PS3 can still finish in first place.

[raptors11]

jarrod said:

raptors11 said:

jarrod said:

Carl2291 said:

Both PS3 and 360 could get to first place eventually, depending on when Nintendo drop the Wii.

Wii could stop selling now, never move another unit, and it's more likely than not that PS3 and 360 couldn't catch it.

Wow you seriously think the PS3 and 360 won't reach 75 million? I just figured that was a given at this point in time.

30-35m more sales are a given?  In this industry at this point?

That might be possible if you swallow the PR and think next gen is really 5 years away still...

Next gen is probably 2 years away (fall/winter 2012) but PS3 will continue to sell for a long time into next gen as a reasonably priced Blu-ray player and cheap game console. Here's how I think it'll work out:

- ~45 million by the end of this year probably (give or take a million or so)

- ~60 million by end of 2011 (a price cut at some point in the year to $250 or less likely to $200). 15 million this year isn't unreasonable, especially if there is a solid price drop.

- ~ ~75-80 million by end of 2012 (a price cut to $200 if it isn't already that low at some point during the year, PS4 releases in Fall). I honestly think, assuming there's a good price drop by now, that 2012 could be PS3's peak year for sales even though the PS4 will likely release this year.

- ~85-90 million by end of 2013 (price probably dropped to $150 during the year).

- ~92-97 million by end of 2014  (price cut to $125 during the year)

- Over 100 million by end of 2015 (price cut to $99 during the year)

 

And at some point (maybe 2012 before the PS4) I think a new PS3 superslim will be release which gets it down to at least half its current size.

PS3 isn't going to beat Wii but it sure as hell is gonna continue to sell for several more years.