1st Qtr 2011 Shipment Predictions

[thx1139]

Seece said:

thx1139 said:

So figured I would update this with just over 2 weeks left in the quarter.

Console	Total	Last year	Change	% Change		March 14 2010 - April 3 2010	Retail Channel Jan 1st 2011
Wii	2,152,205	3,332,755	-1,180,550	-35%		827,431	1,000,000
PS3	2.311,336	2,532,657	-221,321	-9%		761,149	1,600,000
X360	2,085,338	1,780,042	305,296	17%		442,726	500,000

So I suspect all consoles to sell about 400K more the remainder of this month.  So where will shipments land.

I see MS shipping about 3M 360s, Sony shipping 2.8M PS3s and Nintendo shipping about 2.5M Wiis

Really? I expect something like 2.1 for 360, 2.8 for PS3, and 2.1 for Wii (200k below their projection)

2.1 for 360 wouldnt even cover how many they sold at retail from Jan 1 through Mar 31.  MS went into Jan with very low inventory at retail. So they will want about 1 million on store shelves come April 1st.  So take the 2.5M they sell and add another 500K to have retailers with healthy inventory.