oh then 1.8M may be the low end so approx 86.5M end of march. End of march 2012 has to be at least 101.2M shipped.

Erm .. what? lol

Wii is down YoY this Q 2.6 mill, and they expect to be down 2.7 mill next Q (that's with no more adjustments)

The next 2 Q's after that were 3.04 and 1.93. Slower months but we should still see YoY drops. So probably 3.5 across those 2 Q's down 1.5 mill.

You are all forgetting that NSMB Wii 2 will save it from a really big drop.

Yeah NSMB2 is going to sell to an entirely different audience. The game selling 20 plus million pretty much means any sequel has zero HW pushing power. But I'm pretty sure you're joking anyway

I have a very strong feeling that the DS isn't going to even remotely follow the same trajectory as the GBA post-DS launch. The decline after the 3DS launch is going to be truly incredible (in a bad way).

I'm not joking. It IS coming this year. Or early next year. It's the only thing except perhaps for a sucessfull vitality sensor that can save the Wii from it's ultimate doom. And Halo Reach says hello for hardware selling sequels.

It boost HW about 100/150k, and that was because of the silver Halo slim.

@ The Source

You expected Microsoft to have shipped 7.5 million XBox 360s. It was actually 6.3 million, that's 1.2 million you're off.

If the PS3 is the only platform you undertracked it's possible Sony sold more PS3s last quarter than Microsoft sold 360s (It sold more than that last year). Hopefully for VGChartz that's not the case.

You don't have to tell me what I said, I know, I wrote it.

The trick with PS3 is the projection is 15m, and so even if they miss a bit and do 14m, Sony was probably at least going to match X360 once it became clear Europe was performing at 2008 levels for X360 and Japan was at 2006 levels. The only change now is that instead of 17.5m / 15m / 14m as I thought in October for hardware in the year to March 2011, it looks like 16m / 14m - 14.5m / 13m. Not really a big deal, particularly with software holding up better than recently forecast for Wii / DS.

I really can't see PS3 shipments being higher than last year anyway, we know from VGC, NPD, M-C, Famitsu that PS3 was down in the USA and Japan in Oct-Dec 2010 vs Oct-Dec 2009 and the rest of the world wasn't enough to offset it going by VGC, the drop off is > 400k, which is why I figured 6.0m shipped, as Oct-Dec 2010 was 6.5m.

http://gamrfeed.vgchartz.com/story/83786/tons-of-data-from-nintendos-december-quarter-investor-briefing/

Analyzed Iwata's charts in an organized way...