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Forums - Microsoft Discussion - Kinect Adventures to be a 20 million seller? (I'm dead serious)

gergroy said:
gergroy said:
Mummelmann said:

I think its a lot more likely that I become the Prime Minister of Norway to be honest.

Kinect will be, in stark contrast to my prior belief, a big hit but I can't see any possible way for it to sell 20 million units.


you can't see any possible way?  Are you that short sighted?  I can think of one very obvious way, they bundle it with every xbox, or how about if they drop the price to 50 bucks?  There are lots of possible ways for this to happen, and far from impossible.  The 360 and kinect are going to be around for another 2 to 3 years at least.  Plenty of time to move 20 million units.  

Hurray!  I wasnt crazy 2 years ago!

To be honest, I really didn't see any possible way back then. I predicted that both Kinect and Move would be flops. Commercially, they are both far from that.



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Mummelmann said:
gergroy said:
gergroy said:
Mummelmann said:

I think its a lot more likely that I become the Prime Minister of Norway to be honest.

Kinect will be, in stark contrast to my prior belief, a big hit but I can't see any possible way for it to sell 20 million units.


you can't see any possible way?  Are you that short sighted?  I can think of one very obvious way, they bundle it with every xbox, or how about if they drop the price to 50 bucks?  There are lots of possible ways for this to happen, and far from impossible.  The 360 and kinect are going to be around for another 2 to 3 years at least.  Plenty of time to move 20 million units.  

Hurray!  I wasnt crazy 2 years ago!

To be honest, I really didn't see any possible way back then. I predicted that both Kinect and Move would be flops. Commercially, they are both far from that.

there are always possibilities my friend.  Never say never am I right?  :)



gergroy said:
Mummelmann said:
gergroy said:
gergroy said:
Mummelmann said:

I think its a lot more likely that I become the Prime Minister of Norway to be honest.

Kinect will be, in stark contrast to my prior belief, a big hit but I can't see any possible way for it to sell 20 million units.


you can't see any possible way?  Are you that short sighted?  I can think of one very obvious way, they bundle it with every xbox, or how about if they drop the price to 50 bucks?  There are lots of possible ways for this to happen, and far from impossible.  The 360 and kinect are going to be around for another 2 to 3 years at least.  Plenty of time to move 20 million units.  

Hurray!  I wasnt crazy 2 years ago!

To be honest, I really didn't see any possible way back then. I predicted that both Kinect and Move would be flops. Commercially, they are both far from that.

there are always possibilities my friend.  Never say never am I right?  :)


If there's anything this generation should have taught us by now, it is that very thing. Even though I haven't enjoyed a whole lot of games in the past few years, the hardware race and software sales sure has been exciting!



We are pretty close to 20m mark.

Get ready to party up!



This Thread Delivers, Kinect is more close to 30m now than 20m predicted by this beast!



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Argh_College said:
This Thread Delivers, Kinect is more close to 30m now than 20m predicted by this beast!


Yeah I was reading through the first few comments and many people was saying no chance and that kinect would not do well.




       

This site says 20m, Microsoft says over 24m.

Hummmmm

Not hard to know who to believe.



axumblade said:
Argh_College said:
This Thread Delivers, Kinect is more close to 30m now than 20m predicted by this beast!


According to the site it hasn't hit 20 million yet...And while i was contemplating banning you for necrobumping, I read a few posts questioning its ability to top Wii Sports Resort and San Andreas. It looks like it's definitely going to top San Andreas. My question is how high it can get on the list.

It will probably end up at around 22-23 million so my guess would be it will either end up at #12 or #13.  Considering Kinect Adventures is the only title that's still in the top 100 out of those listed, it's not going to really have to worry with trying to outpace any of those titles....

Well it's at 24m units shipped (December 2012), though closer to 30m (25m shipped) than 20m as of now is still a bit of a stretch.
I think 360 shipped 1.3m units last quarter, so Kinect shipments should be ~500k or so higher now(assuming it wasn't "overstocked").



This thread was about sold to consumers by the end of 2012. VGC didn't have it at 20 million by then and so it didn't actually happen but it came much closer than I thought it would. So that was a great prediction by toastboy anyhow.



This thread reminds me of the "When PS3 will outsell X360" one :p