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Forums - Sales - PS3 can still finish in first place.

There is no chance for this.

The PS3 already peaked, if it didn't it will this year.

It "might" surpass the Xbox 360 if it can keep EMAA numbers up. 



"To play or not to play, that is the question."- A wise man

 

Lifetime sales prediction

Wii 79/150 million

Xbox 360 47.7/73 Million

PS3 43.6/69 Million

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dtewi said:

AnthonyW86 said:

First of all late me state this: Do you need glasses, are you so mad about something you can't read? What is wrong here!? Let me explain why:

Wrong sir. Wrong. GT5 won't bolster sales for a sustained period. A two week, or maybe three week, increase, and that's it. No one game has EVER boosted sales for a long time, not even Halo. Next year will NOT be as good as this year. PS3 has already reached mass-market appeal with its $299 price, and a $249 price would do relatively nothing in the long-term! It's the no man's land between what is generally accepted as "mass-market" price ($199) and the price that doesn't frighten people away from buying it ($299). In other words, it does nothing. And you are not even entertaining the idea that Sony would like to make a profit! PROFIT. A $199 PS3 isn't profitable and they wouldn't dare to do that soon. Then we have Move. Ah yes, Move. It has boosted sales now, but its sales are NOT going to remain at the level its at now. I don't see why you would think that. The sales are going to stabilize at a lower level, how much I cannot be sure, but it definitely won't stay as high as it is now.

GT5 bolstering sales, who said that? The only reference i gave to GT5 was that it would atleast boost sales THIS year refering to PS3 getting to atleast 45 at the end of the year, that's 1 MONTH.  And $249 price point boosting sales, where have i said that? I said 40 million in total in 3 years, that's only about 13 million a year on average, witch is actually lower than what it's likely to sell this year(so PS3 outperfoming next year isn't even necesseray here). And $199 soon? You call 2013 soon!? That's 2 to 2 and a half years... Again a off moment in reading i pressume, and it makes my 85 million prediction still stand.

And for Move, i never stated it will really boost anything besides the PS3's software library wich actually makes it a double advantage over Wii, since that doesn't just make the difference between the two system's software support even bigger, it also means that together with Kinect Wii isn't the only one doing motion controls anymore, thereby losing it's biggest asset.

WRONG. The PS3 will not have a life cycle of 10 years. Mr. Khan very eloquently stated why and I see no point in reiterating it. But let me say this: the PS3 is no PS2. The PS3 will never, ever sell like the PS2. It won't have nearly as long a life cycle, and sales for the PS3 will plummet in 2012 with the release of the PS4. Yes, the PS4 is going to be releasing in the next few years. Rejecting that notion is ludicrous to the point of insanity.

Rejecting the fact that PS4 is going to launch soon?? What are you talking about i never said that, even more, i AGREE. PS4 will launch in 2014 at the LATEST. But let's just pauze there for a second. Let's go crazy and say PS4 launches in 2013, not crazy enough? Let's say PS4 in 2012! By that time PS3 will be 6 years old. You know how old the PS2 was when the PS3 launched? Suprise, 6 years! So even if Sony would announce a PS4 a year from now, that's not going to stop PS3 to see 10 years at the VERY least. Even more importantly though, PS4 launching will not make PS3 stop selling out of the blue. PS2 comforably outsold the PS3 in it's first year, and sold on par in the second. And what does PS3 need to sell in those years to get to 100 million? 5 million a year... you want to know what PS2 shipped so far this year even before the holiday's, over 10 years after launch? 4.6 million!

The ONLY title is Zelda? You just shot yourself in the foot with that statement. Donkey Kong. Epic Mickey. These have chances to boost sales as well. I don't think you ignored them, but casually overlooked the idea that Wii could have software so you didn't bother to even check! Yet I am not entertaining the notion that any of these games could bring Wii's former fervor back. I think they won't do one thing at all.

Seriously are you toying with me here, again have you read anything? Let's quote what i said: ''The only really big title we have coming up after this year''. And you're reaction is Donkey Kong and Epic Mickey!? I could be wrong but aren't those games releasing in a few weeks? And i forgot to check? But i am pleased that we can atleast agree on the fact that none of these titles will get Wii selling like the old days.

Wrong wrong wrong wrong. Ninty would rather swallow acid than not release a new console when theirs is dying. The generation will end in a couple or a few years (again, reference Mr. Khan's post).

Now here you really lost me... You're saying Nintendo will release a new console even earlier than 2013? I agree i say 2012 is very much possible aswell.... but wouldn't that make Wii stop selling even earlier on? That actually makes the chance of the PS3 outselling Wii bigger!

Are you determinedly ignoring the PS2? The PS2 was an affordable price, yet the PS1 still kept on chugging. Why? Because it was CHEAPER and people STILL WANTED it. The Wii will be much cheaper than the Super Wii, and people would still want to buy it. And don't bring up hardware comparisons. I will laugh scornfully at you if you think that is a valid reason for anything.

Now here we finally get to some sensible discussion. This is indeed something we can disagree on, the reason why i also noted Wii's future as ''doubtfull''. Yes the Wii will be much cheaper, but the PS2 comaprison is flawed again because of something you obviously overlooked. Like i said Nintendo will launch there next system at a affordable price point. PS2 successor? It launched at $599, that's NOT an affordable price point. And although Sony is unlikely to make that same mistake again, PS4 will be alot more expensive than Nintendo's future offering, probably sticking to 360's $399 launch price. Again the cheaper the successor, the less reason to buy the old model. But now the important one, will people still want it? As i already said, Wii is at an severe dissadvantage when it comes to power, it simply is outdated. And while Wii has already proven that power isn't everything, it does make it less future proof. And again software is a big reason, if not the biggest for people to want a system. And that's where the Wii is already hurting the most.

To proof price isn't everything, just look back at the same generation you pointed out yourself, that of the PS2. Xbox was the same price as the PS2 but did people still want it? No. Did it survive 10 years? It practically died the moment the 360 was announced, after just four years. And then we have the Gamecube, witch was actually cheaper at the end than the PS2. Did people still want it? No. Did it survive for long? It got a great goodbye with Zelda: The Twillight Princess, but that's probably the biggest problem right there. Nintendo made it available on the Wii aswell, and with the affordable price tag off the Wii people were al to easy to forget about the Gamecube, you could even buy the Gamecube version of Twilight Princess and play it on your brand new Wii.

So please answer me this one question, do you truly believe there will be that many reasons to want a Wii in the future?

 







PS3beats360 said:

This is just my opinion passed off as a sales prediction thread.

It is possible that it may or may not happen. But  the evidence of the sales over the next 4 or 5 years will show the PS3 fights back and reduces the sales gaps on the Wii. PS3 may get very close to the Wii's sales total in the end.

The PS3 will sell at a faster rate than the Wii in the next 5 years. The PS3 sales will increase as it approaches the $199 mark within two or three years time. Expect $249 price point in 2011 and $199 price point in 2012 or 2013. But a price drop from $299 to $199 in 2011 is a remote possibility

PS3 reduced its sales price 15 months ago from $399 down to $299: 25% reduction in price. PS3 has experienced an  increase in sales in year on year sales from 2009 to 2010.  It is unlikely the PS3 would reduce the price from $299 down to $199 a 33% price reduction in 2011. A price reduction from $299 to $249: a 17% price reduction is more likely in 2011, followed by another $50 price reduction in 2012.

Dropping sales price dramatically reduces revenue and has an adverse impact on profitability. The unit costs would have to reduce by more than the sales price reduction to make the price cut worthwhile. 

Wii reduced its price 12 months ago from $249 down to $199: a 20% reduction in price. Wii sales peaked at Xmas but in 2010 the sales have slowed down on year on year sales.

Both Wii and PS3 will sell over 100 million console systems this generation. I stand by this prediction. X360, I have no idea how much it will sell life time: maybe 65 to 70 million sales ltd. 

Presumably under the assumption that Microsoft see's less software support and stops manufacture of the 360 long before the other systems. 

It just doesn't make good business sense for them to do so though.  Their console is profitable and they have a wildly successful online service that grows in revenue every year.  What reasons are there for third-parties to stop support and Microsoft stop selling the 360 before the PS3?



um - fact is

OGW3 was the best selling software title in march

this gen is long not over, to say that the ps3 has sold the worse [ouch]

that is I give fact and jarrod conters with BS.

oh well I might have to stick his prediction in my sig that GOW will not sell the most tittles in mar' 2010 NPD



All bow to me the VGChartz current reigning 3DS prediction champion 

 Bet with tbone51: Pokeon X & pokemon Y will not sell more than 8 million in 2013

 jarrod said:The Xbox360 or ps3 will not sell more than 75million units

July 2009 daveJ saidTrue the wii has a large lead now but by 2017 the most likely result will be 1. ps3 2. xbox360 3. wii <-- wii's successor launched in 2011 effectively killing sales of the wii

 2009 daveJ said: The wii will not break the 50% marketshare barrier it will go below the 40% marketshare barrier though in the future. VGChartz members: Impossible, youre an idiot that knows nothing about sales

How PS3 Cut Xbox 360's Lead Down to Nothing

 

http://n4g.com/news/637000/how-ps3-cut-xbox-360s-lead-down-to-nothing/com



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Carl2291 said:

Both PS3 and 360 could get to first place eventually, depending on when Nintendo drop the Wii.

Carl2291 said:
jarrod said:

Both are going to nearly double their bases?  5 years in?  I just find that hard to believe, despite the PR assurances of standard 10 year cycles (that's working out great for PSP btw) or add ons giving them an extra 5 years to try and actually make money on this whole thing...

After this Holiday season, it's not going to be doubling the base. Would be a better discussion after we've had this holiday season.

PSP is a pirates paradise that has been abandoned by 3rd parties. If you want a comparison to PSP, I point you towards the Wii (Although the Wii has had continual good support from Ninty).

Both consoles have excellent support from 1st, 2nd and 3rd parties. They're both still selling very well. They both either have, or are getting within a couple of weeks, a new control scheme. And they both have plenty of room for pricecuts.

3rd parties don't want new consoles. Sony and MS are both profiting from the HW somewhat. SW sales are still strong.

Both will reach at least 75 Million units lifetime.

reaching at least 75 million doesn't make either 360 or PS3 outsell Wii though. Under what condition could either one eventually outsell Wii?

psrock said:
Cheebee said:
psrock said:
Cheebee said:
Maynard_Tool said:

I'm gonna remember this (=

Me too, this ought to be fun. XD


You two have been very quiet until this thread, I wonder why?

Why, should I have participated a lot more, then? Does anyone seriously believe PS3 will end in 1st place? XD

Trust me, only the OP believes the PS3 will finish first.

After reading through the thread, it's apparent that several others truly believe in it as well. OP is not alone!



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

jarrod said:
raptors11 said:
jarrod said:
Carl2291 said:

Both PS3 and 360 could get to first place eventually, depending on when Nintendo drop the Wii.


Wii could stop selling now, never move another unit, and it's more likely than not that PS3 and 360 couldn't catch it.


Wow you seriously think the PS3 and 360 won't reach 75 million? I just figured that was a given at this point in time.

30-35m more sales are a given?  In this industry at this point?

That might be possible if you swallow the PR and think next gen is really 5 years away still...


Next gen is probably 2 years away (fall/winter 2012) but PS3 will continue to sell for a long time into next gen as a reasonably priced Blu-ray player and cheap game console. Here's how I think it'll work out:

- ~45 million by the end of this year probably (give or take a million or so)

- ~60 million by end of 2011 (a price cut at some point in the year to $250 or less likely to $200). 15 million this year isn't unreasonable, especially if there is a solid price drop.

- ~ ~75-80 million by end of 2012 (a price cut to $200 if it isn't already that low at some point during the year, PS4 releases in Fall). I honestly think, assuming there's a good price drop by now, that 2012 could be PS3's peak year for sales even though the PS4 will likely release this year.

- ~85-90 million by end of 2013 (price probably dropped to $150 during the year).

- ~92-97 million by end of 2014  (price cut to $125 during the year)

- Over 100 million by end of 2015 (price cut to $99 during the year)

 

And at some point (maybe 2012 before the PS4) I think a new PS3 superslim will be release which gets it down to at least half its current size.

PS3 isn't going to beat Wii but it sure as hell is gonna continue to sell for several more years.



...and then u woke up.

lol





Official member of the Xbox 360 Squad

No it wont, wii will continue to sell well for three or four more years (maybe 17,13,11,10) at a good pace, wii is in route to reach 120-130 million units LF, while 360/ps3 could top 85-100 max... 



Menx64

3DS code: 1289-8222-7215

NNid: Menx064

You'd think people still wouldn't spout shit like this when there's 35M gap for Christs sake. I guess not.