection)

2.1 for 360 wouldnt even cover how many they sold at retail from Jan 1 through Mar 31.  MS went into Jan with very low inventory at retail. So they will want about 1 million on store shelves come April 1st.  So take the 2.5M they sell and add another 500K to have retailers with healthy inventory.

84.806M – 5^th Feb

145K – 12^th Feb          -  161,024

85.951M – 85.000M

136K – 19^th Feb          - 170,331

85.087M – 85.171M

129K – 26^th Feb          -183,221

85.216M - 85.354M

125K – 5^th Mar            -181,554

85.341M – 85.643M

123K – 12^th Mar          - 168,304

85.464M -  85.811M

118K – 19^th Mar          -

85.582M -

114K – 26^th Mar          -

85.696M -

101K – 2^nd Apr            -

85.797M          -

Approx. 86.881M shipped end of March 2011 -

I'm juggling between 86.88 and 86.63M actually.

Wii 3m

PS3 2.7m

360 2.5m

I think that the 360 was rather overtracked at the end of last year since 500k on shelves is outright ridiculous with clear shortages only present in America. The PS3 will fall slightly short of its target, though 14.9m is close enough for them to declare victory.

For the Wii, well, I'm just hanging on to the irrational ray of hope provided by its February NPD. Who knows... maybe it wasn't a fluke and maybe it was doing numbers like that WW at the time and is doing even better now... :(. Of course, that would mean that PS360 are doing better, too...

Hmm, MS shipped 5 mill last xmas Q, and 6.3 mill this Q, 1.18 of that 1.3 increase was U.S. so 120k increase elsewhere. Of course this isn't taking into consideration the shortages, and how much extra they would have added.

So far this year 360 is up 160k in U.S (NPD), next month should see significant gains though, Feb and Jan had 360 at around 100k weekly, with shortages. Being a 5 week month it should hit above 500k again this month, possible above 600k. March last year did 330k, so at the end of march 360 could be up in the states as much as 450k.

so 1.5, plus the 450k increase in U.S gets it to around 2 million. The rest depends on how short they were in Q4 last year, and much it has increased in Europe.

I still don't think 360 will top PS3 this Q, 2 - 2.5 mill is my range. With Kinect doing 2.7 - 3.2

So you reckon we have Wii majorly overtracked?